More Births @MoreBirths
Ideas for reversing the collapse in global fertility, the greatest challenge of our age. Humanity is precious. HT to Lyman Stone and other great demographers. Joined December 2022-
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Why are low birthrates a problem? Why is population decline a bad thing? To this writer, it seems obvious that population growth or at least population maintenance is extraordinarily crucial for the health of our civilization, and for the progress which we have come to expect.…
It would be a bad thing for views on family formation to become (even more) politicized in America. Countries where family formation came to be seen as right wing (Poland, South Korea) have seen very steep falls in fertility. Fun fact: Not that long ago, Democrats had more kids!
This has to be the worst take in Politico's history. The author is apparently oblivious to the fertility crash that is underway worldwide (with East Asia as ground zero) or else can't understand that population collapse is everyone's problem. This post will not age well.
This has to be the worst take in Politico's history. The author is apparently oblivious to the fertility crash that is underway worldwide (with East Asia as ground zero) or else can't understand that population collapse is everyone's problem. This post will not age well.
100%! Never ceases to amaze how many smart, informed people on so many issues don’t know the basic facts about the trajectory of humanity. Why @JohnIbbitson and I wrote Empty Planet. We need a different, honest conversation about this topic.
100%! Never ceases to amaze how many smart, informed people on so many issues don’t know the basic facts about the trajectory of humanity. Why @JohnIbbitson and I wrote Empty Planet. We need a different, honest conversation about this topic.
If they decide to cheer the disappearance of family because family and kids are right-coded, it will be a new low. I swear, someone at Politico has declared war on anything slightly religious-scented. politico.com/news/magazine/…
@BirthGauge I asked Chinese demography expert @fuxianyi about the regional difference in fertility in China. He told me, "While the southern part of China (especially Guangxi and Guangdong) still has remnants of the traditional Confucian culture of fertility, the northern part (especially…
The problem with “Great Replacement Theory” is that it fails to address the foundational issue of low birth rates. Record low birth rates are leading to population collapse in Europe and even faster population collapse in most of Asia. Immigration is low in Asia, so there is no…
The problem with “Great Replacement Theory” is that it fails to address the foundational issue of low birth rates. Record low birth rates are leading to population collapse in Europe and even faster population collapse in most of Asia. Immigration is low in Asia, so there is no…
Did the new spring 2024 fashion just drop? Congratulations @SimoneHCollins!
This is a really cool finding! When women end up with more kids than they expected or thought they wanted, tend to be happier on average! So when you encourage people to have more kids, you aren't merely helping to save🌎, you are also spreading joy! 🤸🥳👶👩🍼(HT @lymanstoneky)
This is a really cool finding! When women end up with more kids than they expected or thought they wanted, tend to be happier on average! So when you encourage people to have more kids, you aren't merely helping to save🌎, you are also spreading joy! 🤸🥳👶👩🍼(HT @lymanstoneky) https://t.co/sXquMdeXjD
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People who think the answer is a progressive welfare state have to explain Norway (TFR 1.5) People who think the answer is conservative social policy have to explain Korea (TFR 0.8)
Many of the people who are concerned with falling birthrates aren't willing to consider the set policies that would address the problem -- aggressive tax breaks for families, free daycare, free education, free healthcare, and building more/denser housing to slash the price of…
To everyone writing about declining birth rates, please distinguish between declining population size and population aging. Smaller populations aren't new. It’s the age structure that will occur on the way to smaller populations that is unprecedented.
@MoreBirths Archeologists have uncovered the ruins of a number of long-dead civilizations. Lack of kids may be why.
solving a growing relative number of old people by adding even more old people is not, in fact, a solve.
@anitaposting no, it's that y'all favor policies incidentally pronatalist but decline to actually stand up and say "a world where people have more babies is in fact a better world" as a direct statement
Having babies is a “right-wing plot” to save humanity from extinction 😂
Ep. 1357 - The Dastardly Right Wing Plot To Have Babies And Save Humanity From Extinction TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 - 00:31 Opening 1:55 - 18:23 The Dastardly Right Wing Plot To Have Babies And Save Humanity From Extinction 19:14 - 28:51 Columbia Student Who Said Zionists Don't…
Only about a third of the world even meets replacement rate fertility. This is the biggest problem of our time.
@adamscrabble Would think you would understand population stats. Over time, lowered birthrate isn't sustainable, so open the border in exchange for labor and the votes. He isn't wrong. Pat Buchanon's The Death of the West talked about this 20 years ago
@adamscrabble Elon is one of the smartest people alive. Laughing at his warnings is foolish.
@adamscrabble I think Elon is just looking at this as a math problem. Beware the surprising speed of exponential decline.
They are so cooked it's insane
Fertility intentions suggest China's fertility may have a lot further to fall. Given China's TFR was just 1.02 in 2023, this seems surprising, but South Korea shows there is no natural floor to fertility. This will devastate both 🇨🇳 and the global economy. 🧵, please share!
Americans - pls make children, not more LLMs
New data out this week shows the birth rate is now lower than it has ever been in history. And the driver is not money, it is values. Pronatalism - a culture of encouraging children - is desperately needed right now, perhaps more than anything else under the sun.
It's definitely largely housing. Local housing conditions strongly predict entrance into marriage and parenthood. I agree cell phones/social media/dating apps may also have monkeyed with mental health and coupling behavior and risk tolerance. But it's also absolutely housing.
It's not housing. Most of the decline in the birth rate occurred when housing costs were at historically affordable levels bc interest rates were low. And with 18yo now less likely to want children, those attitudes are beginning long before they even think about buying a house.
The best predictor of marriage and fertility behavior is not, in fact, social media exposure: not individually, not ecologically. The best predictor is if you live with your parents. Living with your parents is not entirely due to housing markets... but it's not not either.
@BirthGauge Fair to assume that the US will have an higher fertility than latin america in 2024.
Boomers never updated their knowledge about third world fertility rates, which they have learnt in the 1970s-80s during the overpopulation panic. The average upper middle class boomer still thinks that the fertility rate in India, Mexico, or any Arab country is around 7 kids.
Fertility in France is not highly variable by ancestral background. Women with entirely French grandparents still had nearly-replacement-rate completed fertility in 2019-20. This is from the TeO2 survey, it hugely oversamples immigrants.
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