Tom Chivers @TomChivers
"Far too nice to be a journalist": Terry Pratchett. Lead writer, Flagship. Semafor. chiversthomas(a)gmail. Third book, Everything is Predictable, out April geni.us/EIPBook Science writer Joined January 2009-
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Later, there's @HadleyFreeman on antisemitism and @Mikepeeljourno on British denial about Britain. Also, @TomChivers will humour me (I hope) while I struggle with Bayes Theorum and I'll hear about the US desert town where mad conspiracists go to be left alone. Plus...
Probably a good idea to cancel that donation to Greenpeace.
Probably a good idea to cancel that donation to Greenpeace.
This is one of the funniest things I've ever seen. I don't know why OP deleted it, but I think it needs to be preserved for posterity.
Disastrous news from the Philippines- the Court of Appeals has sided with Greenpeace and the antis in blocking vit-A enhanced Golden Rice, which is now in widespread cultivation in the country. All planting must now stop, harming the interests of millions. philrice.gov.ph/philrice-ackno…
This is literally why I wrote it
This is literally why I wrote it
Publication day (in the UK)! Go! Buy! Look how pretty it is! Buy! You can't afford NOT to! It's so pretty! Also the content is good but IT'S SO PRETTY geni.us/EIPBook
Publication day (in the UK)! Go! Buy! Look how pretty it is! Buy! You can't afford NOT to! It's so pretty! Also the content is good but IT'S SO PRETTY geni.us/EIPBook
It's not the dog it's the owner.
St George's Day is a good day to remember that the massive rise in English identity, about which a thousand op-eds were written, turned out to have happened purely because the ONS moved it above 'British' in the list of answers.
Science-y writery types! Our World in Data is hiring an in-house writer, and obviously they're brilliant and important and you could actually make a difference to the world! Go and apply here ourworldindata.org/writer-q2-2024
In case you don't have time to read the whole 388 page Cass report, here's a good discussion of its contents by @StuartJRitchie and @TomChivers from "The Studies Show". (Paywall, but worth the pennies, if you are interested in science and numbers.) open.substack.com/pub/thestudies…
For paid subscribers to The Studies Show only: @StuartJRitchie and I attempt to look into the Cass review thestudiesshowpod.com/p/paid-only-ep…
A most excellent new book from @TomChivers Out next week!
absolutely baffled that the New York Times says of Daniel Dennett that he "insisted … free will was a fantasy" nytimes.com/2024/04/19/boo… he wrote a whole book about how free will is compatible with a deterministic universe! It's literally CALLED "Freedom Evolves"!
Nice to have one of my old stories, from almost exactly ten years ago, do the rounds again (uncredited as usual but glad it still amuses)
Nice to have one of my old stories, from almost exactly ten years ago, do the rounds again (uncredited as usual but glad it still amuses)
Just in! ‘Everything Is Predictable’ by @TomChivers featuring a fistful of endorsements… including mine! Everything you ever wanted to know about Bayes’ Theorem but didn’t know you were supposed to ask. A very rich, rewarding read… weidenfeldandnicolson.co.uk/titles/tom-chi…
The Ottoman traveler Evliya Çelebi's story about eating honey in a Circassian village is the most insane thing you'll read today
Sam Freedman @Samfr
145K Followers 1K Following Writes the UK's most popular politics Substack (https://t.co/bcjXR0ncfL). New book - "Failed State" - out 29th August https://t.co/uPuWlb39R3.Stephen Bush @stephenkb
147K Followers 7K Following Associate editor and columnist @FinancialTimes. Tweet about politics, policy, culture, nerd stuff. Tongue mostly in cheek. Get my newsletter here 👇Sam Bowman @s8mb
49K Followers 2K Following Editor of https://t.co/YPQHCCb6Ke. Just here to have fun. COYS 🇺🇦Godspeed You Black Ta.. @twlldun
39K Followers 2K Following "The Welsh are all actors. Its only the bad ones that become professional" - Richard Burton.Christopher Snowdon �.. @cjsnowdon
58K Followers 2K Following Leap year reformer, app truther and daylight savings appreciator. IEA. Views my own.Robert Colvile @rcolvile
52K Followers 3K Following Director of @CPSThinkTank, EIC of @CapX, Sunday columnist for @thetimes, author of 'The Great Acceleration'. Politics, policy and parenting.James Ball @jamesrbuk
86K Followers 6K Following Fellow @Demos | President @TheMediaSociety | Columnist & interviewer @TheNewEuropean | Author | Personal account. 🏳️🌈Tom Forth @thomasforth
30K Followers 2K Following CTO and co-Founder @TheDataCity. Head of Data @OpenInnovates || Runs @imactivate. No profile pic, location, name, and bio? I probably won't see your tweet.jonn elledge @JonnElledge
56K Followers 7K Following a proud part of the faux zeitgeist. @newstatesman @capx @papercutsshow @ substack. new book A History of the World in 47 Borders out NOW!Hugo Rifkind @hugorifkind
211K Followers 2K Following I didn't write the headline, though. Writing @thetimes, talking @timesradio every Saturday, 10am -1pmMike Bird @Birdyword
87K Followers 2K Following Asia business & finance editor @TheEconomist. Co-host of our Money Talks podcast. Just a lad from Leeds with a lust for markets, economics and history.James O'Malley @Psythor
23K Followers 1K Following Freelance journalist. Politics/Tech/Data/Bad Takes. I made @TrumpsAlert. Previously Editor of @GizmodoUK. Subscribe to my Substack!Tom Hamilton @thhamilton
27K Followers 2K Following Social policy at Public First. Former Labour staffer and serial election loser. I co-wrote a book about PMQs, and now write a newsletter about political attack.Tom Whipple @whippletom
32K Followers 3K Following Science at The Times - Tweets in personal capacity. My book: about boffins, derring do and the radio war https://t.co/za2mmy25r5Ian Leslie @mrianleslie
26K Followers 761 Following HOW TO DISAGREE/@FaberBooks UK CONFLICTED/@HarperCollins US https://t.co/i3VC0WvPSq. Next book is on John and Paul. The Ruffian: https://t.co/L2ooKw9nuHSunder Katwala @sundersays
39K Followers 11K Following Director @britishfuture. Author of How to be a Patriot https://t.co/2mVuOhKhxi @HarperNorthUK New: Culture Clash https://t.co/ukFtFRfj3rmutable joe @mutablejoe
48K Followers 1K Following former blue tick | [email protected] | represented by @jounwin | buy me a coffee https://t.co/ohy98SjCxhDamian Counsell @DamCou
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3 Followers 26 FollowingLapin Michel🗽🃏�.. @MichelM50665213
143 Followers 1K Following 🦠🌱🏵 Idéalisme volontariste / Marxien ☭ révisionniste de Centre-droit / Néo Hégélien. Amoureux de Fouillée, Bergson, Schopenhauer et de ta femme.🐥Evelyn Scott @evelyn_scott_
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64 Followers 79 FollowingAdam Knight @Adam8Knight
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27 Followers 375 FollowingAlex Nichols @alexn100
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979 Followers 723 Following Professor of Behavioral Applied Microeconomics at the University of AmsterdamSteve Laurie @SteveLaurie42
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91 Followers 465 Following A successful man is one who can lay a firm foundation with the bricks others have thrown at him.AM @mindiscaqui
81 Followers 5K FollowingCantabKitty 🐣 Happ.. @CantabKitty
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173 Followers 2K Following I am a Labour member with Aspergers. Big All Elite Wrestling fan. Massive Elvis fan,working on an Elvis blog.David Schatsky @dschatsky
5K Followers 3K Following Business/tech trends, AI, climate, bio-innovation, education, economics/public policy, mild sarcasm. Tweets are mine & don't reflect my employer's views.Andrew @GetToCode
8 Followers 75 FollowingGlaspanther @glaspanther
57 Followers 160 FollowingDr Julie Ewald @ja_ewald
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213 Followers 4K Following Studying Masters in Cognitive Science at @UniOsnabrueckRobin Sheridan @RobinSheridan
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65 Followers 185 Followingjonesy108 @jonesy108
660 Followers 1K Following wish I was at a gig or in a field at a festival. one of the science lads @niscifestPaul Marks @PaulMarks12
5K Followers 3K Following Award-winning journalist writing on technology, aviation & space ✍🏻 NewScientist Economist BBC Guardian Telegraph ACM News 🎙️ NPR Sky BBC DiscoveryMarian James @maisiestar
24 Followers 180 FollowingLillian_Griffin @Lillian_Griffi1
21 Followers 389 FollowingSam Freedman @Samfr
145K Followers 1K Following Writes the UK's most popular politics Substack (https://t.co/bcjXR0ncfL). New book - "Failed State" - out 29th August https://t.co/uPuWlb39R3.Stephen Bush @stephenkb
147K Followers 7K Following Associate editor and columnist @FinancialTimes. Tweet about politics, policy, culture, nerd stuff. Tongue mostly in cheek. Get my newsletter here 👇Sam Bowman @s8mb
49K Followers 2K Following Editor of https://t.co/YPQHCCb6Ke. Just here to have fun. COYS 🇺🇦Godspeed You Black Ta.. @twlldun
39K Followers 2K Following "The Welsh are all actors. Its only the bad ones that become professional" - Richard Burton.Christopher Snowdon �.. @cjsnowdon
58K Followers 2K Following Leap year reformer, app truther and daylight savings appreciator. IEA. Views my own.Robert Colvile @rcolvile
52K Followers 3K Following Director of @CPSThinkTank, EIC of @CapX, Sunday columnist for @thetimes, author of 'The Great Acceleration'. Politics, policy and parenting.James Ball @jamesrbuk
86K Followers 6K Following Fellow @Demos | President @TheMediaSociety | Columnist & interviewer @TheNewEuropean | Author | Personal account. 🏳️🌈Tom Forth @thomasforth
30K Followers 2K Following CTO and co-Founder @TheDataCity. Head of Data @OpenInnovates || Runs @imactivate. No profile pic, location, name, and bio? I probably won't see your tweet.jonn elledge @JonnElledge
56K Followers 7K Following a proud part of the faux zeitgeist. @newstatesman @capx @papercutsshow @ substack. new book A History of the World in 47 Borders out NOW!Hugo Rifkind @hugorifkind
211K Followers 2K Following I didn't write the headline, though. Writing @thetimes, talking @timesradio every Saturday, 10am -1pmMike Bird @Birdyword
87K Followers 2K Following Asia business & finance editor @TheEconomist. Co-host of our Money Talks podcast. Just a lad from Leeds with a lust for markets, economics and history.James O'Malley @Psythor
23K Followers 1K Following Freelance journalist. Politics/Tech/Data/Bad Takes. I made @TrumpsAlert. Previously Editor of @GizmodoUK. Subscribe to my Substack!Tom Hamilton @thhamilton
27K Followers 2K Following Social policy at Public First. Former Labour staffer and serial election loser. I co-wrote a book about PMQs, and now write a newsletter about political attack.Tom Whipple @whippletom
32K Followers 3K Following Science at The Times - Tweets in personal capacity. My book: about boffins, derring do and the radio war https://t.co/za2mmy25r5Ian Leslie @mrianleslie
26K Followers 761 Following HOW TO DISAGREE/@FaberBooks UK CONFLICTED/@HarperCollins US https://t.co/i3VC0WvPSq. Next book is on John and Paul. The Ruffian: https://t.co/L2ooKw9nuHSunder Katwala @sundersays
39K Followers 11K Following Director @britishfuture. Author of How to be a Patriot https://t.co/2mVuOhKhxi @HarperNorthUK New: Culture Clash https://t.co/ukFtFRfj3rmutable joe @mutablejoe
48K Followers 1K Following former blue tick | [email protected] | represented by @jounwin | buy me a coffee https://t.co/ohy98SjCxhDamian Counsell @DamCou
16K Followers 4K Following Binfluencer. I build Websites, do bioinformatics, and sing soul. [Portrait photo by @PhotoJoanne . Header image by @ANNVYSHINSKY .]Stefan Schubert @StefanFSchubert
28K Followers 2K Following Philosophy, psychology, and effective altruism.Michael Shermer @michaelshermer
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49K Followers 334 Following The neuroscience of eating behavior and obesity. Author of The Hungry Brain. Founder and director of Red Pen Reviews. Neuroscience PhD, University of WA.Jim Reed @jim_reed
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2K Followers 600 Following @brookemacnamara.bsky.soci Assoc. Professor, Cognitive Psychologist - Individual Differences in Skilled Performance, Skill Acquisition, Expertise, AchievementSeán Ó hÉigeartaig.. @S_OhEigeartaigh
2K Followers 1K Following Director of https://t.co/gCEDoKdKBT at Uni of Cambridge | Researching Big Risks, and impacts of AI & emerging tech. Opinions ownLeigh Phillips @Leigh_Phillips
15K Followers 14K Following Journalist & science writer (Nature, Sci Am, New Scientist, Guardian, Telegraph). Co-author of People’s Republic of Walmart. Author of Austerity Ecology.Hannah Barnes @hannahsbee
22K Followers 1K Following Associate Editor & Writer @NewStatesman; Author, Baillie Gifford & Orwell shortlisted “Time to Think” https://t.co/tGHnbC8aAz; Formerly @bbcnewsnightJason Crawford @jasoncrawford
33K Followers 3K Following Founder, @rootsofprogress. I write about the history of technology and the philosophy of progress. Working to build the progress community and movementFIRE @TheFIREorg
202K Followers 3K Following Join America’s Free Speech Movement: https://t.co/koVZIVXR9g 🔥Alexis Akwagyiram @alexisak
42K Followers 2K Following Managing Editor @SemaforAfrica. Previously @FT, @Reuters Nigeria bureau chief, @BBCWorld. Ghanaian family, British accent. Sign up: https://t.co/1BAR5cVDu6Ajeya Cotra @ajeya_cotra
6K Followers 286 Following AI could get really powerful soon and I worry we're underprepared. Analysis+grantmaking in AI alignment @open_phil (views my own), editor+writer @plannedobs.Yuan Yi Zhu @yuanyi_z
48K Followers 17K Following Assistant to the professor of international relations and international law. All views mine alone.Jeffrey Sachs @JeffreyASachs
39K Followers 1K Following Acadia University. Judicial politics, authoritarianism, Islam, free speech and education. Tweets do not represent the views of my Employer.Yinka Adegoke @YinkaWrites
14K Followers 163 Following Sign up https://t.co/SZD6JntFKR @semaforafrica Prev: Rest of World•@QzAfrica editor•dep editor Billboard •100 Most Influential Africans 2018• DMs openBenjy Sarlin @BenjySarlin
126K Followers 3K Following Washington Bureau Chief at @semafor. Sign up for Principals and Americana at https://t.co/BQHSjHkC3I. bsarlin at semafor dot com. Same username on 🧵Language Log @LanguageLog
48K Followers 375 Following Language Log is a group blog on language and linguistics started in the summer of 2003 by Mark Liberman and Geoffrey Pullum.David Luhnow @davidluhnow
71K Followers 2K Following UK bureau chief for The Wall Street Journal. Ex longtime Latin America editor. The opposite of a Chicano: Born and raised in Mexico to gringo parents.Benedict Evans @benedictevans
382K Followers 983 Following No longer active here - that would be complicity. See Threads, web or newsletter.Adam Bell @Adam_Grant_Bell
7K Followers 1K Following Director of Policy at Stonehaven. Ex BEIS. Energy geek. All tweets in a personal capacity.William Woof @william_woof
152 Followers 153 Following Postdoc at UCL IoO, working on Eye2Gene: accelerating genetic diagnosis for inherited retinal diseases using deep learning.Sam Atis @sam_atis
1K Followers 3K Following If you are interested in social science or effective altruism, read https://t.co/LCWUcBUQCE.Jeronimo Gonzalez @JeronimoGCC
777 Followers 1K Following Assistant Editor at @Semafor | Previously @MexicoToday, @BBCNewsSam Freedman @Samfrspare
11K Followers 445 Following Spare account for @samfr in case it gets hacked again.Oliver Morton @Eaterofsun
12K Followers 5K Following Author of The Moon: A History for the Future https://t.co/C1MHjWie26 Views not discernible from RTsArthur Turrell @arthurturrell
6K Followers 5K Following Economic data scientist and author working in the public sector, formerly @ONS. Book on nuclear fusion, 'The Star Builders', out now with S&S/W&N. Views my own.Josh Barro @jbarro
285K Followers 2K Following I write a newsletter (at https://t.co/ZoyMCO4aN5), I host the Very Serious podcast, & I co-host https://t.co/UzPB0fX8QJ w/ @popehat Email josh at joshbarro dot comDr Anton Howes @antonhowes
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18K Followers 879 Following Professor of Comparative Democratic Institutions, Nuffield & University of Oxford, FBA. https://t.co/iBvUvBGqtN. Why Politics Fails. Reith Lecturer 2023.bernoulli_defect @BernoulliDefect
4K Followers 767 Following the only guy that can code in the most boring department at the biggest financial institution you’ve never heard of. alt @granular_flawsMatthew Yglesias @MatthewYglesia1
5K Followers 80 Following Bad Takes pod. Slow Boring newsletter. Fan of ironic titles.David Weigel @daveweigel
566K Followers 13K Following Covering politics for @semafor. Alum: @washingtonpost, @business, @slate. [email protected]. Buy my book: https://t.co/6sWfZ4MNgHLiz Hoffman @lizrhoffman
19K Followers 1K Following writing about biz & finance @Semafor. @WSJ alum. author of CRASH LANDING out now from @crownpublishing. order here: https://t.co/kMLVAEe7wqJustin B. Smith @Justin_B_Smith
15K Followers 1K Following CEO of @semafor, Former CEO of Bloomberg Media / Atlantic Media / The Atlantic / The Week, and Founder of Quartz / Breaking Media / New Economy ForumSwift Centre @swift_centre
1K Followers 17 Following The future that matters. See how we've helped organisations see the future more clearly: https://t.co/klqI5c5bSYSéb Krier @sebkrier
6K Followers 5K Following 🪼 policy dev & strategy @GoogleDeepMind | vinyl junkie, noosphere cartographer, deep ArXiv dweller, interstellar fugitive, uncertain | 🇮🇷🇱🇺🇬🇧🇫🇷Kathleen Stock @Docstockk
149K Followers 3K Following Sapphist sophist. Contributing writer @UnHerd. Co-directs @project_lesbian. Highly commended columnist @pressawardsUK ('24). Agent: @littlehardmanAndy Grieve @AndrewPG.. @AndrewPGrieve
2K Followers 945 Following Grandpa - thrice, 47 years as a Statistician in Pharma , over 40 yea promoting Bayesian approaches, 4 years as hobby academic King's Coll London, Cerevisaphile.Ben Smith @semaforben
339K Followers 2K Following Editor-in-chief of @semafor. Former @nytimes media columnist, @buzzfeednews EIC. "Traffic." [email protected], Signal semaforben.90Semafor @semafor
59K Followers 66 Following Building a new global news company. Sign up for our newsletters: https://t.co/1NfW7fz4BzPrashant Rao @prashantrao
25K Followers 810 Following @Semafor Senior Editor | Sign up: https://t.co/7kDY5yghAG | Ex @TheAtlantic, @nytimes London, @AFP Iraq | DM for Signal/WhatsApp@TomChivers @edwest Imagine you as a newspaper editor, barely a column would get off the ground!
The two best podcasts I've listened to on the Cass Review (both paywalled). @maiden_podcast and @StuartJRitchie /@TomChivers
@TomChivers @hugorifkind That is a Google meet link Tom?!
@TomChivers @niall_gooch Fabulous book. Devoured on a sun lounger in Provence last year and it was quite an experience
@TomChivers I hear that Yanks such as myself not only have to wait another month for the book (boo! 👎), but the cover will be different and not as pretty. I thought our nations had a special relationship!
I love the covers.
Arrived today! Can't wait to read @TomChivers new book!
@jamesrbuk It is because Bayes would say you should judge a book by its cover.
I don’t know what they’ve done to the cover of Tom’s book, but it’s *incredibly* tactile. It’s just amazing to touch. It’s next on my to-read list but I’m happy to recommend it just for this.
Publication day (in the UK)! Go! Buy! Look how pretty it is! Buy! You can't afford NOT to! It's so pretty! Also the content is good but IT'S SO PRETTY geni.us/EIPBook
@TomChivers @kncukier Prior to seeing this tweet, the probability that I would buy a book on Bayes' theorem was low. But now it's increased.
@TomChivers I'm waiting for the postman to deliver!
@TomChivers In there like swimwear. Can't wait to read!
Happy publication day to one of the best science writers (and also one of the best people), @TomChivers! Everything is Predictable is the definitive book on Bayes' Theorem, and everyone should read it. (Also that cover 😍) amazon.co.uk/Everything-Pre…
@TomChivers I like to refer to using frequentist statistics while writing papers but using Bayesian epistemology for everyday reasoning as “frequentist in the streets, Bayesian in the sheets”
@JamesSurowiecki @jessesingal For example, in the U.K. where I am from, there are *far* greater ties with India and Pakistan than there are with Israel or Palestine. We literally have millions of people who live here originally from those states. How much coverage does the Kashmir conflict get, does Modi get?
Blown away to hear from @TomChivers and @StuartJRitchie (discussing the Cass Report) that it's not remarkable for medical treatments to lack good evidence. A 2020 study found only 9.9% of treatments supported by ”high quality evidence". pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32890636/