Gregor Sebastian @gregor_seb
Senior Analyst @rhodium_group focusing on EU-CN economic relations, industrial policy and China’s EV industry Berlin, Germany Joined January 2020-
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“It’s ironic, really,” @mazzocco_ilaria tells the @TheAtlantic. “Our efforts to cut China out from every part of the supply chain might actually be what prevents us from competing with their EVs.”
“It’s ironic, really,” @mazzocco_ilaria tells the @TheAtlantic. “Our efforts to cut China out from every part of the supply chain might actually be what prevents us from competing with their EVs.”
When it’s Monday morning and you meet colleagues at the airport, you know that you are living the #ThinkTankLife ! Discussing #China overcapacity in Berlin airport with Jacob Gunter and @gregor_seb 🌟
A great pleasure to moderate this exciting panel on China's impact on EU decarbonisation at @AMO_klima conference with @BelindaSchaepe @R_Spicar_SP_CR @gregor_seb
A great pleasure to moderate this exciting panel on China's impact on EU decarbonisation at @AMO_klima conference with @BelindaSchaepe @R_Spicar_SP_CR @gregor_seb
A joint venture between India’s JSW Group and Chinese SAIC-owned MG Motor aims to sell 1 million EVs in India by 2030. JSW’s Sajjan Jindal: “We will manufacture them in India and also export them to the most developed markets.” This partnership is interesting in several ways:…
Shipbuilding: the new battleground in the US-China trade war on.ft.com/3Ty1Qds
Fantastic work on 🇨🇳 FDI in the EV supply chain by @gregorseb @RevaGoujon and Armand Meyer shows that localization of cathode and anode production by Chinese firms is growing rapidly in LATAM, Europe, Asia. Next step: EV factories rhg.com/research/pole-… via @rhodium_group
The US will never allow Chinese EVs into the US market. It hits too many things at once: competition with China over American union manufacturing jobs in the symbolically important auto sector across major swing states like Michigan, Wisconsin, and Ohio.
As a giant container ship lands in Germany full of 1000's of Chinese e-vehicles, we have insights from Gregor Sebastian @gregor_seb at Rhodium @rhodium_group on what this means. Interview with Rob Watts @Rob_Watts | DW Business youtu.be/uEr5h6b-CHg?si… via @YouTube
In the past, Chinese companies struggled to compete with highly specialized German machinery companies, manufacturers of ICE vehicles, and producers of specialized chemicals. But that's now changing:
Great chart from Rhodium. China is the new Germany -- Much of the shift happened in the pandemic, while the Davos crowd focused on "fragmentation" even as China's surplus soared.
Great chart from Rhodium. China is the new Germany -- Much of the shift happened in the pandemic, while the Davos crowd focused on "fragmentation" even as China's surplus soared.
The German government rejected a planned JV between German chemical producer Evonik and the material unit of state-owned aerospace giant AVIC says @yicaichina. Reportedly, Berlin did not approve the use of one of Evonik's patents by the JV. yicaiglobal.com/news/german-go…
🇩🇪 export licensing for dual-use goods to 🇨🇳 are declining ▫️ approved value plummeted by 29% in 2023 ▫️ total number of approved exports decreased by 21% ▫️ approval times for companies increased from a few days to sometimes several months @sinolytics table.media/en/china/sinol…
🚨JUST IN EU starts a probe on a subsidiary of China’s state-owned rail giant CRRC, the first time the EU invokes its new foreign subsidies regulation. “There are sufficient indications that this company has been granted a foreign subsidy that distorts the internal market.”
Thorsten Benner @thorstenbenner
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2K Followers 5K Following Anchor, reporter & events moderator Specialist areas: business, science & healthBYD has become synonymous with China's rapid rise in electric vehicles. Wang Chuanfu's true ambition goes far beyond cars, and far beyond China. @FinancialTimes ft.com/content/b8bde0…
In this week's edition of Sinification, two important voices on #EU-#China relations providing two differing perspectives: Prof. Jian Junbo (简军波) from Fudan University and Grzegorz Stec (@grzestec), head of MERICS's (@merics_eu) Brussels office. sinification.com/p/breaking-the…
Thanks for the invitation to contribute @thomasdggeddes. It was a pleasure. We definitely need the exchanges even more when our points of view differ.
In this week's edition of Sinification, two important voices on #EU-#China relations providing two differing perspectives: Prof. Jian Junbo (简军波) from Fudan University and Grzegorz Stec (@grzestec), head of MERICS's (@merics_eu) Brussels office. sinification.com/p/breaking-the…
Lots of big news on the industrial policy / trade front over the last 24 hours, including big speeches from @johnpodesta and @POTUS. Thread with a few highlights... whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/…
When it’s Monday morning and you meet colleagues at the airport, you know that you are living the #ThinkTankLife ! Discussing #China overcapacity in Berlin airport with Jacob Gunter and @gregor_seb 🌟
I'm happy to officially share that I advanced to a new position of Head of #Brussels Office @merics_eu. It's been a great journey with wonderful colleagues, fascinating research & loads of #EU-#China. More to come. I look forward to this new chapter🥂 🔗merics.org/en/team/grzego…
A great pleasure to moderate this exciting panel on China's impact on EU decarbonisation at @AMO_klima conference with @BelindaSchaepe @R_Spicar_SP_CR @gregor_seb
@MatsR_Braun @OliviaLazard @LindaZeilina Pokračujeme panelem o dekarbonizaci #EU - bez, nebo s Čínou? 🇨🇳 Panelisty jsou @R_Spicar_SP_CR, @BelindaSchaepe & #GregorSebastian. Panel moderuje @FilipSebok z @amo_cina.
A joint venture between India’s JSW Group and Chinese SAIC-owned MG Motor aims to sell 1 million EVs in India by 2030. JSW’s Sajjan Jindal: “We will manufacture them in India and also export them to the most developed markets.” This partnership is interesting in several ways:…
I’ve been saying for a while that the overcapacity story isn’t totally clear cut. This brilliant @edwardwhitenz story raises Qs for me: what if overcapacity is in ICEs? What if it’s the foreign automakers that are going to flood the global markets?ft.com/content/b255d7… via @FT
Looking forward to joining this panel tomorrow!!
While Chinese auto investment is a small part of total Mexican FDI, it’s growing quickly. To find out potential impacts and possible policy responses please join @AsiaPolicy and @WITA_DC for a webinar tomorrow at 10am with a stellar panel asiasociety.org/policy-institu…
🚨NEW: Mercedes CEO says EU should *CUT* tariffs on Chinese EVs🚨 🔋"Let competition play out", Ola Kallenius tells me 🔋Carmakers "did not ask for" EU probe 🔋Must fight back with "better product, better tech, more agility" W/@patricianilsson: ft.com/content/acbba7…
If I were hiring, my only job interview question would be: "Are you obsessed with EV battery supply chains? If not, why?"
Fantastic work on 🇨🇳 FDI in the EV supply chain by @gregorseb @RevaGoujon and Armand Meyer shows that localization of cathode and anode production by Chinese firms is growing rapidly in LATAM, Europe, Asia. Next step: EV factories rhg.com/research/pole-… via @rhodium_group
Here’s a short piece I’ve written on how the party has decided to trust in the process and stay the course with its new tech-innovation development model. merics.org/en/comment/mis…
The US will never allow Chinese EVs into the US market. It hits too many things at once: competition with China over American union manufacturing jobs in the symbolically important auto sector across major swing states like Michigan, Wisconsin, and Ohio.
As a giant container ship lands in Germany full of 1000's of Chinese e-vehicles, we have insights from Gregor Sebastian @gregor_seb at Rhodium @rhodium_group on what this means. Interview with Rob Watts @Rob_Watts | DW Business youtu.be/uEr5h6b-CHg?si… via @YouTube
Chinese OFDI in EV-related industries is likely to have set a new record in 2023. At $28.2 billion, it has not yet matched the $29.7 billion of 2022, but the 2023 figure does not yet include several big-ticket projects with no known price tag, such as BYD’s Hungary plant. 🧵
In the past, Chinese companies struggled to compete with highly specialized German machinery companies, manufacturers of ICE vehicles, and producers of specialized chemicals. But that's now changing:
After living for a few years in DC it boggles the mind when you land in Berlin and remember that there are multiple train options out of the airport into the city. you need to make sure you’re on the right platform! None of the trains take 1.5 hours!
Great chart from Rhodium. China is the new Germany -- Much of the shift happened in the pandemic, while the Davos crowd focused on "fragmentation" even as China's surplus soared.
e.g. Global export share of certain industrial equipment - China vs. Germany 1995-2022