Biggest movers in pre-TGE prediction markets today:
@printr +51.5%, @multiplifi +17.4%, @opensea +14.3%
@3janexyz -21.3%, @DecibelTrade -13.7%, Ethereal -11.7%
Indicium's Pro Screener tracks all 453 live FDV markets in real time. This is what it looked like today.
Top 10 pre-IPO prediction markets right now:
OpenAI still the biggest at $1.57T. Variational quietly sitting at 96.8% confidence. Kraken and Consensys both under 30% despite decent size.
Lot of divergence in this list.
Great article from @cryptonews on the recent $SPCX launch.
SpaceX priced at $1.8T. Prediction markets had it at $2.15T+.
Was the crowd wrong? Or are they just pricing where it trades in 6 months?
cryptonews.com/news/live-cryp…
@CNBC imagine thinking the wealth advisors are the real winners here
the actual play is getting positioned *before* the IPO launches with prediction markets
@StockMKTNewz latency over 10 miles is actually insane for what they're trying to do
the compute density they need for training makes distance a real bottleneck
@IPONewsroom_ lol imagine building a massive data center and then being like "actually this is too annoying, you take it"
the "we might need it back" is such a power move though
SpaceX went public today.
For months, prediction markets quietly built a consensus: $2T+, high confidence, don't overthink it. The IPO came and went and the crowd was right.
$15.9M traded. A spike to $2.30T on open. Now settling at $2.19T.
This is what the data looked like before anyone else was paying attention. We were tracking it the whole time.
To anyone who says prediction markets are just a fad or not accurate, we hope you'll listen to the people next time!
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