David Nir @DavidNir
Jew. 1st-generation Israeli American. Son of Holocaust survivor. Lifelong New Yorker, Democrat, Mets fan. Publisher, @DKElections. davidnir-at-dailykos-dot-com dailykos.com/thedownballot New York, NY Joined March 2009-
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Here's one way to avoid dealing with election results you don't like: just wipe them from the record books. It's not Orwell—it's Arizona, and we're talking all about it on this week's episode of The Downballot player.captivate.fm/episode/d1ba2c…
The GOP plan: Put an amendment on the ballot this November that would render any simultaneous judicial elections null and void
The GOP plan: Put an amendment on the ballot this November that would render any simultaneous judicial elections null and void
Arizona Democrats only need to flip 2 seats to win the state House this fall, & 2 of the 3 Republicans who hold Biden districts just voted to keep the near-total ban on abortion from 1864: Julie Willoughby's District 13 was Biden+3 Michele Peña's District 23 was Biden+14
Arizona Democrats only need to flip 2 seats to win the state House this fall, & 2 of the 3 Republicans who hold Biden districts just voted to keep the near-total ban on abortion from 1864: Julie Willoughby's District 13 was Biden+3 Michele Peña's District 23 was Biden+14
Poking around on the @waybackmachine and came across this story from 2005 at the Los Angeles Times...
LOL loved the subject line on this press release from Dem Rep. Chris DeLuzio @ChrisForPA. I clicked!
The AZ GOP wants to put a measure on the ballot that would all but eliminate retention elections for judges—*and* it would make that elimination retroactive So even if voters oust two Supreme Court justices in November, sorry, they call backsies azcapitoltimes.com/news/2024/04/2…
Democrats came very close to unseating Ted Cruz six years ago, and he's vulnerable once again. Daily Kos is extremely amped to endorse @ColinAllredTX as he seeks to unseat Cruz and turn Texas blue. More on our endorsement & how to help here --> dailykos.com/stories/2024/4…
Thanks to this chart from Jay Sage, I was able to calculate that my birthday falls during Passover 30% of the time (at least, between 1903 and 2073!). But it's very rare for the first seder to happen on my bday—next time not until 2054! jaysage.org/Passover_Dates…
HOUSE MATH UPDATE! With Mike Gallagher now gone, Mike Johnson is down to a *ONE-VOTE* margin for error Right now, it's 217 R, 213 D. With 1 R defection, Rs win 216-214. But with 2 defections, it's a 215-215 tie—and a tie is the same as a loss More here: dailykos.com/stories/2024/4…
Pennsylvania Republicans have somehow chosen Mitt Romney circa 2012 as their Senate candidate for 2024
Pennsylvania Republicans have somehow chosen Mitt Romney circa 2012 as their Senate candidate for 2024 https://t.co/A0iVDOxD6O
This is infuriating
It's an old story, but it never gets old: Democrats just whooped Republicans in fundraising—again. We're running through some of the most eye-popping first-quarter numbers on this week's episode of The Downballot podcast player.captivate.fm/episode/ccc746…
After perusing about 700 Rules Committee reports... 🥁 It would appear that never in recorded history* have minority members of the Rules Committee voted in favour of reporting a rule to make up for majority votes against it. * – i.e., since 1995 🙂 x.com/kristin__wilso…
After perusing about 700 Rules Committee reports... 🥁 It would appear that never in recorded history* have minority members of the Rules Committee voted in favour of reporting a rule to make up for majority votes against it. * – i.e., since 1995 🙂 x.com/kristin__wilso…
Fantastic obit by Jeff Singer that, as is his way, focuses on Bob Graham's electoral history—which is fascinating
Fantastic obit by Jeff Singer that, as is his way, focuses on Bob Graham's electoral history—which is fascinating
Am I understanding this right? For Johnson's new foreign aid package to pass, Democrats would have to vote for the GOP's rule? That seems almost unheard of to me politico.com/live-updates/2…
Taniel @Taniel
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1K Followers 4K Following IT Professional. Friend of democracy. If you're not going to heaven, why only miss it by an inch? @[email protected] @[email protected]Romie☘️ @Romie10152418
15K Followers 14K Following IRISH 🇮🇪 AMERICAN 🇺🇸 V/PROUD DEMOCRAT. POLITICAL JUNKY🌊#DOGMOM🐾 #BIDEN/HARRIS 2024🌊#MYBODYMYCHOICE #🇺🇦 #BLM #LGBTQ+🌊#BLUECREW #RESIST🌊Matt Matros @Matt_Matros
3K Followers 3K Following Writer and critic. Poker player and coach. New book, 23 NLHE Tournament Hands from 2023, out now. https://t.co/hW4yrE0lHYAmber Dalton🇺🇸 @RickyDanie9446
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970 Followers 1K Following let's speak truth • is team @EngelforArizona • always team @pwcdanica / @dccc / @KamalaHarris / @CofC • she/her/hersDavid W. Daniel @daviddaniel671
452 Followers 893 FollowingNathaniel Yap @NatYapPGH
1K Followers 2K Following Always committed to fighting for American freedom and democracy.(((Keeven Lex))) @Keeven_Lex
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7 Followers 3K Following Interested in politics. “You miss 100% of the shots you don’t take.” -Wayne Gretzky. Follows≠endorsements Likes=BookmarksMaxMcK @MckitrickMax
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2K Followers 2K Following digital director @colinallredtx | past lives include but not limited to @katiehobbs @johnbking @neatoday @joebiden | pronounced yee-HAW-nuhRunningFan69 @RunningFan6644
903 Followers 3K Following MAGA can go fornicate with their Donald Trump vibrating dildos.Samuel Ognenis - 💉.. @SOgnenis
2K Followers 3K Following GP, Politics & Econs nerd. Passionate about public health, data, youth mental health, #globalhealth #FOAMed RT≠agree he/himSally Deal 🇺🇸 P.. @SallyDeal4
38K Followers 25K Following 🌊 Retired nobody, wannabe activist. 🌊 Follow @IndivisibleVent! Daughter: @78_MissSunshine #DemCast #Indivisible 📌I'm SallyDeal4 here & everywhere. 🤷🏻♀No MAGA Takeover in M.. @nomagatakeover
169 Followers 470 Following What are the MAGA connections of the politicians running for office in Miami Beach? Voters deserve to know if our leaders are connected to this lawless movementMarcel Moran @marcelemoran
5K Followers 4K Following Faculty Fellow at NYU Center for Urban Science & Progress (@NYU_CUSP). City Planning PhD. Prev @UCBerkeley, @UChicago, @Harvard. Banner by Bellows.Eddie V. @shredv
309 Followers 1K Following Co-founder, Entrepreneur, Former TV star, United Vision Idaho Board Member, Musician, Tree huggerArline D' Meza @terranoor
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672 Followers 2K Following SSP @GeorgetownSFS. formerly: @RepSeanMaloney, @NARAL, @JoeBiden, @HFA. Sagehen @PomonaCollege and #empirestateGreg Legg @GregLegg6
82 Followers 161 FollowingAndrei Cherny @AndreiCherny
34K Followers 5K Following Dad, husband, candidate for Congress (#AZ01). Fighting for Truth, Justice, and the American Way.Justin Chermol @justin_chermol
2K Followers 2K Following comms @hakeemjeffries/@dccc | fmr: press secretary @SpanbergerVA07Jason Mark Ambrose @Ambro1Jason
113 Followers 469 FollowingMatt Schneider @fightonchimchim
499 Followers 2K Following Film, Techno, and Media obsessed. Go Cubs - USC Alum '06 - SO GLAD CLAY IS GONE...FINALLYWorld's Biggest Cross.. @schlagteslinks
4K Followers 530 Following Mr. Crosstab Hater. The Washington top-two primary is a political leading indicator. I coined 'agedep' but it's not real. Occasional political mapmaker. He/him.JYG @BelugaWaves
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4K Followers 5K Following Democrat for Peace, Justice & Equality #VoteBlue2024 #Peace #Justice #Democracy #Democrats #healthcare #housing #poverty #education #gunreform #climateDaily Kos Elections @DKElections
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2K Followers 656 Following I teach, write, and tweet about state constitutional law, prosecutors, and institutional development. Currently: @widenerlawcw. Beginning July: @msulaw.FRO VO @fro_vo
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4K Followers 606 Following Daily Kos Elections. Focusing on data, maps, and demographics. Usually at https://t.co/q6ruEqSwu0@DavidNir If the resolution is offered, a Republican will presumably move to table it. The idea here is that Dems would vote for that motion. If the motion is agreed to, the resolution is rejected (at least for that day). If it is not agreed to, the House proceeds to debate the resolution.
@DavidNir Yes, it was tongue-in-cheek. I went back to 1995 because (1) that's when committees were required to include details of record votes in their reports, and (2) earlier reports are not easily available. There is evidence for earlier activity, but it's much tougher to put together.
@DavidNir @nicholaswu12 @DaniellaMicaela Careful: I didn’t say never; I said not since 1995. It was pretty common historically.
@DavidNir That’s definitely more common. It happened just last year on the rule for the FRA.
@DavidNir It would be ironic if GOP meddling actually managed to drive disaffected lefties to participate in Dem primaries. “Hey wow that gal’s a socialist! Cool!”
@DavidNir @rollcall @internetarchive Love to hear that @DavidNir! And just read your piece on OR-05 - thanks for the shout out!
@DavidNir Thank you so much David! I listen to the Downballot every week and I so appreciate the work you and David Beard do 😊
I was just going to say Mastriano'd but @DavidNir got there first, can we please make this a thing!
Is it possible that #NCLG Mark Robinson is getting Mastriano'd? Dem Josh Stein leads the far-right Robinson 52-44 for #NCGov, per new @QuinnipiacPoll, even as Trump narrowly leads Biden poll.qu.edu/poll-release?r…
Big moment for the media here: As Republicans grapple with how to deal with their literal agenda coming into action, the job of the press should be to put their spin in proper context. If they cheered Dobbs, or supported anti-choice measures, they can't just walk away from this.
How big of a disaster is the AZ Supreme Court abortion ruling for the GOP? Vulnerable #AZ06 Rep. @JuanCiscomani is calling it a "disaster" ... when two years ago, he cheered the Dobbs decision as "historic" and said abortion policy "should be set by states"
@DavidNir Canvassing deadline for the counties is 5PM, but both Santa Clara and San Mateo have indicated that their totals aren't going to change.
Can confirm. The latest @JoeBiden office opened on Tuesday in Laconia, New Hampshire. ⬇️ #NHPolitics
The Biden campaign has now opened more than 100 field offices in swing states across the country. And it really looks like Trump's total is ... zero. I wrote about this yawning gulf here --> dailykos.com/stories/2024/4…
It’s been a big @dailykos week for me. First an op-ed with @TheOtherMandela on the critically important issue of investing in campaign infrastructure. dailykos.com/stories/2024/3…
Then a top-notch podcast interview with @DavidNir & @dwbeard from the @DKElections team.
OPINION TODAY featured podcast— The GOP should be terrified after Alabama's landslide—the first test of IVF at the ballot box since the AL Supreme Ct's ruling that imperiled the procedure. Plus @laurenbaer of @arenasummit (@DavidNir @dwbeard @DKElections) opiniontoday.substack.com/i/143034482/po…
A net-4 more Republican retirements/absences would allow Democrats to control the House. @RepJeffries could pass a reconciliation Bill with: • permanent debt ceiling fix • Government funding through 2024 • (enhanced) Ukraine aid Details per @DavidNir: dailykos.com/stories/2024/3…
What a godsend 🙏
Need a blank map of every congressional district? Yeah, we got that! We even have an ultra-jumbo version (more than 20,000 pixels wide!) so you can zoom in on urban districts — click here to download: drive.google.com/file/d/1-dywcY…
Did a rough measurement to see the area covered by the 5 congressional districts in eastern MT, western NE, WY, ND, and SD. Came up with about 400,000 square miles. Also 400,000 square miles in area? The trapezoid between Philly, Kansas City, Myrtle Beach, and Jackson, MS.
Need a blank map of every congressional district? Yeah, we got that! We even have an ultra-jumbo version (more than 20,000 pixels wide!) so you can zoom in on urban districts — click here to download: drive.google.com/file/d/1-dywcY…
@DavidNir @NormOrnstein Well written piece, thanks 👍