we are now comfortably in silly territory with these youth voter crosstabs
@gelliottmorris 538 has a solid article ready to say if we are seeing a generational shift in the electorate since civil rights or something insane is going on with polls. We are at the point of poll herding and none of the pollster wants to make this voter realignment their headline
@gelliottmorris The Chinese influence operation call tiktok is paying off big time.
@gelliottmorris @DrewSav Trump sneakers. Up next trump bibles.
@gelliottmorris There's a point when response rates are so terrible that no amount of weighting can save your sample.
@gelliottmorris @MollyJongFast We need full surveys of Only Black voters or Only Young Voters to see if the cross tabs can be trusted.
@gelliottmorris Do you think the issue with a lot of polling for younger voters is a lot of them aren't answering phones because of cold calling?
@gelliottmorris Working theory is the only under 30s you can reach with a landline survey are Incels living in their parents basement which are... not representative!
@gelliottmorris @MollyJongFast I also have a very hard time believing that Biden will lose an election where he’s only minus 10 with Whites.
@gelliottmorris As in silly to be looking at them or the cross tabs themselves are silly ?