Trading Time Machine @thetrading
25+ yrs trading experience | Quantitative System Designer | Mechanical strategies designed for consistent risk-adjusted returns | https://t.co/pVoNpToWV5 tradingtimemachine.com USA Joined July 2007-
Tweets8K
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Followers2K
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Following1K
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Likes412
Settled in Italy at the new apartment. How am I going to get any work done?? 😉😄- I have many new ideas for the Substack and TradingTimeMachine - NOW I will have time. - All in good time. Ciao‼️#Italy #trading
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Trading Time Machine retweeted
Most traders use Donchian Channels for trend following. And for commodities, they often make sense. For stocks? Not so much. But while testing different ideas, I tried doing the exact opposite in SPY. The result surprised me. 👇
@TheFigen_ Choosing silence to protect yourself means you already decided the cost of speaking was too high. That's fear winning. But being silenced? Someone had to spend real power to shut you up. You don't silence people who don't matter.
@jfsrev Thanks Jeff. I do appreciate it.
Trading Time Machine retweeted
"If a strategy worked in the past, why should it work tomorrow?" Fair question. But consider the alternative. If a strategy has never worked, why would it suddenly work now? Trading isn't about guarantees; it's about probabilities. Historical data isn't a promise, but it is evidence. Stack the odds.
I went to the zoo today and I saw a bagel locked up in a cage... Apparently it was bread in captivity. #notfunny
As someone who builds dashboards and lives in data views, X's single-column home feed wastes real estate on desktop. Idea: Side panels that "fly away," turning the main area into multiple columns of cards. See 3x more tweets at once, less endless scrolling. Would make monitoring markets, news flow, and conversations so much more efficient. X Pro has multi-col but it's paywalled now. This could be native and lighter. Who else wants this? @elonmusk @x @nikitabier
Trading Time Machine retweeted
EVERY -2.5% FRIDAY ON SPX WHERE VIX CLOSED UNDER 25 AND HOW MONDAY FARED I know this is against the rules, but I felt you should see this. For my non-math people, that's 100% green.
@wealth_lab Version 8 is already an amazing product. I am really looking to version 9. For those that have not ever used the platform.. You should. #nobrainer youtu.be/rt4JeVuYAM4?si…
A Quick Look at Some of the Free Tools on the Site - A forecast gauge, live volatility regime classifier, and real time market audio. No login required. - backtest.substack.com/p/a-quick-look…
Trading Time Machine retweeted
A recent article by Nigel at theStrat Lab did something I appreciated. He took Jeff Sun's 50 SMA ATR extension heuristic and asked whether the data actually supported it. It does. But I wanted to take it one step further. What actually happens to forward returns after a stock first crosses above a significant ATR extension level? We tested every Nasdaq 100 constituent over 25 years using non-survivorship bias corrected data. The short term answer and the long term answer are very different. Article dropping soon. Nigel's original piece is worth reading first: thestratlab.substack.com/p/backtesting-…
Trading Time Machine retweeted
Investors want high returns but they never consider the denominator of those returns. My systems are built to maximize those risk-adjusted returns. $SPY youtu.be/9HD6xo2iO1g?si…
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