Rick Joe @RickJoe_PLA
if you type long enough into the abyss, the abyss will type back Joined August 2015-
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By making tweets without verification and care, you are spreading misinformation. It may not be deliberate, but you should be deliberately taking care to not make mistakes that can then be signal boosted by others who don't know better.
This may be better titled: "China has peaked, but can still threaten US interests". There's no strong argument against why China hasn't peaked, and is more "enemy is both weak and dangerous" in scope. Nothing wrong with that, but also not as incisive as the title suggests.
This may be better titled: "China has peaked, but can still threaten US interests". There's no strong argument against why China hasn't peaked, and is more "enemy is both weak and dangerous" in scope. Nothing wrong with that, but also not as incisive as the title suggests.
Major features to await clarification on: - angled flight deck or not? - how many EM catapults and length? - how many deck edge elevators? We expect twin islands, well deck, and also some form of electric propulsion. Even from a naval watcher pov, 076 will be fascinating.
Major features to await clarification on: - angled flight deck or not? - how many EM catapults and length? - how many deck edge elevators? We expect twin islands, well deck, and also some form of electric propulsion. Even from a naval watcher pov, 076 will be fascinating.
A nice CGI comparison of 054B and Constellation classes scaled to best known extent, by 大包CG. Even with recent delays for Constellation program said to push delivery to 2029, the two classes can be considered close contemporaries in era and role.
IMO posting ideas lacking context, or without a reasoning base to defend, means people unfamiliar with PLA matters may infer wrong conclusions. For PLA watching, openly bouncing ideas publicly on Twitter isn't a good idea -- potential to mislead is too high.
I wonder if someone had voodoo'd, "add one week of delay to a major USN program, for every article saying the PLA Navy is bigger than USN". Journos, do your part to avoid further USN program delays! politico.com/news/2024/04/0…
Ignoring the minutiae of calculating per nation's military expenditure, this would be more interesting if the growth of military expenditure was expressed in context of GDP growth over the same period.
Ignoring the minutiae of calculating per nation's military expenditure, this would be more interesting if the growth of military expenditure was expressed in context of GDP growth over the same period.
Why do we think this must be for H-20 or GJ-11? Flying wing planforms are so ubiquitous, that it would be odd to me if a dozen different configurations are not investigated at any one point, including existing foreign configurations. This one for example resembles X-47B.
Why do we think this must be for H-20 or GJ-11? Flying wing planforms are so ubiquitous, that it would be odd to me if a dozen different configurations are not investigated at any one point, including existing foreign configurations. This one for example resembles X-47B.
As always, 高山CG makes among the best put together CGIs among the PLA CGI crowd. (Third image resembling the Spiderman pointing meme is rather powerful)
Z-20F as a modern, 10t shipborne ASW helicopter is one of the last systems of PLAN ASW advancement to be proliferated. It's logical why ASW helicopters are last relative to other ASW systems for PLAN, but this pic of Z-20F with service colours/roundel is a milestone.
Nevermind, it's a SAM confirmed. Still not DK-10, but a different model. (Via Kalec, SDF)
Nevermind, it's a SAM confirmed. Still not DK-10, but a different model. (Via Kalec, SDF) https://t.co/mrLFM2YpeJ
We can see folding tails on the new missile (pic 1), + missile fuselage appears similar in size to PL-15/E. Overall different to DK-10 SAM (pic 4). If air launched, looks optimized for internal carriage, can be the awaited new BVRAAM (?for 6 in weapons bay) or maybe ARM.
We can see folding tails on the new missile (pic 1), + missile fuselage appears similar in size to PL-15/E. Overall different to DK-10 SAM (pic 4). If air launched, looks optimized for internal carriage, can be the awaited new BVRAAM (?for 6 in weapons bay) or maybe ARM. https://t.co/uixrhLV4Ps
Ironically, western depictions of Xi (initially in totally-serious-media, now in social media garbage) has memed up more of a personality cult status for him than what actually exists on the Chinese side. Stern looking Xi on a dark red background is now a certified hood classic.
Ironically, western depictions of Xi (initially in totally-serious-media, now in social media garbage) has memed up more of a personality cult status for him than what actually exists on the Chinese side. Stern looking Xi on a dark red background is now a certified hood classic.
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2K Followers 44 FollowingThis is also just the first part. In a future essay, I also want to discuss China's trading relationship with the world and how demographic transition underpins these structural changes (and how the Q1 numbers fit in).
The CNSA/CALT representative at two sessions has confirmed that they have already completed the VTVL/Hover test. via digitalpaper.stdaily.com/http_www.kjrb.…
Oh, yet more new rockets. Wang Wei says China's main space contractor CASC will debut new 4-meter and 5m diameter reusable rockets in 2025 and 2026 respectively. This is apparently coming alongside/competing with China's commercial rocket makers. Wild. chinanews.com.cn/gn/2024/03-04/…
Note: In fact, what has happened instead is that US controls have driven the industry together, for example, the tool makers are much more integrated vertically, and with the fabs, mostly since October 2022. This would never have happened absent the controls. But you have to…
During the CZ-7 live stream. The CZ-7A deputy chief designer said "The CZ-10 will launch at 2025~2026". Also according to the CMS deputy chief designer Yang liwei :"The prototype of CZ-10, next gen manned ship & moon lander start producing "
Further evidence that TFP under-estimated underlying productivity growth, especially in land-constrained countries that saw capital stocks rise rapidly like Singapore and HK. Very much applies to China’s housing/infra.-led investment boom since the mid-2000s.
Interesting 2023 IMF working paper on how mistakenly including land rents in capital income share leads to an underested TFP growth in land-constrained, fast-growing economies like Singapore & HK. Presumably, China also experienced this effect since 2007. imf.org/en/Publication…
A well-argued contrarian view of China's economy from "Han Feizi" at Asia Times: China's consumption is higher in GDP terms than China's outdated GDP reporting system indicates, and China needs more not less infrastructure investment. asiatimes.com/2024/01/to-gro…
Land space has updated their website. The Zhuque-3 officially announced. 9 TQ-12B engines at first stage. 4.5m diameter body, reusable.
Absolutely hysterical piece that I cannot recommend enough if you enjoy the frantic protestations of rich assholes suddenly realizing they live in a country ruled by a communist govt. Too many to list them all, but a few of my favorite excerpts:
"To spend time in China at the end of Xi’s first decade is to witness a nation slipping from motion to stagnation ...questioning whether a Communist superpower can escape the contradictions that doomed the Soviet Union." Superb, nuanced piece by @eosnos newyorker.com/magazine/2023/…
Evolution of Peter Wennik, Chairman/CEO of ASML (the Dutch lithography machine maker), on China’s developing its own lithography machines: In 2019, Wennik confidently declared, 'Even if we gave China all the blueprints, China still can't produce a lithography machine.'
L'Institut 601 Shenyang du groupe AVIC est en train d'étudier un nouveau missile porteur conçu pour déployer un essaim de 80 drones. Le missile porteur mesure 7m de longue, 1m de diamètre et pèse 2,5t. Chaque #drone fait 60cm de longue pour une masse de 5kg.
@EK_Valensvek And third, the releaser try to using black blocks to make a false impression of secrecy. However, the contents that he try to blocked actually said that J-16s using onboard ECM system detected and tracked the EM emissions from F-35s and intercept, causing the contact event.
The first is how unemployed people are counted. In China, any jobless person residing in an urban area that has looked for work in the past 3 months and can start work within 2 weeks is counted as unemployed.
一次弹射消耗83度电,6.67MW功率,取柴油机30%效率的保守值,每秒消耗22.23MJ,工作45秒消耗1001MJ,柴油低位热值43MJ/kg,即满功率弹射一次消耗23.27kg柴油。一天弹射200架次还全都是满功率,总共消耗4654kg柴油,还不到5吨😅。
👀 The 2 stage variant of Long March 10 has a name now: Long March 10A. 🔵 both crew & cargo missions 🔵 892t thrust by 7 YF-100K 🔵 740t liftoff mass 🔵 67m tall 🔵 1st stage reusable 🔵 landing guided by engine burns & grid fins 🔵 sea landing platform & string catching system
A recent journal paper mentions the two-stage and reusable variant of Long March 10 will be commissioned for LEO launches after 2026 and the 3-stage moon landing will be ready for test flight in 2027 mp.weixin.qq.com/s/CaZ3MXVmHEb5…
Z-20 Variants Still Undergoing Testing Z-20F Z-20J
Extraordinarily insightful talk by John Thornton on China and its relations with the US. Truly a must-watch! Here he explains the "fundamental disconnect" between public statements that China-US is the most consequential relationship in the world and the utter lack of action to…
Here's a helpful illustration for those who are struggling to understand Elbridge Colby's complex geopolitical analysis:
"Taiwan is like a man with a cut in the ocean and China is like a Great White Shark and America is like a man in the boat." @ElbridgeColby joins @charlescwcooke's podcast to discuss Taiwan and the razor's edge the world sits on with the situation. FULL: trib.al/ezxR6NG
CALT propose more reusable rockets: 🔵7 130t-thrust kerolox YF-100N in 5m core LEO 14t 🔵12 80t-thrust metholox YF-209 in 5m core LEO 15t 🔵25 YF-209 in 7m core LEO 25t 🔵13 200t-thrust FFSC metholox "Chinese Raptors" in 7m core LEO 50t 🔵30 Chinese Raptors in 10m core LEO 100t
👀 hello starship. Two test flights of Long March 9 by 2033 and reuse both stages in the 2-stage variant.