#HousePriceCrash
The forum that predicted it all. Track market moves & sentiment, and sub to our B.S Free, data driven property newsletter.housepricecrash.co.uk UKJoined December 2008
Productivity growth had increased rapidly as well in the post WWII period, but it was failing to keep a pace rapid enough to offset the demographics headwinds.
Here is a 250-years UK productivity growth chart, courtesy of the Bank of England.
The trend was clear here too.
6/
Would the return of:
1. ‘sound money’
2. a house price to earnings ratio of 3 times.
3. and a ban on government running a budget deficit.
Be deemed as radical; conservative or neither.
House prices adjusted for inflation since 1975.
The charts for Canada, Australia, New Zealand, and the UK look like a s**tcoin during a pump.
The Japanese real estate bubble of the 1990s is barely visible as a comparison.
Looks very sustainable...
A really miserable day for housing stats. I'm surprised the jump in the number of ppl in mortgage arrears isn't getting more attention. UK Finance's data show 93,680 homeowner mortgages in arrears of 2.5% or more of the outstanding balance in Q4 2023. That's 25% more than in 2022
New version of the extension was released this morning to fix a couple of issues. It will automatically update for you so you don't need to do anything 👍
Kuttner (2013) observes that while housing prices do adjust to monetary policy, the impact on prices only materialises after around TWO years...
🫣
...TWO years ago (DEC-21) bank rate had only just been hiked off 0.10% to a mere 0.25%...standby.
📣 In the latest post:
📌How skint are Brit's compared to Europe...
📌Why you're a customer of central banks
📌You're looking at house prices in COMPLETELY the wrong way.
(please ONLY read if sitting down)
housepricecrash.beehiiv.com/p/heres-real-r…
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