Tony Mace @anthonymace
New York Joined May 2009-
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CHICAGO PMI INDEX 55.8 IN NOVEMBER VS. 45.1 EXPECTED, 44.0 OCT. #PMI
Japanese retail sales slow headed into autumn. #Japanecon macenews.com/japan-october-…
Japan industrial production lifted by autos, chips in October. #Japanecon macenews.com/japan-october-…
FED’S BOSTIC ESSAY: FEEDBACK FROM BUSINESS CONTACTS POINTS TO ONGOING DISINFLATION, MEASURED SLOWING IN ECONOMIC ACTIVITY #FederalReserve
US INTERNATIONAL TRADE IN GOODS DEFICIT $89.8 BLN IN OCTOBER (VS. $86.7 BLN EXPECTED) #trade
FED'S BOWMAN: SHOULD KEEP IN MIND HISTORICAL LESSONS AND RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH PREMATURELY DECLARING VICTORY IN INFLATION FIGHT #FOMC #inflation
FED'S WALLER Q&A: STANDARD TAYLOR RULE ARGUMENT SAYS IF WE SEE DISINFLATION FOR 3-4 MORE MONTHS, MAKES SENSE TO LOWER POLICY RATES #FOMC
FED'S WALLER: CANNOT SAY FOR SURE FED HAS DONE ENOUGH TO GET INFLATION BACK TO TARGET #inflation #FOMC
US CONFERENCE BOARD CONSUMER 1-YEAR AVERAGE INFLATION EXPECTATION 5.7% IN NOV. VS. REVISED 5.9% IN OCT. #Inflation
US CONFERENCE BOARD CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX 102.0 IN NOV. VS. 99.1 REVISED IN OCT. (VS. 101.5 EXPECTED FOR NOV.) #consumers #economy
US NEW HOME SALES ANNUAL RATE 679K IN OCT. (VS. 725K EXPECTED) VS. DOWNWARD-REVISED 719K IN SEPT. #housing
More jobs/analysis: Unemployed not looking for work figuring useless til things improve don't get counted. Concerns large Phase 3 jobless benefit add-on to encourage to remain on sidelines longer. Both could slow unemp rate increase. Best to watch wider U-6. #jobs @anthonymace
US markets halt after limit down hit at NY open. #coronavirus #financialmarkets #economy
Fed’s Mester Q&A: Think “we’re pretty much at full employment” but until you see “some issue with wages” there’s some difference of opinion. Have to remember productivity increases, automation, can hurt people who lose jobs. #NABE #Mester #federalreserve @anthonymace
Fed’s Mester Q&A/reporters: Another mechanism US can be affected is if global growth is affected by virus, in addition to supply chain and financial market effects. Again, too early to tell. #NABE #Mester #federalreserve @anthonymace
The slippage in wage growth cast a shadow on the modestly positive hiring momentum depicted in the September jobs report. See the story at macenews.com. #jobs #economy #payrolls @anthonymace
Jackson Hole from A to Z by Mace News' Steve Beckner, at macenews.com. #federalreserve #beckner #powell #jacksonhole @anthonymace
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These Photos Are Not Edited. This Is What Dubai Is Really Like
The most 1980s thing is to mix together break dancers and ballet dancers, ideally in the middle of a street.
Fed's Powell Q&A/Brookings: When to tighten again? Move gradually and predictably and in "no hurry" to pull back on asset purchases and programs. Not set to stop lending Sept 30 but if need to extend, will do. #Powell #federalreserve #coronavirus @anthonymace
More jobs/analysis: Unemployed not looking for work figuring useless til things improve don't get counted. Concerns large Phase 3 jobless benefit add-on to encourage to remain on sidelines longer. Both could slow unemp rate increase. Best to watch wider U-6. #jobs @anthonymace
President's SOTU: Speaker Pelosi looks distressed at promised crackdown on undocumented immigrants and Democrats shake their heads as pledges to withhold govt health care from them, while building more border wall. #SOTU #Trump @anthonymace
The slippage in wage growth cast a shadow on the modestly positive hiring momentum depicted in the September jobs report. See the story at macenews.com. #jobs #economy #payrolls @anthonymace
Final story: I am in the drs office. Something with my ear. Dr says—we need to do (minor but emergency) surgery. I call home. “They’re prepping—I need surgery”. Darling husband: “Um. Can you handle this? I’ve got tix to the Open. IT’S NADAL. “ Reader, he lived. And saw Nadal.
US markets waking up to more positive news from China, a reciprocal goodwill gesture exempting "certain amounts" of soybeans, pork after all, says Xinhua. Last night Pres Trump left open possibiliy of "interim" trade pact. #China #trade @anthonymace
ECB's Draghi Q&A: Consensus was so broad there was no need to take a vote. Such a clear majority. Main difference in discussion about "severity of the outlook." Majority believes outlook deteriorating more than expected. #ECB #Draghi #federalreserve @anthonymace
ECB's Draghi Q&A: Re latest Trump tweet praising ECB rate cut, chiding Fed, "We have a mandate" re price stability "and we don't target exchange rates." #ECB #Draghi #federalreserve @anthonymace
Jackson Hole from A to Z by Mace News' Steve Beckner, at macenews.com. #federalreserve #beckner #powell #jacksonhole @anthonymace
More Kudlow: Repeats the latest line on taxes, no cut package in the works. Sticking to admin dereg, growth agenda. Don't know what to make of day's Markit mfg survey (below 50). Waiting for ISMs next week. #kudlow #taxes #economy @anthonymace
US Tsy: Major development just confirmed, Japan’s US Tsys holdings topped China’s in June, 1st time since May ‘17, according to “TIC” rpt on int’l capital holdings. Japan +$1.9B to $1.122T, China up less, $2.3B, to $1.112 T. #TICS #Treasurys #China #Japan @anthonymace
Fed's Brainard Q&A: Replying to a question from Mace News, says she's "monitoring" today's lurch in the markets, echoed by KC Fed President George, who says mkts move suddenly, but watching carefully. #brainard #federalreserve #KCFed #payments @anthonymace
Fed's Brainard Q&A: Replying to another q from Mace News, says some circumstances globally are different than cenbankers are used to. So Fed reexamining its tools, assumptions. #brainard #federalreserve #KCFed #payments @anthonymace
Recapping Fed's Brainard answer to Mace News re the mkts today, "I’m certainly monitoring developments very closely. I have said and others have as well that we’re committed to sustaining the expansion." #Brainard #federalreserve #markets #economy @anthonymace
Fed's Powell Q&A: "Not a beginning of a long series of rate cuts" but didn't say "just one." Seeing its appropriate to adjust policy to a "somewhat more accommodative stance." #federalreserve #FOMC #economy @anthonymace
US Tsy's Smith: If the spending bill/debt limit suspension for some reason doesn't pass, the debt limit will still have to raised, announced issuance executed. Continue to evaluate SOFR. Not replacing a Libor linker so less urgency. #refunding #Treasury #SOFR @anthonymace