Metaculus Extras @MetaculusExtras
News and comments via Metaculus. Not affiliated to Metaculus. metaculusextras.com Joined May 2021-
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... and Ege_Erdil shows that there's little evidence any of the months are different (metaculus.com/questions/8391…)
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SimonM looks up the rate of wars starting in each month (metaculus.com/questions/8391…)
Last week's top comments: metaculusextras.com/top_comments?s…
PeterWildeford lays out his odds for all the US 2024 Presidential candidates (metaculus.com/questions/6478…)
olliebase22 points out that SBF's donations will take time to ramp up (metaculus.com/questions/7340…)
Last week's top comments: metaculusextras.com/top_comments?s…
NunoSempere breaks down his forecast for another large donor in the EA space (metaculus.com/questions/7340…)
MaxR shares a link Claire Boine's forecast on EU AI rules (metaculus.com/questions/2788…)
Last week's top comments: metaculusextras.com/top_comments?s…
PeterWildeford thinks the community is too optimistic about Malaria despite a vaccine (metaculus.com/questions/1332…)
SignoreGalilei looks at the base rates for Belgium (metaculus.com/questions/7796…)
Last week's top comments:metaculusextras.com/top_comments?s…
Hazem @i_am_hazem
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Boite @Bwateuse
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howard s @gooing99
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Andy @___andy21
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Compo Capital @CompoCapital
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CraigMichael @craigorganism
17 Followers 124 Following Misfit Rationalist. Can’t sit at the LessWrong or SneerClub lunch tables. Full of Wired-Circa-‘95-Style Digital Idealism.
Carlos Rubio @CarlosR54998954
22 Followers 153 Following Preparador Físico Tenis Beijing 🎾🇨🇳| Tengo TOC a ratos | Curioso sin remedio
MB.Inv @inv_mb
40 Followers 337 Following
Tom Landlord @itztomlandlord
22 Followers 399 Following ⭢ Forecaster and holder at @Polkamarkets ⭢ Player at @Polymarket @manifoldmarkets @metaculus @Kalshi @futuurHQ ⭢ Blogger at https://t.co/EWU9wpHZiP
statsparrot @Zach0__
120 Followers 6K Following statsparrot. bayescraft. distributed systems. ml @ starlink 🛰️
Nico @Niico2022
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Craig Taylor @dctaylor25
286 Followers 730 Following Happily retired, with brilliant and accomplished children, a fabulous Dubliner wife, a new stubborn Bouvier - Miss Pancake - and a very fast red wheelchair.
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Aimil @runincraft
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ɢʀɛǟȶK̶i̶n̶g�... @GreatKingCnut
597 Followers 3K Following But the sea came up as usual and disrespectfully drenched the king's feet and shins. I want the good ending pls, not the bad one. transhumanist, ML, RL, lmao
Stacey Whorton @whorton_stacey
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Beta @Beta_Haus_
3 Followers 542 Following
Durrell Robinson @Blizake14
116 Followers 374 Following
Allen Matt Drews 🏳... @a11enmd
135 Followers 1K Following PhD candidate dosimetry/ instrumentation in nuclear physics @kcl_mrcdtp 🇬🇧 • space systems @KirunaLulea 🇸🇪 • astromycology @sklplanets 🇲🇴• admin @nepalmed
Nick @anothenickname
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Hypermind @Hypermind_com
865 Followers 310 Following Prediction markets since 2000 (previously NewsFutures).
Martin Rognlien @MRognlien
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Brian T. Edwards @LiquidData
1K Followers 1K Following Writing the rules to answer the questions about the future
Alexei Podgainov @vedevasz
4 Followers 386 Following
Jasper Götting @JasperGeh
429 Followers 943 Following AI+Bio at @SecureBio Like: Wellbeing Dislike: Suffering and Simplifications.
Spose @Spose_
131 Followers 499 Following Casually forecasting serious stuff. https://t.co/5X6AEU6iyQ ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Ingenua Libertad. @GallegoFuentes
268 Followers 1K Following Lego en derecho, sabia en hechos. 😉 Ex facto oritur ius.
Old Bull TV @OldBullTV
2K Followers 2K Following From American Civics Exchange, your insider's guide to political prediction markets. Check out https://t.co/EdIQHZJcYO and https://t.co/wXzTIqGjzb
ND @Y65rxnonv
0 Followers 5K Following
Conor McGurk @McGurkConor
82 Followers 684 Following Co-founder at @Safe_AI_Forum, we run @ais_dialogues. NYC-based. Views my own.
Manu Herrán @mherran
1K Followers 4K Following The intersection of Computer Science, Communication and Philosophy
Fortnightly Forecasts @FForecasts
177 Followers 455 Following Read what the future could look like, from a team of GJP superforecasters and well-calibrated colleagues: https://t.co/DizAl7s1RS
misha @mishayagudin
1K Followers 703 Following https://t.co/vg67nytMeV, https://t.co/GPOJxpxDYr, https://t.co/3u72x8A5Nw
Juan @heartbulbous
381 Followers 369 Following Personal account. Leave me anonymous feedback here: https://t.co/oWXFYarrVG
Emanuele Ascani @ascani_emanuele
26 Followers 912 Following
Metaculus @metaculus
13K Followers 838 Following Forecasts on critical topics. Labor Automation Forecasting Hub: https://t.co/jHtSvLhuih FutureEval: https://t.co/AuPHSXYWU7 Partner: https://t.co/9Ld1Xrk4eYYou might like
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