Alec Bertina @bertina_alec
International Security MA UEA (2022) | Journalist & Conflict Analyst @MilitantWire | OSINT Collection alecbertina.substack.com Joined July 2021-
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Belarusian Defense Minister Viktar Khrenin praised Iran’s “wise and prudent” attack on Israel on the night of April 13-14. He said this at the Belarus-Iran meeting during the conference of defense ministers of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization member states in Astana,…
Another Iskander-M Strike on Dnipro, this time North of it. 120km from the nearest possible Launch point, which would be Enerhodar. 48.550583, 35.015856 (h/t @EjShahid ) Unknown what exactly hit, but seems like Dnipro and Area are free Zone for Russian UAVs and Missiles.
The Russian offensive in Ocheretyne direction is worrying. Multiple villages have fallen in a rather short timeframe. However, the overall advances are still limited mostly to a tactical level. Russians haven't achieved an actual breakthrough, but are certainly trying to.
Iran announced on Saturday that the government will provide the armed forces with three billion euros to “quickly start sealing the borders” against a backdrop of recent clashes with Taliban forces. iranintl.com/en/202404277449
@postsocialismus Some sources. Not sure Russia is continuing to recruit 30k contract soldiers per month right now, and it is possible that financial incentives will not be enough to sustain this rate of recruitment. raport.valisluureamet.ee/2024/en/1-russ… x.com/ralee85/status… x.com/defencehq/stat……
@postsocialismus Some sources. Not sure Russia is continuing to recruit 30k contract soldiers per month right now, and it is possible that financial incentives will not be enough to sustain this rate of recruitment. raport.valisluureamet.ee/2024/en/1-russ… x.com/ralee85/status… x.com/defencehq/stat…… https://t.co/UdQthBqIVx
"Orlan" is one of the main Russian reconnaissance drones in the war against Ukraine Among scientists and analysts studying changes within the russian army and their weapon systems during the military conflicts of recent decades, 2014 is considered a turning point. It can be…
This a good thread outlining how military aid can be a helpful step towards what Ukraine and the West may want to achieve, whilst also analysing what problems it cannot solve as a stand-alone tool.
Russian GPS jamming in and around Estonia having an increasing impact. For two days in a row planes are unable to land at the second biggest city in Estonia due to GPS jamming. Pretty disturbing. news.err.ee/1609326360/sec…
It's absolutely bizzare that it feels like Islamic State's sword is above so many countries today, while in September 2023 everyone was busy claiming it's the end of GWOT and time for great powers competition. In a way it's true. But the consequences are due to get grim.
France has requested to borrow a Greek air defense system for the duration of the Paris Olympic Games. trib.al/emApxNC
If you're unhappy with what you deem sub-standard journalism about Central Asia, maybe amplify and support what good reporting there is instead of snidely flicking peanuts? It would be useful and encourage people doing good work. Otherwise, you're just part of the problem.
I know people are laughing at this, but I don't think it is a crazy adaptation. The Russians are adapting to the particular conditions of the battlefield in which Ukraine has a lot of FPVs, but not enough ATGMs, anti-tank mines, and artillery. So sacrificing observation and the…
I know people are laughing at this, but I don't think it is a crazy adaptation. The Russians are adapting to the particular conditions of the battlefield in which Ukraine has a lot of FPVs, but not enough ATGMs, anti-tank mines, and artillery. So sacrificing observation and the…
V interesting from @JackDetsch. "Russia is on track to produce 3.5 million rounds in 2024 and might be able to surge to produce 4.5 million rounds by the end of the year." foreignpolicy.com/2024/04/23/ukr…
Novaya Gazeta Europe’s bombshell investigation on Chechnya has been a subject of much discussion this week. To make better sense of it, I spoke to @TanyaLokshina @bkr_yang @chambersharold8 and @IvanUlisesKK themoscowtimes.com/2024/04/24/wha…
Здоровье Заремы Мусаевой – матери чеченских оппозиционеров братьев Янгулбаевых, находящейся в заключении и страдающей хроническими заболеваниями, включая диабет, снова резко ухудшилось, она не может ходить, заявил ее сын, правозащитник Абубакар Янгулбаев. kavkazr.com/a/zdorovje-che…
Video of a Russian UAV dropping a net on a reported Ukrainian UAV. t.me/russianocontex…
EXCLUSIVE: New video evidence uncovered by CNN significantly undermines the Pentagon's account of an ISIS-K suicide attack outside Kabul airport during the American troop withdrawal from Afghanistan in August 2021. Full report here: edition.cnn.com/2024/04/24/wor… @npwcnn @mickbk
Intriguing development: Adam Delimkhanov went to Iran for a working visit, met with Security Council Chief Ali Akbar Ahmadian. Claim to have talked about sanctions, cooperation on national security. Language suggests IS/ISKP may have been discussed too t.me/adelimkhanov_9…
Well, well well. The deputy defense minister in charge of military housing, who owns multiple European residences and wears luxury goods, is arrested for taking bribes. The interesting thing about this of course is why now, and who did he irritate? /1 svoboda.org/a/zamministra-…
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Special Kherson Cat �.. @bayraktar_1love
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Benghazi: Know Thy En.. @BenghaziAttacks
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skankskin jacket @skankskin_j
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“AEP36: Battle Order” is live. In this episode I'm joined by Brenden, the founder of @battle_order. Battle Order produces graphics and videos on military topics, focusing mainly on unit structure. “Analyze & Educate” wherever you find podcasts. open.spotify.com/episode/11agdy…
Belarusian Defense Minister Viktar Khrenin praised Iran’s “wise and prudent” attack on Israel on the night of April 13-14. He said this at the Belarus-Iran meeting during the conference of defense ministers of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization member states in Astana,…
Look like China is taking notes from Russia's and Ukraine's use of sUAS and tactical EW...
🚨Small unit training with aerial robotics
The "capture" of Mencho's brother was purely performative and won't affect the CJNG's coherence or power. The honest truth is that the federal government is primarily concerned with making headlines.
🇲🇽 | The recent capture of the brother of CJNG boss Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes, alias “El Mencho,” raises the question of how effective detaining prominent family members of drug lords is in weakening criminal organizations. bit.ly/3Ql78al
Another Iskander-M Strike on Dnipro, this time North of it. 120km from the nearest possible Launch point, which would be Enerhodar. 48.550583, 35.015856 (h/t @EjShahid ) Unknown what exactly hit, but seems like Dnipro and Area are free Zone for Russian UAVs and Missiles.
The Russian offensive in Ocheretyne direction is worrying. Multiple villages have fallen in a rather short timeframe. However, the overall advances are still limited mostly to a tactical level. Russians haven't achieved an actual breakthrough, but are certainly trying to.
Iran announced on Saturday that the government will provide the armed forces with three billion euros to “quickly start sealing the borders” against a backdrop of recent clashes with Taliban forces. iranintl.com/en/202404277449
It's been exactly two years since I started seriously thinking and writing about how Ukraine could use OWA drones to target Russia's military and oil facilities. Since then, Ukraine's OWA program has made major progress and imposed serious costs on Russia independent.co.uk/news/world/eur…
@postsocialismus Some sources. Not sure Russia is continuing to recruit 30k contract soldiers per month right now, and it is possible that financial incentives will not be enough to sustain this rate of recruitment. raport.valisluureamet.ee/2024/en/1-russ… x.com/ralee85/status… x.com/defencehq/stat……
Latest Defence Intelligence update on the situation in Ukraine – 30 March 2024. Find out more about Defence Intelligence's use of language: ow.ly/CXw850R5izk #StandWithUkraine 🇺🇦
"Orlan" is one of the main Russian reconnaissance drones in the war against Ukraine Among scientists and analysts studying changes within the russian army and their weapon systems during the military conflicts of recent decades, 2014 is considered a turning point. It can be…
Russian GPS jamming in and around Estonia having an increasing impact. For two days in a row planes are unable to land at the second biggest city in Estonia due to GPS jamming. Pretty disturbing. news.err.ee/1609326360/sec…
Thank you, Arthur, for the chance to talk and to discuss not only Kharkiv but also what happens if the U.K. invades the Costa del Sol & why you sleep with one eye open when you live next to Portugal
Absolute privilege to speak to @DrJadeMcGlynn who joined me from Kharkiv under Russian assault to talk about the situation there and with the wider war. podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/beh…
And right now there is a rush to blame everything on ISKP (so the infamous Khorasan region), while ignoring (mostly stems from ignorance), that ISKP is a speahead of the well-oiled machine. There is just too much info that suggests Somalia》Afghanistan》Turkey》Syria.
Since then all of the above have signs that the replacement not only proved themselves capable, IS succeeded in making their networks run efficiently despite a heavy American-led crackdown. There is just too much space and power vacuum, while cooperation against them is lacking.
To put into perspective - a year ago since January to July, A Caliph was killed, Chief of GDP in Syria, Chief in GDP in Somalia, Emir for the Philippines, Mozambique heavily invested in global Islamic State network. Things suggested that IS web might be going into degradation.
It's absolutely bizzare that it feels like Islamic State's sword is above so many countries today, while in September 2023 everyone was busy claiming it's the end of GWOT and time for great powers competition. In a way it's true. But the consequences are due to get grim.
France has requested to borrow a Greek air defense system for the duration of the Paris Olympic Games. trib.al/emApxNC
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