Rees Catton Ophuls @ReesCatOphuls
Interested in Climate Change and Planetary Boundaries. Blown away by the brilliance of William(s) Rees, Catton and Ophuls. Joined February 2024-
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Is the Beaufort Sea supposed to have an SST Anomaly in April?
An update of an excellent and innovative graphic by @ReesCatOphuls "By 2nd April 2024 you experienced 506 days over 1.5°C, 100 days over 1.75°C and 6 days over 2°C." I'd also like to recommend a visit to his excellent website: parisagreementtemperatureindex.com
Okay friends, here are the preliminary daily warming stripes, updated through February, 2024. February saw a return to deep green. When the final numbers come in over the next few days, February may end up being the warmest month (by anomaly) on record. Stay tuned!
Please take a moment to appreciate this excellent novel graphic by @ReesCatOphuls . It shows the rate at which monthly milestones in global mean surface temperatures go from their first appearance to becoming a permanent state of the global climate. 1.75°C is next up.
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Coauthors and I have a new paper (under review) that estimates the impact of Hunga Tunga volcanic eruption over the past two years. The net effect of the eruption has been to cool the globe. essopenarchive.org/users/523044/a…
A friend came up with a much better headline: "Gas lighting gaslighting." theguardian.com/environment/20…
@hausfath As the effects of aerosols are nonlinear, it helps to look at this with a logarithmic scale:
Will never understand why this isn't at the top of the news cycle every day.
It's a form of mass psychosis, living life in a completely different universe where feasibility and the laws of physics are never things to be particularly bothered about.
"We have perhaps only 25 years to build a decarbonised economy in order to mitigate the worst impacts of climate change, and we are in a race to build the technology and sophisticated manufacturing base to ensure we can compete globally." thenewdaily.com.au/opinion/2024/0…
"The only thing worse than the failure of the energy transition would be the success of the energy transition ... Business as usual is destroying the planet. Business as usual by alternative means is still destroying the planet." -- Bill Rees
It's mid-April. Time for some seasonal cooling. El Niño is ending. Time for some interannual cooling. Nope. Let's set a new record high for daily ocean-average surface temperature. 😬
Another day, another modern-day record: global sea surface temperatures are now up to 21.19°C. By comparison, the 2023 record was 21.09°C, held from August 22-26.
@ReesCatOphuls @RogerHallamCS21 @BerkeleyEarth A bit less than 0.1C. But yes, our new high resolution version of the dataset shows slightly warmer pre-industrial temperatures, a bit more similar to what Hadley and NOAA show for that period: berkeleyearth.org/introducing-th…
@AfonsoBriza @ReesCatOphuls Yes -- Copernicus gives details. You start with the 1991-2020 reanalyzed mean they give. Then use a trig formula based on the day of the year. The final result looks like this, where the B column in the spreadsheet is the 1991-2020 mean.
@AfonsoBriza For the record, the 500-day is 1.51C above the baseline. Thanks!
Net-zero is the worst strawmann imaginable. The instant (2020?) human extinction scenario is ridiculous. Our scenario of stabilized forcings is already too optimistic. In reality, greenhouse gases are increasing and aerosols are decreasing, leading to accelerating warming.
@NASA PACE will help scientists study clouds, aerosols, and climate. ☁️ With these data, scientists can differentiate aerosols like smoke from dust or sea spray to better understand air quality and how much light aerosols absorb from the Sun. go.nasa.gov/4aNNGe2
Just in – data from our newest Earth-observing satellite, PACE! With PACE data, scientists can study microscopic life in the ocean and particles in the air, allowing us to monitor ocean health, air pollution, and impacts of climate change. More: go.nasa.gov/4aNNGe2
An update of an excellent and innovative graphic by @ReesCatOphuls "By 2nd April 2024 you experienced 506 days over 1.5°C, 100 days over 1.75°C and 6 days over 2°C." I'd also like to recommend a visit to his excellent website: parisagreementtemperatureindex.com
Do you think 1.5 is as dead as a doornail?
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