Prediction Markets
Independent, community-curated knowledge base for prediction market platforms, terminals, tools, and infrastructurepm.wiki Prediction MarketsJoined August 2023
UPDATE : Turkey follows suit and also bans access to Polymarket
once again, Turkish people are not only blocked from trading, but from accessing the website entirely.
It joins the following list of European countries that already block Polymarket :
- France
- Switzerland
- Belgium
- Hungary
- Bulgaria
- Spain
We are soon running out of countries from where to run a VPN.
If you add all the countries where trading is geoblocked, which Ireland just joined this week, they only remain a few countries in Europe from where Polymarket is completely usable
I think that's why @Polymarket has been investing so much in it's regulated US app, they see that the noose is tightening on free platforms.
Polymarket blocked in France !
Not as blocked from trading, but blocked from accessing the site entirely
The French gaming regulator (ANJ) has ordered all national ISPs to block Polymarket, meaning that you won't even be able to access to site to read the odds
why such a
🚨 Kalshi faces a major legal setback.
A Washington judge found the platform likely violated state gambling laws, a ruling that could shape how prediction markets are regulated across the US.
Here is the secret behind SwissToney, the #1 trader on Polymarket with +$21M PNL
they use SportsRadar
SportsRadar is the company setting the odds for most bookmakers
Do you think most sportsbooks have dedicated teams of researchers setting the odds for every possible event ?
No, now days they outsource that to SportsRadar
Sportsbook receive live odds feed from SportRadar's API, apply their spread, and count on these odds being better than the judgement of the crowd to not lose against their customers.
SwissTony is doing the same thing on Polymarket.
They are receiving live odds feed from SportsRadar and arbitrage it with the Polymarket odds.
Just look at their stats :
PNL : $21M
# of trades : 146k
position value : $161k
- High PNL show that they aren't a market maker, since LP rewards are not counted in there.
- High number of trades tell us this can't be a manual sharp trader.
- Low position value tell us it's likely an arbitrage strategy where capital is limited by size of opportunities.
They are simply leveraging privileged access to a professional sports intelligence service and running it against the @polymarket userbase
Interestingly SportsRadar has it's headquarters in St Gallen, Switzerland (🇨🇭), so i wouldn't be surprised if they were directly related to the SwissTony (🇨🇭) team.
Maybe that's how they got access to that service despite it being usually reserved for bookmakers
⚡ Hyperliquid to make HIP-4 market creation permissionless, allowing anyone to creat prediction markets.
The move could dramatically expand the number and variety of markets on the platform, but users are worried about the 500k $HYPE deposit required
🆕 New project added to the prediction markets wiki
ColdMath
@ColdMathAI is a wallet-first interface built for football and esports traders on Polymarket ⚽🎮
Trade directly from your wallet with live odds, native CLOB orders, and position tracking.
spain are world champions
this polymarket trader put $446k on them at 13 cents when nobody believed
the trophy just handed him a +650% return
the trade of the world cup
🆕 New project added to the prediction markets wiki
Spend Market
@spendmarket lets traders predict what Americans will buy, with verified purchase data determining the outcome 🛒📊
It brings consumer spending data on-chain through information markets.
🆕 New project added to the prediction markets wiki
TayDex
@taydexfun is a creator-first prediction exchange on Base, where users can create their own YES/NO markets ⚖️📈
It puts market creation directly in users' hands instead of relying on a centralized listing process.
44 Followers 30 Following🐋 The Clean Data Layer for @Polymarket
📊 Whale consensus · farmer filter · ISW monitor
🛠 Web · API · Python SDK · MCP for AI agents
🔗 https://t.co/gxarhS15bQ
0 Followers 5 FollowingPrediction markets for better-calibrated decisions. Live markets, transparent probabilities, and agent-ready APIs. Information, not financial advice.
11K Followers 10K FollowingToken = access.
Vegas. LA.
Opinions will settle here soon.
MORE token on Biconomy
Publicly traded: $BLLB | Since 2017
https://t.co/6tyT34qLzn
5 Followers 98 FollowingPodComet provides federated data from multiple sources, providing retail users with professional grade insight and signal indicators. Home of EventTracker
5 Followers 65 FollowingIndependent prediction-market analytics. We rank public forecasters by calibration (who's actually right) and flag when sharp money moves. Not financial advice.
2 Followers 30 FollowingThe social/index platform for prediction market traders with stat records.
Explore and be a part of a community!
OWNER: @Founder_001
Users: 3
16K Followers 1K FollowingTurned $150 into $100,000 on @Polymarket . Occasionally I share risk-free plays on prediction markets and post educational content.
2K Followers 1K FollowingKingston Chase Consulting, LLC. Data Analytics & Prediction Markets. I don't care about your hot take, just tell me something interesting I don't already know.
44 Followers 30 Following🐋 The Clean Data Layer for @Polymarket
📊 Whale consensus · farmer filter · ISW monitor
🛠 Web · API · Python SDK · MCP for AI agents
🔗 https://t.co/gxarhS15bQ
530 Followers 55 FollowingYour social superapp for prediction markets. Trade 70,000+ prediction markets with friends, for free with the best arb.
https://t.co/DKxKcYvqCd
2K Followers 1K FollowingKingston Chase Consulting, LLC. Data Analytics & Prediction Markets. I don't care about your hot take, just tell me something interesting I don't already know.
273 Followers 0 FollowingThe leading prediction market launching on @Solana. Bet on politics, crypto, music, sports, and more. Where insights meet blockchain technology.
817 Followers 1 FollowingAI-powered, unbiased news personalized for you. From politics to tech, our diverse coverage keeps you informed on what matters. Download now for free.
1K Followers 148 FollowingCompare odds and probabilities across @Polymarket, @Kalshi, @trylimitless, @predictdotfun, and @opinionlabsxyz. Market consensus, indices, and more.
1K Followers 184 FollowingThe free-first analytics platform for Polymarket. On-chain trades, whale tracking, deep market analytics — all in one terminal.
54 Followers 39 FollowingThe live intelligence layer for prediction markets. Three frontier AIs score Polymarket calls, daily audited, public, and queryable via API. https://t.co/KtTH5K4ZaX