@prophet_notes That’s true but Israel and Hezbollah will never meet so any ceasefire or peace deal negotiations have to be conducted through Israel and Lebanon
Today is make or break for this bet!
Israel and Lebanon are currently meeting in Washington and if Trump insists on fully appeasing Iran, and Netanyahu is willing to go along with it, then a peace deal could be announced
I would not put the odds above 25%
@cremieuxrecueil Theo Von is tapped into the collective intuition, every populist aspiring-politician in the US should just repeat whatever he is saying
@mario_mirandda The meetings don't include hezbollah as a party, but the war between israel and hezbollah is the entire topic of discussion.
So its a chance for israel to agree to a US and Iran imposed "peace" deal, which hezbollah and lebanon will then accept
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