Pedro Domingos @pmddomingos
Professor of computer science at UW and author of 'The Master Algorithm' and '2040'. Into machine learning, AI, and anything that makes me curious. pedrodomingos.org Seattle, WA Joined July 2015-
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Forget taking selfies - the cool new thing is deepfaking yourself.
Forget taking selfies - the cool new thing is deepfaking yourself.
It's a good thing the turnover at Tesla is so high, because it spreads the knowledge around.
What every Fortune 500 CEO wants is a no-hype, no-nonsense provider of robust AI technology, but those are remarkably hard to come by.
Too many people confuse today’s AI revolution with the much bigger one that is yet to come.
The easy problem of AI is mimicking humans' performance given massive data. The hard problem is actually coming up with algorithms for learning etc. that are as good as the human brain's or better.
Pretty soon we'll need an AI committee to coordinate all the AI committees.
Whatever the learning algorithm, Bayesians always find a way to show it's Bayesian. It just took them longer than usual this time.
Biden's last-minute orgy of regulation before getting kicked out is something to behold.
You can't create a superintelligence by training a model to copy humans.
"I guess you didn’t succeed, because no one’s come back in time to kill you." (@emollick to Marvin Minsky)
We’re only one step away from AGI, because we’ve reached AFI (Artificial Fake Intelligence).
Funny how Biden’s AI safety board doesn’t include Elon Musk, but it does include the ultra-woke head of AI ethics he fired from Twitter.
Reminder: There's no AI emergency, but Biden invoked emergency powers to create this board and the whole misguided AI regulation regime it's part of. Yet another egregious overreach by an administration that specializes in them.
Reminder: There's no AI emergency, but Biden invoked emergency powers to create this board and the whole misguided AI regulation regime it's part of. Yet another egregious overreach by an administration that specializes in them.
OpenAI are the tech bros of AI, and they're thoroughly lampooned in "2040": 2040novel.com
We should follow Peter Higgs's example in calling his particle the scalar boson.
I want superintelligence, why is why I’m not buying deepfake versions of it.
Interesting how in all these domains AI is asymptoting at roughly human performance - where's the AI zooming past us to superintelligence that Kurzweil etc. predicted/feared?
Yann LeCun @ylecun
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It would be such a joke if LLMs trained with vastly superhuman compute on vast amounts of human output will never get past the shadow of human intellectual capabilities
Interesting how in all these domains AI is asymptoting at roughly human performance - where's the AI zooming past us to superintelligence that Kurzweil etc. predicted/feared?
The performance is much lower if we consider that to reach "human performance" you need more data than any person could see in their life, and even then it is not enough. A 7-year-old boy already knows that hands have 5 fingers and has seen fewer hands than those used in a GenAI
Interesting how in all these domains AI is asymptoting at roughly human performance - where's the AI zooming past us to superintelligence that Kurzweil etc. predicted/feared?
I'd rather die pursuing something hard than flounder around doing something mid
📢 ICYMI, here is the talk I gave for the @GoogleDeepMind LLM Reasoning seminar on Friday. (It has some up-to-date results on the brittleness of CoT and ReACT..) 👉 youtube.com/watch?v=hGXhFa…
Looking forward to speak at @GoogleDeepMind LLM Reasoning seminar on Friday. This being the ground zero for CoT/ReACT/LLM Reasoning optimism, here is hoping that they'll take kindly to our own underwhelming experiences with those celebrated silver bullets.. 😅
If AI really does plateau at 60-80th percentile of human ability (no sign it will/won't), the impacts may be stabilizing. Whatever you are best at (often what you enjoy most), you are likely to be better than an AI, but whatever you are not good at, AI can help fill in the gaps.
@martin_casado I think Meta is doing practically everything necessary at this point. @ylecun and @finkd are (1) commoditizing everything below the state-of-the-art and (2) they showing the world the safety risks are exaggerated to avoid regulatory capture. People decrying risk will be proven…
@pmddomingos The emergency is that llama is getting so good… we know they are dangerous - I mean look at this ferocious animal terrorizing Berkeley students. @ylecun must stop this!
@pmddomingos It also includes the woke CEO of Delta Airlines, who can’t manage for his airline not to be total garbage but surely will provide invaluable insights to an AI safety board @Delta
It's weird how consistently people who attack Twitter point out that ad revenue has decreased. They don't seem the sort of people who care about companies' revenues, and now they're suddenly amateur stock analysts. I suppose it's because usage hasn't decreased.
As long as AI systems are trained to reproduce human-generated data (e.g. text) and have no search/planning/reasoning capability, performance will saturate below or around human level. Furthermore, the amount of trials needed to reach that level will be far larger than the…
Interesting how in all these domains AI is asymptoting at roughly human performance - where's the AI zooming past us to superintelligence that Kurzweil etc. predicted/feared?
@pmddomingos Hell hath no fury like an AI ethics Karen scorned.
Harvey Weinstein's real crime was humiliating beautiful famous women when they were exposed for selling sex for fame and access. They're good actresses though- they had to fake shock and horror that the oldest transactional contract in Hollywood - the casting couch - exists.…
@pmddomingos @Jesse_Livermore If they did this in the early 1990s, we'd still be using dial up and AOL discs
There are people who are wrong once in a while. There are people who are wrong as often as they are right. And then there is a small minority of nitwits so clueless that they would drink bleach if enough of the pet journalists of the political class told them it would avert…
The most insidious form of climate denial is no longer, "It's not happening," but the belief that incremental or tech solutions will solve this crisis. 1/6
zuck's leaked 2015 email on facebook's VR/AR strategy is a wild read I did an AR strategy project for the CEO of Google when I worked there and this is next level. 2500 words of pure brilliance from zuck on investing billions in VR/AR and acquiring unity. I obv had to dig in🧵
@pmddomingos Turkey kill 3.5 million Christians. Where are they protesting and remembering.
The EU is very far behind in the world of #AI , and over the past ten years China as sprinted ahead of the US