Kit Lowe @kit_lowe
Global Macro. https://t.co/WVy4KRjB7W .Ex- Natwest Ex- Seventy Capital. .Views are my own. Master of Puppets. Sydney/Singapore Joined October 2011-
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At least France didn’t get downgraded. Petites misericordes !
Shortest BOJ statement in living memory ? boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmdec…
$AUD closing OIS run Hikes priced: May +1bps Jun +3bps Aug +3 bps Sept +2 bps Nov 0 Cuts priced Dec -2bps Feb 25 -8 bps Mar 25 -14bps May 25 -32bps.
RBA passive QT run off continues today. A$35.9B FV of the 21 Apr 2024 bond matures. This bond was first issued in 2012 as a 12-year bond and is the last of the RBA’s yield curve control bonds (YCC) that it bought when it attempted to hold the 3y bond rate at 0.10%. The RBA holds…
Outstanding. 💪💪💪
In Asia Pac the stock markets that are most impacted by a high oil price due to potential conflict are off the most. Nikkei -2.6% Taiex -3.6% Kospi -1.7% Australia which is a net energy exporter ASX -1.1%
First Fed's Willams and now Bostic mentioning the "hike" word. $USD
In the just released RBA bulletin in an article titled “Cash Rate Pass-through to Outstanding Mortgage Rates” the RBA states that The interest rate paid by outstanding mortgage borrowers increased by around 320 basis points between May 2022 and December 2023, around 105 basis…
ITC's Richard Grace: Australia’s monthly change in employment was a fall of -6,600 people in March. Arrived at by netting out full-time jobs growth of 27.9k (which is strong) and part-time employment (of -34.5k). The participation rate eased 0.1% to 66.6%, and so the…
RRP dropped $128B On Fri/Mon due to mid-month UST coupon settlements and tax flows around the Apr 15 settlement date. On Tues RRP bounced $45B to $371.5B with $36B in Tbill paydowns freeing up cash.
On March 12 OIS priced the 1st RBA rate cut for August 2024. On April 12 OIS prices the 1st RBA rate cut for March 2025.
*FITCH REVISES OUTLOOK ON CHINA TO NEGATIVE; AFFIRMS AT 'A+'
Shorter RBNZ - We are a single mandate Central Bank. $NZD
US rates sell off was stopped in its tracks last night by after a huge block buyer in $1.9m/DV01 SFRZ4. buyer 75k SFRZ4 at 95.32 (09:19et) The +75k block buy was the largest outright block in SOFR since the product began trading when L was phased out. -ITC Markets Sean O' Rourke.
At the top of the hour Neel Kashkari, the President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, will visit the University of Montana to conduct a public townhall meeting. While Kashkari is a FOMC nonvoter in 2024, ITC have him situated with the hawks on our Fed hawk/dove…
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Worth watching Macron's speech on Europe. He highlights that EU love for "free market" is self-defeating and anachronistic and it is time to do industrial policy. Yet more evidence (if you still needed it) that post-neoliberal state interventionism is the new elite common sense.
@kit_lowe @EauDeMacro There has been a plethora of mistakes over the last decade....releasing Sullivan was not one of them
This is so misleading on so many levels I don't know where to start. Prices are still rising, and every household knows it. Facts at abs gov.au.
#BREAKING: In some good news for the hip pocket, the latest numbers show inflation has fallen by 0.5 per cent in the first three months of this year. #9News READ MORE: nine.social/Fsp
@JessicaDAmir Narrative switch has begun almost the tew tew x.com/kit_lowe/statu…
First Fed's Willams and now Bostic mentioning the "hike" word. $USD
@jasondebolt So if no future $TSLA products unless you approve Musk’s comp package, then you’re voting for a protection racket, not corporate governance.
Alright, I have been doxed! 😂
@NUMISMATICS9 @aRishisays @kevinmuir Rishi just sent me this pic tho
@kit_lowe Bankers say rates won’t go up Markets say rates won’t go down Perfect equilibrium Equity markets listened to bankers only, priced to 👌 One hell of a crowded trade, no one positioned for a rate rise. Pucker up!
Seems apposite to post. A year on, the week before I went solo on @Ausbiz with my friend @Kyle_Rodda Even good things must come to an end and next week is my last at ausbiz. Thank you to @NadineBlayney @KylieMerritt & @kochie_online for the opportunity & an amazing year in media.
@kit_lowe No chance, Us hacks dont get paid much and Im daisy chaining my 4th house
@kit_lowe @EauDeMacro Gov went out of her way to reiterate they hadn’t ruled anything in or out. That said, I think she struggled to be convincing on the hawkish side. I reckon the minutes will discuss hike and cut, just like Feb.
@kit_lowe Probably because we’ve moved from a financial-stability driven Governor and a Phillips Curve-driven AG Economics to a more market indicators-driven leadership group.