Tascha @TaschaLabs
Crypto & web3 through macro lens. PhD macroeconomics. Angel investor. Startup advisor. Founder https://t.co/LlYvU0aA5H. taschalabs.com/newsletter Join 50,000 others 👉 Joined January 2013-
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Since this post below triggered so many people, let’s take a deeper look that’s less social-media-y, shall we? What’s “seasonality” really? Numbers on a calendar means nothing by themselves. What’s happening is they are heuristic measures that stand in for real structural…
Since this post below triggered so many people, let’s take a deeper look that’s less social-media-y, shall we? What’s “seasonality” really? Numbers on a calendar means nothing by themselves. What’s happening is they are heuristic measures that stand in for real structural…
Two types of strategies can work: 1) simple and robust. 2) complex and technically demanding. Most people are middling talents, that means: too stupid to do 2, not stupid enough to do 1.
The low-stress way to "buy the dip" How do you know you're buying a dip instead of catching a falling knife that will just keep on falling? Breadth recovery can be a useful tell. The return on Nasdaq is 3x the average, 90 days after what I call a "bullish breadth divergence"…
It’s a waste of time looking for alpha in crypto. While I brace for the incoming rotten eggs and tomatoes on this one, let me make it clear that you don’t need alpha to make money—as long as some preconditions are met. But first let’s straighten out some vocabularies. What is…
Thanks everyone for your kind wishes. I'm doing well. been focusing on other more long-termly rewarding pursuits than social media. I was writing social posts for fun, accidentally became an 'influencer', realized I didn't care for the role, so decided to step back, that's all.…
Edgy - The DeFi Edge .. @thedefiedge
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2K Followers 758 Following I do stupid stuff on the blockchain. Blockchain/security eng @dragonfly_xyz. Former protocol @0xProject. I make an omelette a day. 🌈 🇵🇭 🐭@TaschaLabs The total return is double but this is an artifact of a small sample. The divergence starts after about 2000 for $SPX. But if we use $DJIA since 1915, we see underperformance of this seasonality until mid 2000s. Good to show seasonal patterns form, but regime dependent.
@TaschaLabs You’re just so damn consistently insightful. Found this post revealing. Thank you
@TaschaLabs wow, back with a biggggg bang! thanks for the insights as always @TaschaLabs and welcome back
@TaschaLabs Insightful as always, Tascha. 👏🏽👏🏽 Didn't catch everything (this is a lot, might need to re-read), but I picked up a thing or two. Plus now I've got a better grip on alpha & beta assets, and their relationship with the market. Thanks for sharing!
@TaschaLabs Nothing to apologize about Ma’am I simply need to learn 🙏❤️ It’s been fully digested now btw.
@TaschaLabs Where have you been?! Whatever the answer is, it’s good to see you back.
@TaschaLabs Totally get it! The social media hustle can be draining. Glad you're doing well, excited to see those market insights! Welcome back.
@TaschaLabs Good to have you back 🫡
@TaschaLabs Welcome back Tascha, good to see you back here, active again.