Fredrik Öhman @fredde129
Ogillar alternativa fakta och svart/vita resonemang. Sweden Joined November 2019-
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@Skogsmullen91 Finns ju många olika situationer - nån yngre som bor hos föräldrarna kan klara sig och ju mindre del man behöver söka som försörjningsstöd desto bättre (och enklare att få om man gör något vettigt?)
@tradewithmrp Stark tekniskt men fortfarande skeptisk då den verkar åka med Sivers-hypen. Vilket inte hindrar att det går att tjäna pengar på den.
השאלה המרכזית כעת היא לא האם תהיה הסלמה, אלא האם ניתן יהיה לעצור אותה לאחר התגובה האיראנית. זה תלוי בעיקר בגורם אחד, קרי ביכולתו וברצונו של טראמפ לכפות על ישראל לעצור לאחר התגובה האיראנית. קשה לראות את איראן של היום מבליגה על תקיפות ישראליות בשטחה, במיוחד כאשר מבחינתה מדובר בפגיעה ישירה בריבונותה ובמעמדה האזורי. מנקודת המבט האיראנית, האירועים הנוכחיים חורגים בהרבה מהעימות הנקודתי. הם נועדו לעצב את המשוואה העתידית בכל הנוגע לפעילות הישראלית בלבנון ובמרחב האזורי בכלל. מבחינת טהראן, אם ישראל תוכל לפעול נגד נכסים איראניים או נגד בעלי בריתה ללא תגובה, הדבר יפגע באופן מהותי בהרתעה האיראנית. לכן גם תגובה ישראלית עוצמתית לא צפויה להביא את איראן לסגת מהקו שהיא מבקשת לקבוע. טראמפ אינו מעוניין בהסלמה אזורית רחבה, בוודאי לא כאשר מחירי הנפט מגיבים בעליות וכל עימות נוסף עלול לערער את היציבות הכלכלית והביטחונית באזור. עם זאת, יכולת ההשפעה שלו על ישראל גדולה לאין שיעור מיכולתו להשפיע על ההנהגה האיראנית הנוכחית. בעוד שלארצות הברית יש מנופי לחץ משמעותיים מול ירושלים, יכולתה לשנות את תפיסת העולם האסטרטגית של טהראן מוגבלת הרבה יותר. לכן, אם טראמפ לא יציב גבולות ברורים ולא ידרוש עצירה לאחר התגובה האיראנית, סביר להניח שישראל תמשיך בפעולותיה. במקרה כזה, הסיכוי להידרדרות לסבב הסלמה נוסף ואף ממושך יגדל באופן משמעותי.
דניס נותן פה את הגרסא מדוע אנחנו הולכים לקראת הסלמה. הוא קצת מתעלם מהעובדה שדרושים שניים לטנגו וטראמפ לא רוצה התדרדרות בלתי נשלטת אבל שווה לקרוא.
@Aktiepappa Mellanmjölksversionen av Jim Cramer
@ThierryBorgeat @grok how many stocks in sp500 are trading above 10x sales?
@Megatron_ron Big orange crybaby who can’t handle critical questions. In particular from women.
"It costs very little to keep troops in Iran." Yes, of course it doesn't cost much. After all, Mr. President, you aren't paying for it out of your own pocket. It’s taxpayers’ money. I know war with Iran isn’t bad for you, dear President. On the contrary. You know in advance how the oil price will move, and you’re raking in billions. Since taking office, you’ve been more successful with your portfolio than anyone else. You're simply the best president in the world—at least when it comes to your own wealth. Things aren't looking too good for the country or its people. Inflation is rising, people can afford less and less, yet you couldn't care less.
@zerohedge Political costs? Macro economy costs?
The Iranian navy, which has been destroyed eight times, has apparently closed the Strait of Hormuz again, because the United States, for the seventh time, won the war that wasn’t a war, so now the United States has to open the Strait of Hormuz that was already open before the not-war began. The not-war began because Iran had uranium that was totally, completely, beautifully obliterated, so they can’t build the nuclear bomb they weren’t building, which is why the United States had to start the not-war it definitely didn’t start. Now the United States, which has nuclear weapons, is threatening to use nuclear weapons to stop Iran from getting nuclear weapons, because nuclear weapons are far too dangerous for countries with nuclear weapons to allow other countries to have. If the United States saw the United States doing what the United States does in other countries, the United States would invade the United States to liberate the United States from the tyranny of the United States.
@ces921 He can always stop his war if he wants markets up..
@tradewithmrp Tänk vad många Sivers-”traders” som kommer att åka med ner på andra sidan stupet.
@Mayhem4Markets No surprise when the negotiations are with Lebanon and not the party actually in war with Israel.
@financialjuice Labor day? Too late for midterms, damage will be done.
@zerohedge 3..2..1.. EU demands additional export cables to let Swedish taxpayers supply the continental (German) black hole with no benefit in the end from the investment.
@FirstSquawk Hormuz closed until September would be a disaster. Not that Trump understands the consequences.
@missswee Erfarna och kloka investerare har också oftast självförtroende nog att inte ta det som ett angrepp på egot om någon tycker annorlunda.
Nexam Insights - $NEX... @NexamInsights
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