Padda @Impij25
I bet on politics: $6k → $200k | 1,100 markets traded | 5.0 Sharpe polymarket.com/@paddaa Joined July 2025-
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Remember when Epstein totally dominated the news-cycle? As reflected in these Polymarket bets, very little actually came of it:
@prophet_notes That’s true but Israel and Hezbollah will never meet so any ceasefire or peace deal negotiations have to be conducted through Israel and Lebanon
Today is make or break for this bet! Israel and Lebanon are currently meeting in Washington and if Trump insists on fully appeasing Iran, and Netanyahu is willing to go along with it, then a peace deal could be announced I would not put the odds above 25%
@cremieuxrecueil Theo Von is tapped into the collective intuition, every populist aspiring-politician in the US should just repeat whatever he is saying
@BombaPlomba1 I think even if a peace deal is announced, israel will not fully withdraw
@cremieuxrecueil Their ego is arguing with the part of themselves that is starting to be convinced of your position
@mario_mirandda The meetings don't include hezbollah as a party, but the war between israel and hezbollah is the entire topic of discussion. So its a chance for israel to agree to a US and Iran imposed "peace" deal, which hezbollah and lebanon will then accept
@holy_moses7 I don't think Trump will be able to force this out of Israel 😭😭
@vlagudfsfjr @CarOnPolymarket @sharexyz @Polymarket I’m sure there will be
@RichardHanania If this happened today, Joseph Kony would land a sympathetic interview on Tucker Carlson
@cryptobasenji Latin America is on a roll when it comes to kicking out leftists!
You can find tons of low-risk high-APR bets on prediction markets if you look around for a while!
@KamlLaurenz They are good if you have a smaller bankroll, and they are often very inefficiently priced!
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