David Iileka @dniileka
self proclaimed 'Oracle of Otamanzi' | Economics | Finance. Tweets are purely market observations, not advice of any sort. interaction ≠ endorsement. Namibia Joined October 2019-
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Namibia’s BON interest rate is influenced by South Africa’s SARB which is influenced by the United States’s Fed Now the problem is USA inflation is proving to be sticky, RSA is somewhat okay and getting better, Namibia’s inflation is looking healthy Tricky place to be in 😬
Thats not how inflation works Yes, Food and non alcoholic beverages inflation is now at 4.9% (from 14.6% in march 2023) it doesn’t mean prices dropped. It means prices prices are still increasing but at a lesser amount
Thats not how inflation works Yes, Food and non alcoholic beverages inflation is now at 4.9% (from 14.6% in march 2023) it doesn’t mean prices dropped. It means prices prices are still increasing but at a lesser amount
Inflation in Namibia looks to be back at normal levels Headline inflation 4.5% Core inflation* at 4.3%
USA inflation continues to be a sticky fight 🇺🇸Inflation now at 3.5%, higher than market expectations Looks like Interest rates will remain higher for longer
USA inflation continues to be a sticky fight 🇺🇸Inflation now at 3.5%, higher than market expectations Looks like Interest rates will remain higher for longer
How much monthly revenue are banks losing? how many of the +500k disconnected sim’s used cellular phone banking and/or mobile banking wallets- (ewallets, blue vouchers, et cetera)
How much monthly revenue are banks losing? how many of the +500k disconnected sim’s used cellular phone banking and/or mobile banking wallets- (ewallets, blue vouchers, et cetera)
The average customer is only spending N$25 per month on mtc products? Love and light to $MOC shareholders😬
The average customer is only spending N$25 per month on mtc products? Love and light to $MOC shareholders😬
MTC reports that 323k customers have been disconnected resulting in N$ 8.1 million lost in monthly revenue Telecom/TN reports 191K customers have been disconnected, using mtc’s average customer spent thats nearly N$ 4.8 million lost in monthly revenue
The most concerning find: the average Namibian is contributing less to the Namibian economy when compared to over a decade ago (2011)
The most concerning find: the average Namibian is contributing less to the Namibian economy when compared to over a decade ago (2011)
There is much to unpack in the recently released Namibian GDP data Are we entering our golden years? Is gdp growth of +3% the new normal? Or we just historically been underperforming ?
2024 was supposed to be the year we see interest rate cuts, but there is a growing voice that suggests that current interest rates in Namibia( 7.75%) and South Africa (8.25%) and other CMA countries isn’t high enough to bring inflation back to target levels
Bank of Japan has raised interest rates for the first time in 17 years, from -0.1% to 0%~0.1% The central bank of Japan has had a negative interest rate since 2016 in attempt to stimulate economic growth
Highly recommending this to all unam students, financial literacy is a life skill.
Exciting times ahead as we kick off 2024 with registrations for the UNAM Investment Society. Join us on this financial journey and let's make this year a prosperous one together! 💼📈 #NewYearNewInvestments #UNAMInvests2024
Namibia 🇳🇦 Population: 3 million Tax payers: 949000 31.4% (56% of labor force) South Africa 🇿🇦 Population: 62 million Tax payers: 7.5 million 12.1% (30.5% of labor force)
Also it being an election year one has to wonder, i know total population under the age of 35 makes up 71.1% and (15-35 years of age) make up 34.1% But what about voting eligible youth (18-35) probably 25%-30%🤷🏾♂️
Looking at the bigger picture, is our economic development and economic growth in line with population count? Are our national development plans/ programs accommodative enough? was our recently tabled national budget big enough to cater for 3 million people’s needs?
Looking at the bigger picture, is our economic development and economic growth in line with population count? Are our national development plans/ programs accommodative enough? was our recently tabled national budget big enough to cater for 3 million people’s needs?
With the NSA releasing their preliminary census results, total population reaches 3022401. First thing that comes to my mind is GDP per capita. We previously estimated to have a population count of +-2.6 million and GDP per capita of N$80k (higher middle income country rank)
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@dniileka It's interesting to see which hand holds the royal flush.
@dniileka The conversation on SARBs cutting rates before the Feds isn't far off the radar. 🙃
@dniileka At the end the Fed will be the sharp shooter global indicator for both Namibia and South Africa, especially South Africa.
SA inflation slightly better than expected at 5.3%. Sarb is still dependent on what the federal bank does.
BOTTOMLINE - Economists say the repurchase (repo) rate will remain unchanged for the next three months. buff.ly/3vQhdoH
OUCH! IMF has cut #Germany's econ growth in 2024 to 0.2%, after projecting a 0.5% rise in its January forecast. Europe's biggest economy is predicted to have the weakest growth of all G7 industrialized nations for the current year. For 2025, IMF revised German growth to 1.3% from…
Good Morning from #Germany where the transatlantic rift widens – at least in the financial markets. The spread between 10y US govt bond yields and German Bunds has risen to 214bps, the highest since 2019 on divergence in monetary policy.
Good Morning from Joburg where equities struggled for direction Friday as traders looked for clues on the timing of Fed’s rate cuts amid a murky inflation outlook. Earnings season kicks off with JPMorgan, Citi, Wells Fargo and BlackRock reporting today. JSE Top 40 called +0.50%.
I have no desire to be well-known... just well-paid…”
Good Morning on ECB day from #Germany, where key interest rates should be lower than they currently are, acc to Taylor Rule. Fair rate should be 4.35%, 15bps below current rate. However, this does not apply to entire Eurozone. There, main rate should be 50bps higher. This shows…
@dniileka It’s how “news” works this the ever increasing confusion in the minds of the public 🙆🏻♂️
Thank you for the correction
Thats not how inflation works Yes, Food and non alcoholic beverages inflation is now at 4.9% (from 14.6% in march 2023) it doesn’t mean prices dropped. It means prices prices are still increasing but at a lesser amount
Inflation rate, March 2024: #inflation #consumerpriceindex
Good Morning from Joburg where Industrial metals prices extended their gains on Tuesday while Asian shares crept up a little more cautiously ahead of the ECB on Thursday. In Shanghai, the most-traded copper future rose more than 1% to a record high. JSE Top 40 called slightly up.
@dniileka Looking at those figures, I say it would have been a different situation had MTC allocated a portion of it to consumer benefits 😌, maybe register your sim and receive Aweh🤷♂️ with a sexy balance sheet, would have they done so??
@dniileka tell this people that a unit trust ran by seasoned investment professionals will return you 8%, & gaslight you that they outperformed the benchmark & inflation — & than BS you with wealth quotes on time & compound interest. While charging a hefty “management fee”💀😂😂