j_guerrero_90 @juang06
Joined June 2009-
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j_guerrero_90 retweeted
The Fed's leading the world back to the money printers, with 152 rate cuts forecast worldwide in 2024. Normally this means global recession. But doing this with inflation running hot suggests outright desperation. We're following the 1970's stagflation to a tee.
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@alessiorastani @TheDowTheory @alessiorastani Dow Jones Transportation currently testing 15,125. 👀👀👀
@benjamincowen Usually how far are those two peaks in months?
j_guerrero_90 retweeted
Existing home sales typically decline before recessions This time is not different
j_guerrero_90 retweeted
Every cycle, the bleed tends to go on longer than most think it will
@benjamincowen The AltCoin Reckoning continues
j_guerrero_90 retweeted
#BTC Weekly Bollinger Bands have reached its tightest levels in BTC's entire history!!🚨
j_guerrero_90 retweeted
#BTC 3-Day MACD Bear cross confirmed:
j_guerrero_90 retweeted
But inflation was supposed to be headed to 2%... #gasoline within 5% of 52 week highs, + 15% month over month. #Oil within 15% of 52 week highs, +10% month over month. $DBA which is the agricultural ETF 52 week highs, +10% month over month. #housing at/near all-time highs... That is core CPI in in a nutshell Be ready for inflation to get sticky around 3% and make it nearly impossible for the #FederalReserve to cut rates when the economy stumbles late 2023, early 2024. #JeromePowell likely to be hawkish on Wednesday as not only does he realize a soaring stock market is inflationary (wealth effect) but the core data will keep inflation hotter than the Fed wants. But again, tell me how for the first time in history, the FederalReserve will engineer a perfect landing.... #StockMarket #Inflation #Crypto #Stocks #Gold #Silver #Investing #Bonds
j_guerrero_90 retweeted
Look how closely #TOTAL3 is tracking net liquidity.
j_guerrero_90 retweeted
(TOTAL3 - USDT) / #BTC To me, this means that ALTs are still in macro downtrends against BTC. Last cycle, we hit the green box in August 2019. History does not always repeat, but it often rhymes.
j_guerrero_90 retweeted
Don't get me wrong, I love altcoins. Buying strong alts at the lows of a bear market will give you the biggest returns in the next bull run. But with BTC.D breaking out from a 2 year range, TOTAL 3 with inefficiencies in the $230B zone, Altcoin market historically bottoms out later than BTC, etc... I think they go lower and many altcoins will disappear, like in all previous bear markets. But hey, you can believe those who called an alt season last month or who claim to buy every dip in a downtrend.
j_guerrero_90 retweeted
People keep fading the #BTC dominance rally, and it just keeps going higher
j_guerrero_90 retweeted
Excluding stables, #Bitcoin dominance is now at 56.36%
j_guerrero_90 retweeted
“#BTC dominance should go up no matter the direction of BTC/USD”
j_guerrero_90 retweeted
Shoutout to @benjamincowen! Shorting this bad boy all the way down to 400 satoshis 😎
j_guerrero_90 retweeted
I see a lot of people say that #BTC dominance decreases each cycle. Why then did dominance go lower in 2018 than 2022? Even when *including* stablecoins, BTC dominance put in a higher low this cycle. This is an inconvenient truth that many do not want to accept.
j_guerrero_90 retweeted
While #BTC is at its April 2023 high, TOTAL3 (the Altcoin market) is 20% below its April high. This is why I have continued to think that ALTs are not worth the risk. For a long time, alts have been more risk, less reward (collectively), than BTC.
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