Marko @markothoughts
Occassionally writes at https://t.co/TWOOf9p56q New Zealand Joined April 2020-
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A Essentials Only: 1.4-1.6M by reducing heights in most walkable catchments to 6 storeys, removing local centres, returning transit & residential areas to AUP. Roughly 12k new dwellings per year, 24% within 10km of city centre. Est to reduce prices by 1-2%. Benefits worth $0.7B.
V good to see some bus stop rationalisation to prepare for bendy buses on eastern part of route 2. Was previously 266m avg between stops, this changes to a much better 350m avg
Tiaki Wai (new Welly water entity) confirms water charges will be slightly slighter than prior forecast as jockeying over financial footing continues. Councils have committed uncalled capital arrangement to give Tiaki Wai a bit more breathing room.
just south of tīrau is roughly 14k AADT according to nztam which is 2k more than Mangatawhiri on SH2 (after bombay interchange) which had similar length bypass
Cambridge to Piarere is likely the last four-laning of SH1 in the Waikato for some time. Any new four-laning would be on SH29 towards Tauranga. But a Tīrau bypass to the SH1/5 split could be on a high-value medium sized project?
@nzsd Yeah agree, but the bigger problem was that there just isn’t a complete data set for Auckland and Wellington at the three points of reform i wanted to compare for feasible capacity.
New blog post from me on the “Great Upzoning” of New Zealand. It’s been a long, messy 15 years of reform but it’s worth standing back and celebrating the remarkable progress.
@peter_tulip Thanks Peter. Do you know if Australian cities have robust zoned capacity figures over time? And pre and post any reform? Would be interesting to compare
Auckland housing peeps - anyone know where exactly this is? My hunch is Remuera / inner east but can’t quite place it
Winston Peters deftly leaving open the excellent option of tying super increases to CPI, not wages
Winston Peters reiterates that whatever Luxon or Willis say, no Govt he is a part of will raise the super age or make its means tested. thepost.co.nz/politics/36100…
I hope some thought is given to a compensation scheme for disruption for cut and cover (Albert St). Avoids nuisance litigation and incentivises quick construction, and stops us trying to disproportionately design out of disruption (tunnelled light rail)
#CRLNews: Infrastructure Minister Chris Bishop has announced a full review of the City Rail Link project – including its escalating cost. Via NZ Herald: nzherald.co.nz/nz/infrastruct…
@snarky_mk I think that is separate to what’s being discussed in the article but ought to happen. Might all be moot if amalgamation just mixes all the debt together anyway
@J_Meanwell Ie the increase from 1920s to 1950s? Perhaps, also hard to disentangle the effects of the two wars, plus all the modern building techniques and materials coming in post WWII
The historical structural drop once modern planning was enacted in 1977 is even more stark when you look back pre WWII and do per 1000 residents. (I should update this to recent numbers, its only to 2022)
The decline in 🇳🇿 house prices in the late 1970s led to a huge fall in new home consents. The same thing happened after the GFC. Thankfully the drop hasn't been as severe this time - new data shows consents in Q1 were higher than in any quarter outside of 1975 and 2020-23.
@J_Meanwell Also raw supply numbers per 1000 residents doesn't account for changing locational demand, household size, income etc. No doubt that is a large effect on top of the total number
@J_Meanwell Not aware but perhaps some research out there? I mean anecdotally there is a non-trivial amount of non-permitted additions, secondary structures from pre 1991 in homes. Still see it in listings. So perhaps understates the supply
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