Phillips P. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien
Professor of Strategic Studies, @univofstandrews; Author of The Strategists (Summer 2024): https://t.co/l2PkpyDtDw phillipspobrien.substack.com Scotland, Boston and Sicily (whenever possible) Joined February 2015-
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Macron is getting to the heart of the problem. And he’s not necessarily wrong
Macron is getting to the heart of the problem. And he’s not necessarily wrong
The actually relevant conclusion is that Russia's deficit of APCs and IFVs is so severe that they are converting obsolete MBTs into improvised APCs. Sure this is an example of innovation and adaption. But its innovation born of extreme desperation
The actually relevant conclusion is that Russia's deficit of APCs and IFVs is so severe that they are converting obsolete MBTs into improvised APCs. Sure this is an example of innovation and adaption. But its innovation born of extreme desperation
Incredibly helpful thread
Another fun parts of this, is that those Russian apologists masquerading as experts (academia, tanks, Twitter) r in reality irrelevant. I once asked some of my former ops colleagues who had just returned from Ukraine what they thought of these people. The reply- “who?”😂 Brutal.
At some point, it would be nice to collect the receipts. I mean, it’s all in public, what the tankies and Twitter warriors and other Russia apologists said. I’ll buy a beer (or 3) to anyone who puts together such a report.
At some point, it would be nice to collect the receipts. I mean, it’s all in public, what the tankies and Twitter warriors and other Russia apologists said. I’ll buy a beer (or 3) to anyone who puts together such a report.
The excuses were: They'll lead to WW3. Ukraine doesn't need them. Ukraine can't figure out how to use them. They're old and may not even work (my favorite).
The excuses were: They'll lead to WW3. Ukraine doesn't need them. Ukraine can't figure out how to use them. They're old and may not even work (my favorite).
In my first piece for @ChathamHouse and @Independent, I write about the impact the US aid package to Ukraine will have - and the cost of its delay. I also argue that a new, secure long-term funding model is required to help Ukraine win the war chathamhouse.org/2024/04/us-aid…
With the US confirming that long-range ATACMs have already been sent to Ukraine (and that they have been used), There is evidence that the Biden administration has learned some very important lessons. Looking at when and how the decision was made, holds out hope for the future.
A fascinating piece from @PhillipsPOBrien. Highly recommended to understand where and how US politics might go with a Trump victory in November.
A fascinating piece from @PhillipsPOBrien. Highly recommended to understand where and how US politics might go with a Trump victory in November.
“European leaders cannot afford to let American political dysfunction dictate European security.” Kyiv needs help to win the war—and it is time for European countries to deploy troops to Ukraine, write @alexcrowther1, Jahara Matisek, and @PhillipsPOBrien. trib.al/3piZTcP
Very interesting
A great article by @paulkrugman which is both angry at how the USA under MAGA influence had done great damage to Ukraine before approving the new aid bill, but also shows how important such aid is to both Ukraine and the USA.
A great article by @paulkrugman which is both angry at how the USA under MAGA influence had done great damage to Ukraine before approving the new aid bill, but also shows how important such aid is to both Ukraine and the USA.
Latest batch of U.K. military aid to #Ukraine will include Paveway IV bombs .
More Ukrainian attacks on Russian fuel infrastructure
More Ukrainian attacks on Russian fuel infrastructure
After 30+ years of “peace dividends” and “no votes in defence”, we now have all of HMG promising more defence spending. But it would be so much more reassuring if it wasn’t years into a crisis, 6 months before an election and it came with a realistic funding and spending plan.
Released this piece yesterday, which has a full interview with a senior Republican Party insider, describing where the Party is right now, what has happened about its policy towards Ukraine, and what might happen if Trump is elected. The whole interview is free.
Released this piece yesterday, which has a full interview with a senior Republican Party insider, describing where the Party is right now, what has happened about its policy towards Ukraine, and what might happen if Trump is elected. The whole interview is free.
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2K Followers 3K Following NoDMs#, Writer, Woman, European. #NAFO #NAFOFellas 🇺🇦 Ukraine will win - Other accounts: [email protected] and https://t.co/4uiT3MkM3GAnother fun parts of this, is that those Russian apologists masquerading as experts (academia, tanks, Twitter) r in reality irrelevant. I once asked some of my former ops colleagues who had just returned from Ukraine what they thought of these people. The reply- “who?”😂 Brutal.
At some point, it would be nice to collect the receipts. I mean, it’s all in public, what the tankies and Twitter warriors and other Russia apologists said. I’ll buy a beer (or 3) to anyone who puts together such a report.
The excuses were: They'll lead to WW3. Ukraine doesn't need them. Ukraine can't figure out how to use them. They're old and may not even work (my favorite).
Turned 23 today 👀 Still young and confused, but, I’ve been working so hard to become the person I’ve always wanted to be. Excited to see what comes next. My early 20s have prepared me for everything, that’s for sure…
The excuses were: They'll lead to WW3. Ukraine doesn't need them. Ukraine can't figure out how to use them. They're old and may not even work (my favorite).
I have to go back to the old statements of all those escalation theorists who have been explaining to us for the last two years that the Biden administration is doing a very smart thing by refusing to deliver ATACMS to Ukraine - now we know that they have no clue about winning…
@PrimusPilus2022 So many to mention but here are my top accounts History / Military History @TimothyDSnyder @PhillipsPOBrien @militaryhistori Russian Analysis @wartranslated @JuliaDavisNews Retired Military @general_ben @WarintheFuture @ChuckPfarrer @MalcolmNance @FouthTimeLucky…
A fascinating piece from @PhillipsPOBrien. Highly recommended to understand where and how US politics might go with a Trump victory in November.
Released this piece yesterday, which has a full interview with a senior Republican Party insider, describing where the Party is right now, what has happened about its policy towards Ukraine, and what might happen if Trump is elected. The whole interview is free.
“European leaders cannot afford to let American political dysfunction dictate European security.” Kyiv needs help to win the war—and it is time for European countries to deploy troops to Ukraine, write @alexcrowther1, Jahara Matisek, and @PhillipsPOBrien. trib.al/3piZTcP
Absolute must-read. This group has been consistently right on Ukraine for the last two years.
The best way for Europe to ensure its own freedom and security in the future is to send European troops to Ukraine now, argue @alexcrowther1, Jahara Matisek, and @PhillipsPOBrien. trib.al/AueyqNW
@PhillipsPOBrien I keep thinking about how many of our problems could be avoided if we only taught history better. That free YouTube series War Factories that you were a contributor to - can't help thinking voters would come to better decisions if they had such knowledge, instead of having to…
Thank you Philips OBbrien for doing this interview and publishing it for all to read! It is insightful and a recommended read: phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/a-senior-rep… 👍👍👍
After the weekend update about the House decision to back Ukraine aid, and the role Trump and Speaker Johnson played within it, I was luck enough to have a senior Republican source answer some questions about where the GOP stands at present.
@PhillipsPOBrien This is a really interesting insight. Thank you. Can you explain this quote more please? "But ultimately Trump only cares about upending institutions, customs and norms."
@cosmicjohn2276 @PhillipsPOBrien @GOP Phillips is very sound, and I believe the source said what he said. I’m even willing to believe the source believes it. It’s the last step after that troubling me.
IF Trump wins in November, he will: "Pressure Ukraine ...to trade land for peace...then call himself a peacemaker and move onto other issues.... Moscow and St Petersburg will soak in the glorious victory of Mother Russia while the miserable outer Oblasts pay for it in blood."
After the weekend update about the House decision to back Ukraine aid, and the role Trump and Speaker Johnson played within it, I was luck enough to have a senior Republican source answer some questions about where the GOP stands at present.
@PhillipsPOBrien They had no choice. Discharge petition was gonna pass with republican help. They saw the writing on the wall and decided to try and take credit for this instead of being seen as defeated. Do not give these arsonists and ruzzian stooges credit.
@PhillipsPOBrien I am an anti-Trump Republican and intend to vote for Haley in todays PA primary vote. I will also vote against any MAGA candidate. I will not, under any circumstances, vote for Trump. No, tribalism doesnt always win.
@PhillipsPOBrien A really good post, and some very clear sighted points made by your contact re: the internal politics of the republican movement
I really, really want to believe what @PhillipsPOBrien's anonymous @GOP interviewee is saying. Fascinating insights, and, let's hope against hope, accurate. open.substack.com/pub/phillipspo…
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