Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB
Election analyst and gambler who's been running his award winning blog since 2004. Pic is of grandad Charles campaigning in Lancashire in late 1920s politicalbetting.com UK Joined February 2009-
Tweets48K
-
Followers38K
-
Following399
-
Likes2K
Donald Trump and I were born within 36 days of each other in 1946. My aim is to outlive him
5
1
39
11K
0
View Details
Beware the Bookie rules before betting on a GE2024 overall majority – politicalbetting.com www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/arch…
The SNP’s lead in Scotland down to just 7% – politicalbetting.com www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/arch…
Will GE2024 produce a majority seats winner without a majority of votes? – politicalbetting.com www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/arch…
On health grounds alone betting that at least one of them won't be there looks like a value Smarkets bet
Latest WH2024 polling has Biden ahead of Trump but losing to Haley – politicalbetting.com www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/arch…
Peter Mandelson could well be right – LAB’s poll lead is artificial – politicalbetting.com www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/arch…
Ken Clarke is dead right on the Rwanda bill – politicalbetting.com www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/arch…
Mike Smithson retweeted
Regarding perceived economic competence, the gap between @UKLabour and @Conservatives narrows to twelve percentage points. Come back next week for updates on all of our weekly trackers.
Mike Smithson retweeted
In election year watch Opinium. It has the methodology most favourable to the Tories. Their new poll has a 15% Labour lead ( +2% ). theguardian.com/politics/2024/…
Hobson’s Choice? The Subpostmaster issue – politicalbetting.com www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/arch…
Nikki Haley moves up 12% in new WH2024 poll – politicalbetting.com www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/arch…
How many CON Mps will join these 52 before the election? – politicalbetting.com Institute of Government www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/arch…
When can we expect the Home Secretary's resignation? I thought that he would have gone by now
Nikki Haley see huge jump in latest YouGov New Hampshire poll and now just 15% behind Trump. She is my longshot bet for the nomination
Is a negative campaign against Starmer really going to work? – politicalbetting.com www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/arch…
Just 38% of GE2019 CON voters are certain to do the same next time – politicalbetting.com www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/arch…
How to increase taxes while saying you are cutting them . Call it a "contribution" as in NIC Are We All Trussites Now? – politicalbetting.com www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/arch…
Nikki Haley moves to a 5.8% net favourability lead over both Trump and Biden. She's the only one surely who can beat Trump for the GOP nomination realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/n…
Sam Freedman @Samfr
151K Followers 1K Following Writes the UK's most popular politics Substack (https://t.co/bcjXR0ncfL). New book - "Failed State" - now out https://t.co/uPuWlb39R3.
Stephen Bush @stephenkb
140K Followers 7K Following Associate editor and columnist @FinancialTimes. Tweet about politics, policy, culture, nerd stuff.. Get my newsletter here 👇
John Rentoul @JohnRentoul
150K Followers 542 Following Chief Political Commentator, The Independent; visiting professor, King’s College London. Author with Jon Davis, Heroes or Villains? The Blair Govt Reconsidered
jonn elledge is mainl... @JonnElledge
51K Followers 7K Following author, columnist, bestselling author (seriously). @newstatesman @theneweuropean @ohgodwhatnowpod. barely here these days, fewer nazis on bluesky.
Tim Bale @ProfTimBale
49K Followers 4K Following aka @timbale.bsky.social Teach politics at @QMPoliticsIR. New book: "The Conservative Party After Brexit: Turmoil and Transformation"
Sunder Katwala @sundersays
39K Followers 10K Following @britishfuture. Author How to be a Patriot https://t.co/2mVuOhKhxi Posting more under bluer skies now https://t.co/58yFpmYU8o
Robert Colvile @rcolvile
63K Followers 3K Following Director of @CPSThinkTank, EIC of @CapX, Sunday columnist for @thetimes, author of 'The Great Acceleration'. Politics, policy and parenting.
Kevin Schofield @KevinASchofield
58K Followers 1K Following Journalist and broadcaster. Been around a bit. Political editor of HuffPost UK. Got a podcast too https://t.co/6OnqA2RrW8
Robert Ford @robfordmancs
44K Followers 3K Following Politics Prof, account a legacy of happier times. I post more at Bluesky -try it. Buy my book! https://t.co/GkiYEHAegZ
Anand Menon @anandMenon1
59K Followers 6K Following Director @ukandeu Bitter and twisted observer of politics. ‘Not yoda’ (DC) ‘Slightly matey politics don' (Q. Letts) Trustee, @fullfact #LUFC
Iain Martin @iainmartin1
93K Followers 5K Following Director @LondonDefConf | Director @EngelsbergIdeas | Subscriber newsletter via link below | Recovering journalist | Financial crisis author
steve richards @steverichards14
61K Followers 1K Following Steve Richards presents the Rock N Roll Politics podcast: https://t.co/Wg3xOEd9Ls He's also an author and broadcaster
Ben Walker @BNHWalker
29K Followers 2K Following Co-Founder of @BritainElects. Senior Data Journalist for the @NewStatesman. Borough Councillor for Chester's city centre, West Cheshire
Rachel Wearmouth @REWearmouth
46K Followers 7K Following Journalist. Geordie. Your phone isn’t the real world.
Robert Hutton @RobDotHutton
47K Followers 2K Following Political sketches and film columnist for @TheCriticMag, co-host of classic cinema love-in @WarMovieTheatre. Only posting updates here. Find me on Bluesky.
Gavin Barwell @GavinBarwell
55K Followers 2K Following Former No 10 Chief of Staff, Housing Minister & Croydon MP. Now running NorthStar, which advises on UK and geo-politics #LFC fan, Tolkien nerd & Nandos addict
Giles Wilkes @Gilesyb
31K Followers 2K Following After advising No10 and BIS& writing @FT, now specialist partner @flintglobal, senior fellow @instituteforgov looking for authentic ways to improve us
Duncan Weldon @DuncanWeldon
63K Followers 3K Following Economist, broadcaster & writer. Author of 200 Years of Muddling Through. Economics, history, other stuff.
JWExTheSpa @SpaJw
6K Followers 679 Following Not on here so much as I was. Over where the sky is blue and the racists are far less common.
Alex Wickham @alexwickham
121K Followers 3K Following UK Political Editor for Bloomberg [email protected]
Maya💜 @NMVintage
3 Followers 15 Following 19 | Living for adventures & good vibes 💖✨ Traveling, laughing, loving life 🌸
Angelina.voight. joli... @A_J4067890
423 Followers 894 Following mom, Filmmaker, refuge advocate, humanitarian.
Fraser Brydon @ScotPotential
2 Followers 38 Following Scotland has the worst drug death rate in Europe. 100 people own 19% of its land. It gets £110m/yr from its greatest natural resource. These are choices.
Debby Kora @DEbbyKora1
462 Followers 3K Following
Chard Rhoades @RhoadesLan2552
765 Followers 7K Following
katie riley @KiaraKatieef5
139 Followers 392 Following
Fazza Mohammed @FazzaMoham69306
219 Followers 920 Following
Amber Hahn @AmberHahn221727
2 Followers 121 Following
Zoro @Zoro1060925
3 Followers 117 Following
Ella Jonny @ella_jonny75093
19 Followers 401 Following
❤️Jennifer Robert... @charlottepowel0
77 Followers 1K Following 💋💋Am a waitress I work at the restaurant and God is really creative , i mean ..just look at me 😘💋❤️
Anerhea @anerhea52330
9 Followers 468 Following
Orjoubi @Orjoubi3295461
9 Followers 487 Following
betTOM @bet_tom_uk
391 Followers 496 Following A proper British bookmaker. For Gold Cups, FA Cups and everything in between 🇬🇧 Visit https://t.co/VFh0ACOSMY Followers must be 18+ https://t.co/7LLQm26G61
Rosemary C. Haywood @BuzelinLeonardo
34 Followers 401 Following I am 40 years old and single. As a diverse and independent woman, I currently work in the fashion industry, collaborating with multiple companies. I also have e
Emma watson @AliceBella61079
4 Followers 67 Following
James 🇬🇧 @james_north4
376 Followers 3K Following National Liberal | Political analyst | First-class IR & Politics | MSc Public Policy 🇬🇧🏴 🇺🇦🇪🇺🇬🇱🇹🇼🇽🇰🇸🇬
Susan Alex @SusanAlex590549
71 Followers 3K Following Graphic design, marketing, kentucky USA. Shy and busy must time.
Mariam @Mariam_snh
29 Followers 777 Following Architect who designs living spaces for a healthier lifestyle. Serving NYC, SD, LA & beyond. @columbiagsapp
Морто @skvorets1989
113 Followers 515 Following
Angle mary @Anglemary324701
14 Followers 243 Following
Claire 👩⚕️ @clairelouisepa2
2K Followers 2K Following Self-employed Occupational Health Nurse Practitioner .Spaniel owner . Hiker .Runner. https://t.co/T22Bvn7XSD. Politically- Centre/Libertarian .
crampy77 @crampy77
232 Followers 821 Following
fwp1234 @fwp123416010
3 Followers 418 Following
Edge Analyst @EdgeAnalyst
141 Followers 342 Following 📊Sports betting insights - Horses, rugby, NFL, football - I want to help you bet better.
Skip17 @skip17
225 Followers 2K Following Overworked IT manager during the day, music, reading and drinking fan post 4pm
Big Tech's Little Vic... @BTLV_UK
22 Followers 235 Following
Grace Brown @aidanmurphy127
172 Followers 809 Following Many troubles and worries are actually caused by one’s own obsession. If you let go of your obsession, you will naturally feel at peace.
Wayne @Wayne132218221
2 Followers 132 Following
♥️ @himbeerebear
0 Followers 77 Following
DAVID I MCKAY @DavidMckay72086
46 Followers 774 Following TRUST, INTEGRITY : PRESIDENT & CEO Chairman at RBC, at ROYAL Bank Of Canada , PRESIDENT & CEO Chairman executive officer at RBC wealth management
Jaime Moss @JaimeMoss47503
4 Followers 367 Following DIY blogger sharing DIY projects and tutorials.
Paul Smith @PaulSmi60912826
0 Followers 11 Following
Stephen Bush @stephenkb
140K Followers 7K Following Associate editor and columnist @FinancialTimes. Tweet about politics, policy, culture, nerd stuff.. Get my newsletter here 👇
John Rentoul @JohnRentoul
150K Followers 542 Following Chief Political Commentator, The Independent; visiting professor, King’s College London. Author with Jon Davis, Heroes or Villains? The Blair Govt Reconsidered
jonn elledge is mainl... @JonnElledge
51K Followers 7K Following author, columnist, bestselling author (seriously). @newstatesman @theneweuropean @ohgodwhatnowpod. barely here these days, fewer nazis on bluesky.
Tim Bale @ProfTimBale
49K Followers 4K Following aka @timbale.bsky.social Teach politics at @QMPoliticsIR. New book: "The Conservative Party After Brexit: Turmoil and Transformation"
Robert Ford @robfordmancs
44K Followers 3K Following Politics Prof, account a legacy of happier times. I post more at Bluesky -try it. Buy my book! https://t.co/GkiYEHAegZ
Iain Martin @iainmartin1
93K Followers 5K Following Director @LondonDefConf | Director @EngelsbergIdeas | Subscriber newsletter via link below | Recovering journalist | Financial crisis author
Ben Walker @BNHWalker
29K Followers 2K Following Co-Founder of @BritainElects. Senior Data Journalist for the @NewStatesman. Borough Councillor for Chester's city centre, West Cheshire
Rachel Wearmouth @REWearmouth
46K Followers 7K Following Journalist. Geordie. Your phone isn’t the real world.
Robert Hutton @RobDotHutton
47K Followers 2K Following Political sketches and film columnist for @TheCriticMag, co-host of classic cinema love-in @WarMovieTheatre. Only posting updates here. Find me on Bluesky.
JWExTheSpa @SpaJw
6K Followers 679 Following Not on here so much as I was. Over where the sky is blue and the racists are far less common.
Alex Wickham @alexwickham
121K Followers 3K Following UK Political Editor for Bloomberg [email protected]
Tim Shipman @ShippersUnbound
205K Followers 4K Following Political Editor, The @spectator. Ex-Sunday Times, Mail, Sun Tel, Express. Author of the Brexit quartet. Order No Way Out and Out here: https://t.co/nAm0rtHga4
lee harpin @lmharpin
18K Followers 4K Following Journalist. Politics for Jewish News. https://t.co/TfYLaowZle . Some PR. Music, football, cricket, and stuff. Views my own
John McTernan @Johnmcternan
36K Followers 15K Following Senior Adviser - Burson; recovering political adviser; The Mace Top UK lobbyists 2026; "an expert in everything" - Alex Salmond
Luke Akehurst @lukeakehurst
31K Followers 5K Following Labour MP for North Durham. Email: [email protected]
George Eaton @georgeeaton
100K Followers 7K Following Editor-in-Chief and co-founder, @ArguablyMag: the new home of progressive ideas and debate. Subscribe on Substack: https://t.co/FbpvbqAxw4
Keiran Pedley @keiranpedley
16K Followers 6K Following Pollster. Public opinion / politics @IpsosUK. ‘Genuine poll boffin’ - Daily Star. Expect Spurs, polling & politics. Views my own.
David Herdson @DavidHerdson
2K Followers 498 Following Part-time writer. Fan of Bradford City and rail travel. Bibliophile. Dad. List not necessarily in order of importance. Also (mostly) on Blue Sky.
Ben Page @Benpagelondon
48K Followers 3K Following Research, strategy, polling, trends and foresight. Visiting Professor at Kings College, London FacSS FMRS CEO of @Ipsos (MORI) uk/globally 2009-25
Sky Sports Premier Le... @SkySportsPL
13.1M Followers 40 Following The Official Sky Sports Premier League X Account.
Milton Keynes Labour @MKLabourParty
3K Followers 705 Following Promoted by Shanika Mahendran on behalf of Milton Keynes Labour Party both at 417 Midsummer Blvd Milton Keynes MK9 3BN
LibDemBarChart @LBarchart
3K Followers 233 Following Started off investigating (& celebrating) the infamous #LibDemBarChart but fast realised they all do it! Now calling out dodgy leaflets across the board! 📊🏆
Conrad Longmore @ConradLongmore
3K Followers 722 Following Computer security. Gadgets. Progressive politics. Mastodon: @[email protected] Bluesky: @conradlongmore.bsky.social 🇪🇺🇬🇧
Cllr Shepzy @tshep42
14K Followers 444 Following Very proud Labour councillor. Delighted to have a Labour government and look forward to making real and transformative change!
The News Agents @TheNewsAgents
165K Followers 12 Following Lifting the curtain on the biggest stories in the UK, U.S. and beyond. With @Maitlis, @JonSopel and @Lewis_Goodall. 🎧 Listen and subscribe on @GlobalPlayer 📲
Baroness Casey Review @Casey_Review
3K Followers 0 Following The official account of the Baroness Casey Review into the standards of behaviour and internal culture of the Metropolitan Police Service.
Tim Ross @TimRoss_1
13K Followers 2K Following Reporting European, U.K., global politics for @POLITICOEurope. Latest book ‘Landslide: The inside story of the 2024 election’. Also @timross1.bsky.social
Emily Roberts (Ashton... @elashton
38K Followers 1K Following Public affairs for British Airways. Formerly government comms, political correspondent
John Lichfield @john_lichfield
17K Followers 2K Following Veteran correspondent on all things French and European. Tweets on 🇫🇷,🇪🇺,🇬🇧,🐟,🚂&⚽️.
Blaise Baquiche @BlaiseBaquiche
2K Followers 1K Following International Trade & Farming | Ran in Britain's barmiest by-election | 🇬🇧 🇵🇹 A Velha Aliança!
Marina Hyde @MarinaHyde
473K Followers 3K Following Guardian columnist. Co-host of The Rest Is Entertainment podcast.
Hilary Benn @hilarybennmp
160K Followers 472 Following Labour MP for Leeds South and Secretary of State for Northern Ireland
David Millar 🔶 @LibDemDavidM
965 Followers 2K Following LibDem Councillor for Fordingbridge, Godshill & Hyde on New Forest District Council. Town Councillor for Fordingbridge.
Nerine Skinner @nerineskinner
7K Followers 2K Following Comedian/BGT Semi-Finalist. Runner up Funny Women ‘23. Live Shows ➡️ https://t.co/0vb4cYemoj
Mark Fitzpatrick @MarkofBrickhill
679 Followers 249 Following Lib Dem activist, Brickhill Parish Council chair, Bird Ringer, works in IT, was a school governor for over 20 years, former climber and still loves the hills
Polly Toynbee @pollytoynbee
169K Followers 1K Following Polly Toynbee is a Guardian columnist, formerly BBC social affairs editor. Her latest book An Uneasy inheritance, my family and other radicals is out in June
English Folk Expo @englishfolkexpo
5K Followers 1K Following Championing English folk, roots & acoustic music through festivals, showcases, mentoring, training & more. @mcrfolkfest | https://t.co/xe7fi1DI8x
Julian Huppert @julianhuppert
18K Followers 179 Following Former MP for Cambridge Now running @intellforum @jesuscollegecam https://t.co/sOOmgrNj9X
Electoral Reform Soci... @electoralreform
52K Followers 1K Following The Electoral Reform Society is an independent organisation leading the campaign for your democratic rights. Sign up for updates: https://t.co/91P9E3VoL0
Jay Rayner @jayrayner1
336K Followers 269 Following Eats. Writes about it for the Financial Times. Chairs Kitchen Cabinet. Plays a bit of piano. Has big hair. Doesn't accept comps for reviews. [email protected]
Tomos Doran 🏴�... @portraitinflesh
7K Followers 4K Following Blogger, writer, Welsh. Reach me at: [email protected] Add me on Bluesky: @portraitinflesh.bsky.social
James Doyle @jdoyleworthing
596 Followers 95 Following Interested in, but retired from, politics. 🔶💚 Books. Theatre. Science. Art. He/Him/His
Rob Blackie 🔶 @robblackie
5K Followers 2K Following Breaking Putin's censorship. Former London Lib Dem Mayoral candidate.
Iain Dale 🏴�... @IainDale
265K Followers 5K Following @LBC 7-10pm Mon-Thu. @WherePolitics Meets History pod. @IainDaleAllTalk pod. Columnist. Author. Substacker. Book Agent: Curtis Brown TV: Arlington Talent
JL Partners @JLPartnersPolls
9K Followers 76 Following Research. Insight. Strategy. We merge rigorous research with strategic insight to help clients see the bigger picture and give them the conviction to lead.
SalBrinton @SalBrinton
9K Followers 2K Following Chair, Liberal International Human Rights Committee; Vice Pres @ALDE. Lib Dem in House of Lords. Lib Dem President 2015-19. Wheelchair user.
Munira Wilson 🇺�... @munirawilson
21K Followers 3K Following MP for Twickenham 🔶️ Lib Dem Education Spokesperson 🔶️ Promoted by the Liberal Democrats, 15 Richmond Rd, TW1 3AB
Tom Larkin @TomLarkinObs
24K Followers 2K Following Head of @ObserverUK TV, making all things video. Ex Sky News.
martha richler @MarthaRichler
569 Followers 2K Following Radio presenter & producer @ResonanceFM @radiowinch @themindstation Spotlighting #women in music & indie artists @theflistmusic Ambassador since Jan 2021
Benedict White @BenedictMPWhite
4K Followers 5K Following I'm a former Conservative party activist in Sussex. I am not a member of parliament, the MP are my middle initials
BBC Election @bbcelection
65K Followers 3 Following An automated results service for the 2022 local council elections in England, Scotland and Wales from BBC News. #BBCElection #LocalElections2022
Tiverton & Honiton Li... @TivHonLibDems
1K Followers 705 Following Fighting to get a fair deal for Devon and working with @RichardFoordLD to demand better for our communities.
Chris Mason @ChrisMasonBBC
269K Followers 5K Following BBC Political Editor. Watch https://t.co/2IfRZaef0z Listen https://t.co/hQ7f47Llcy Read https://t.co/6LRltyeZ27
Ian W. Toll @IanWToll
5K Followers 3K Following #PacificWar historian, #USNavy historian, #WWII #WW2 Third book of my Pacific War Trilogy is TWILIGHT OF THE GODS, a NYT bestseller. [email protected].
BritishPollingCounci @BritPollingCncl
2K Followers 197 Following The British Polling Council (BPC) is an association of polling organisations that publish polls.
Techne UK @techneUK
2K Followers 404 Following Data, polling & public affairs. 30 years’ experience as partner to businesses, organisations & individuals through @tecneitalia. Member of @BritPollingCncl.
Iván Ramírez de Are... @JominiW
206K Followers 582 Following Polemologist, writer, and speaker on all things related to human conflict. Discussions on waging peace, surviving war, and the fate of Mankind.
Spencer Pitfield @SpencerPitfield
4K Followers 5K Following Building your business in times of turbulent change, I can help your organisation grow and prosper. Leadership Fellow Society St George’s House, Windsor Castle.
Stats for Lefties �... @LeftieStats
100K Followers 916 Following Stats and election analysis from a progressive, Marxist perspective. Run by @EleanoraStats. All opinions my own. She/her pronouns
Find Out Now @FindoutnowUK
10K Followers 417 Following UK's fastest polling service. Ask questions on https://t.co/6akKN5ZMg6 for answers in minutes. @BritPollingCncl member & MRS partner. [email protected]
TPTV Encore @TPTVEncore
6K Followers 1K Following TPTV’s on demand service. A vast library of classic cinema can be viewed for free at https://t.co/1WVZkGs9vF, via the red button on Freeview chan’ 82 or the app
TomorrowsPapersToday @PapersTomorrow
6K Followers 0 Following A voluntary service bringing you #TomorrowsPapersToday #Newspapers #FrontPages #BackPages
Wes Streeting @wesstreeting
238K Followers 9K Following Labour MP for Ilford North. Former Secretary of State for Health & Social Care.
Ros Atkins @BBCRosAtkins
351K Followers 5K Following BBC News Analysis Editor, The Media Show, 'The Art of Explanation', D&B DJ, 'Communicating...' podcast, squash enthusiast. Agents: @MiradorMgmt @zcosiniTrends for United States
You might like
Britain Elects
@BritainElects
327K Followers
Michael Crick
@MichaelLCrick
187K Followers
Faisal Islam
@faisalislam
367K Followers
Lord Ashcroft
@LordAshcroft
103K Followers
Tim Shipman
@ShippersUnbound
205K Followers
Patrick Wintour
@patrickwintour
88K Followers
Isabel Hardman
@IsabelHardman
159K Followers
David Aaronovitch
@DAaronovitch
170K Followers
George Eaton
@georgeeaton
100K Followers
Fraser Nelson
@FraserNelson
295K Followers
Nicholas Watt
@nicholaswatt
110K Followers
Christopher Hope📝
@christopherhope
121K Followers
John Rentoul
@JohnRentoul
150K Followers
steve richards
@steverichards14
61K Followers
Alex Wickham
@alexwickham
121K Followers