InvesTech Research @InvesTechUS

Volatility is heating up across the market as it faces unprecedented concentration risk and interdependence. In this month's issue of InvesTech Research we reveal the historic extremes present today and the ominous parallels with the past, take a deep dive into the AI leverage and private credit market risks, and examine the dichotomy in this stock market’s tug-of-war. This is not a market to turn your back on. Read the latest issue of InvesTech Research here: investech.com

Margin debt was just released for June, shooting up to a new all-time high. With this latest jump, the 3-month rate of change for Margin Debt came in at 23%. This lofty level has only been reached two other times in history: two months before the peak of the Tech Bubble and four months ahead of the peak in 2007 that led the Great Financial Crisis. Read the full Market Insight here: investech.com/subscriber-lib…

The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index showed quickly rising prices as it increased from 3.8% to a 4.1% annual rate – the highest in 3 years. This is more than double the Fed’s 2% target for inflation, and this latest release revealed that price pressures are becoming more entrenched in various sectors. Read the full Market Insight here: investech.com/subscriber-lib…

The June newsletter is here a day early! The latest publication of InvesTech Research is now available for subscribers to read on investech.com. In this month’s issue, we’re taking a clear look at the speculation shaping today’s markets, the Fed’s battle on inflation, and the technical indicators to track as we navigate through uncertain terrain. Visit investech.com/subscribe/ to gain immediate access to a comprehensive arsenal of investor resources, including the monthly newsletter, weekly Hotlines, key Market Insights, and more.

Margin Debt as a percentage of nominal GDP shot up 9% in May, reaching a new all-time high. What does this latest Margin Debt release mean for investors? The level of leverage (and dangerous investor psychology) today far exceeds the heights at other major market tops including prior to the 2000 Tech Bubble Washout and the 2007-09 Great Financial Crisis... Read More: investech.com/subscriber-lib…

Housing Starts fell -15.4% in this morning's release following an -8.5% decline in April. After remaining in a relatively narrow range for the last few years, this release signals a major break to a new 6-year low. Read our latest Market Insight on this report: investech.com/subscriber-lib…

The Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand just shot up to 6.5% year-over-year. While a large portion of these rapid increases continue to be driven by higher oil prices, impacts of broadening price pressures are being felt well beyond the energy sector. Read our latest Market Insight on PPI and what it means for consumer prices here: investech.com/subscriber-lib…

While we are far from cryptocurrency enthusiasts, we monitor Bitcoin because it can serve as a measure of investors’ risk appetite. As a speculative favorite, it often tends to peak in advance of the traditional equity market. Today, Bitcoin has fallen -51% from its all-time high of $124,753. Read our Market Insight on this development: investech.com/subscriber-lib…

The team had a great time yesterday volunteering to help maintain our local Whitefish Trail system. We are honored to support Whitefish Legacy Partners in their mission to preserve outdoor spaces for everyone to enjoy.

Consumer Sentiment plummeted to a new all-time low of 44.8 in its final reading for May as both the Current Conditions and Future Expectations subindexes collapsed. This is the first time that all three indexes hit new lows at the same time since November 1953 – just one year after the inception of the Index. With nearly 75 years of historical data, it is truly unprecedented for consumer attitudes to be so dismal. Read our latest Market Insight for more on this report: investech.com/subscriber-lib…

Volatility, internal divergences, and speculation have all increased this month - and there's more action below the surface. In this month's issue of InvesTech Research (just published!), we reveal key historical parallels, examine the critical thresholds of proprietary technical indicators, and expose the economic risks today. Most importantly, we walk through how to invest for resilience and profits in a high volatility, high risk market. Don't miss the important signals the market is sending, read this month's issue for more. investech.com/free-sample/

The Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand shot up in today's release for April from a 4.3% year-over-year rate in March to 6% – well above the expected 4.9% rate. This rapid increase was largely driven by higher oil prices, but impacts were widespread beyond the energy sector... Read our latest Market Insight for more on why this report matters - and what it means for the broader economy: investech.com/subscriber-lib…

The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index release today confirmed inflation is rearing its ugly head again as the Overall inflation rate spiked to 3.5% year-over-year in the largest 1-month increase since June 2022. Read our latest Market Insight to stay on top of this critical release: investech.com/subscriber-lib…

The stock market and the U.S. economy have had a turbulent start to the year and, despite a relief rally on the news of a ceasefire with Iran, leading indicators question whether smooth sailing is on the horizon… Don't risk getting caught off guard by the market. To read our latest issue of InvesTech Research, request a free sample here: investech.com/free-sample/

Consumer Sentiment from the University of Michigan plummeted to a record low in this morning's release. That means consumers currently feel worse about their personal financial situation than at any point since 1951- including the depths of the Great Financial Crisis. A few other notable events when consumer felt better than they do today are the entirety of the Vietnam war, Black Monday, and when inflation was nearly 15% in the 1980s. Read our latest Market Insight for more on this report and what it could mean going forward: investech.com/subscriber-lib…

Pricing pressures are rearing their ugly head once again… We created the InvesTech Blended Price Trends Composite to monitor how the price increases across both manufacturing and services impact the overall economy. In March, this measure shot up to its highest level since June of 2022, indicating a clear upward trend that could translate into higher inflation. Read our latest Market Insight for a deeper look at this compelling topic – and subscribe to stay informed as more data unfolds. investech.com/subscriber-lib…

Bond Vigilantes are back, and they are tightening in place of the Fed like they did in the early 1980s. Read our latest Market Insight for more on what is happening in the bond market, and how it could impact the broader economy. investech.com/subscriber-lib…

Risk is rising in the stock market as EVERY major U.S. market index is now negative year-to-date. Meanwhile, investors are grappling with the potential impacts of the war in the Middle East, the Fed’s inflation battle is heating up, and key technical indicators are ringing warning bells. Don’t miss out on this important issue of InvesTech Research! To read more, request a free sample of the latest issue here: investech.com/free-sample/