Steven Rattner @SteveRattner
Former head of Obama Auto Task Force. Wall Street financier. Contributing Writer to NY Times Op-Ed. Morning Joe Economic Analyst. 🌐 stevenrattner.com New York Joined October 2011-
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"Vaccines alone, the researchers find, accounted for 40 percent of the decline in infant mortality. The paper... estimates that in the 50 years since 1974, vaccines prevented 154 million deaths." cc: @voxdotcom
The initial reading for Q1 real GDP came in lower than expected, at 1.6% (QoQ, seasonally adjusted annual rate).
Q1's GDP reading was dragged down by (as compared to 2023 Q4) higher net imports, weaker personal consumption growth, and lower gov't consumption.
With sales and construction collapsing, China’s real estate slump mirrors what the U.S. experienced during the Great Recession. @Morning_Joe
China's real estate collapse has weighed heavily on the country's economy writ large. Since 2019, the Beijing stock market has risen less than 20%. (The S&P 500 is up 87% since then.) @Morning_Joe
China's real estate industry accounts for nearly 30% of the country's GDP, and Chinese household have almost 80% of their wealth tied up in real estate. (In the U.S., by contrast, real estate accounts for less than a third of total household wealth.) @Morning_Joe
China’s property bubble is bursting. After nearly a decade of rapid gains, home prices have fallen by 6% over the last year. @Morning_Joe
Between 2003 and 2019, construction of new residential property in China ballooned by 280%. Over the same period, its population grew just 9%. Now, the country has more homes than it can fill. @Morning_Joe
China's property market is in trouble. I'll be on @Morning_Joe to in a few to discuss (and chart) the problem.
Biden's campaign closed the small-dollar donor gap in Q1, and now leads Trump in fundraising among <$200 donations.
"The U.S. economy is one of the only places in the world right now that is doing even better than expected before the pandemic began." cc: @washingtonpost @crampell
The @IEA projects that wind and solar production will grow 690% by 2050...to just 16% of the global energy mix. To reach our climate goals, low-carbon energy sources have to largely replace fossil fuels, not just complement them. cc: @Morning_Joe
The switch from coal to natural gas (and, now the growth of renewables) has helped drive U.S. emissions down 15% since 2005. But even with the green energy boost of the Inflation Reduction Act, we're still a long ways from our Paris Accords goals. @Morning_Joe
Michael Beschloss @BeschlossDC
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We all need to wake up. Thank you @SteveRattner #EarthDay
Videos appears from Isfahan, the city that was struck, of air defenses active. There was at least one large explosion, near an air base in the city. The attack appears to be ongoing. x.com/hdagres/status…
🚨 BREAKING: Israel appears to have attacked Esfahan, Iran. This video was posted by the IRGC.
The pullback in the hiring rate is more a sign of reduced churn than a big pullback in labor demand. Two nice graphs from Manuel Abecasis at GS
Literally what's happening here is they see the red line on the left going down and think it means the opposite of what it means.
First pic was mine, second much better one was taken by my friend K. Absolutely worth 13 hours of travel.
@kausmickey @SteveRattner Look at the chart again
So @SteveRattner posted a chart showing a *decline* in the number of native-born Americans who are Not In Labor Force, but through a game of rightist telephone @kausmickey is telling people the opposite.
@SteveRattner Here are the facts, which I know you love! 4.8 but only 4.7 km depth so a shallow one .... here's the professional view: earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/ev…
Thrilled to share I’m joining the @FT as U.S. deals and activism correspondent, starting later this month.
One question that chart raises is whether the immigrant labor force growth since 2019 has crowded out any native-born growth. There's no evidence for this: native-born LFPR is now *exactly* where we would have predicted just by extending the 2019 Q4 LFPRs of each age-sex cohort.
Immigration has been a substantial piece of our performance. For example, without immigration, the US labor supply would have shrunk since 2019. Instead it expanded by 2 million, allowing for more output, more new businesses, and more firm expansions. /3
Friends, American workers, households, and businesses are incredibly, remarkably strong and resilient. We are doing great.
The @sffed looks at over-55s and finds the ongoing labor force drop is concentrated among non-college-educated workers, which complicates the story some people tell that rising asset values allowed folks to just retire early. frbsf.org/research-and-i…
Huge get for the NEC and the country
I'm honored to join the National Economic Council and get to work with this great team. And I'm excited to help continue building this strong, broad-based, dynamic economic recovery.
I'm honored to join the National Economic Council and get to work with this great team. And I'm excited to help continue building this strong, broad-based, dynamic economic recovery.
New: Biden is making a pair of appointments to his economic team. Navtej Dhillon will become a deputy director of the National Economic Council, after serving as NEC chief of staff, and @mtkonczal is joining the administration as a macroeconomic adviser. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
My newsletter just crossed 40,000 readers—thank you to everyone who has subscribed and read my work over the last few years! It's truly been an amazing journey and I'm excited to share even more articles with you all soon!