Stephen J Shaw @StephenJShaw
Passions: Data Science & Demography. Writer, Director & Producer "Birthgap - Childless World" (Chelsea Film Festival 2021). birthgap.org Tokyo/New York/London Joined November 2022-
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Policies to encourage parenthood won't work well if people don't have partners to have children with. This is how civilizations end...
Policies to encourage parenthood won't work well if people don't have partners to have children with. This is how civilizations end...
@elonmusk @esherifftv It's very simple - delayed mating When people start looking for a mate at 30 instead of 18, the probably of finding a mate by 40 drops dramatically Same thing across many countries @StephenJShaw
Do we want decent pensions & care in old age? Do we want to pay less tax? We can’t have either unless we remove barriers to having children & reverse declining birthrates. I spoke to @GBNEWS about the costs of falling birthrates. Full interview: youtu.be/PQFRNNw2WZ4?si…
Some say offering cheap - or free - childcare is the key to increasing the birthrate. But this chart shows why that is very unlikely to be true. People don’t have children to put them in institutional care; they have children for a lifelong relationship that begins at birth. 1/5
My finding of a "London Effect" may be a feature of dating in larger cities around the globe. Almost half of women aged 25 - 35 in London reported their friend group struggled to find a partner to start a family with, compared to a (still high!) one-third average for the rest of…
My finding of a "London Effect" may be a feature of dating in larger cities around the globe. Almost half of women aged 25 - 35 in London reported their friend group struggled to find a partner to start a family with, compared to a (still high!) one-third average for the rest of…
Thank you @miriam_cates - this topic needs to rise to the very top of our political dialogues. No one else (so far) has been prepared to champion this civilization determining crisis.
Thank you @miriam_cates - this topic needs to rise to the very top of our political dialogues. No one else (so far) has been prepared to champion this civilization determining crisis.
We dont have history on our side. This is how civilizations end...
We dont have history on our side. This is how civilizations end...
In her first ever podcast @astor_charlie explains the devious background to my cancellation at Cambridge University last year - and how she infiltrated protesters to try to stop it from being cancelled. Charlie is the student who organized the campus screening of my #birthgap…
In her first ever podcast @astor_charlie explains the devious background to my cancellation at Cambridge University last year - and how she infiltrated protesters to try to stop it from being cancelled. Charlie is the student who organized the campus screening of my #birthgap…
@RealKiraDavis The Sex and the City generation told ourselves that talking like this was oppressive but it left an entire generation of people what @StephenJShaw calls “unintendedly childless.” I was talking with a friend recently and we joked how Carrie Bradshaw was “goals” back then and now…
I don't understand why the Gov isn't more worried about the birth rate. The only MP raising the alarm is @miriam_cates. The few children being born today will be responsible for sustaining one of the largest ageing populations. Immigration isn't a fix. Plus many Brits want babies
Yes. Or to seek solace with younger people in their lonely elder years.
Yes. Or to seek solace with younger people in their lonely elder years.
You can read Bernice's story in full at: buff.ly/4aeyLK9 #childless #MediaNews #childlessbycircumstance #diversitymatters #inclusionmatters #childlessnotbychoice #childlessafterivf
Unplanned Childlessness is sadly a tragically common (unspoken) story. The majority of people who remain childless for life had planned to become parents one day. Life's circumstances get in the way. #birthgap
Unplanned Childlessness is sadly a tragically common (unspoken) story. The majority of people who remain childless for life had planned to become parents one day. Life's circumstances get in the way. #birthgap
If we are very lucky, population collapse. But not all countries will make it.
If we are very lucky, population collapse. But not all countries will make it.
Interesting. In all my research on this topic in East Asia where I live, and on every other continent involving over 2,000 deeply personal interviews/discussions, not one person has even hinted "I feel I have an obligation to have a child" - or anything remotely like it .…
Interesting. In all my research on this topic in East Asia where I live, and on every other continent involving over 2,000 deeply personal interviews/discussions, not one person has even hinted "I feel I have an obligation to have a child" - or anything remotely like it .…
Can private sector nurseries survive the rollout of the Government’s childcare plan? A🧵… In recent years, private nurseries have only remained financially solvent because they make a profit on their places for under threes. 1/10
Thrilled to start Carry the Fire with @StephenJShaw sold out event. A preview of our evening with @JamesChiavarini . Full footage coming shortly! #birthgap #carrythefire #demographics
There’s a certain strata of the new right that think Japan’s hardline-immigration-regime-with-low-birth-rates works. It doesn’t. Necessity will always win out in the end. Always. Raise birth rates. TINA. 🇯🇵👶
There’s a certain strata of the new right that think Japan’s hardline-immigration-regime-with-low-birth-rates works. It doesn’t. Necessity will always win out in the end. Always. Raise birth rates. TINA. 🇯🇵👶
This trend is "baked in" for at least the next few decades. Fewer past births means fewer young people to have children, which means fewer births... and so on. This is how civilizations end. Only a major rise in birthrate can save Japan in the longterm.
This trend is "baked in" for at least the next few decades. Fewer past births means fewer young people to have children, which means fewer births... and so on. This is how civilizations end. Only a major rise in birthrate can save Japan in the longterm.
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@elonmusk @esherifftv It's very simple - delayed mating When people start looking for a mate at 30 instead of 18, the probably of finding a mate by 40 drops dramatically Same thing across many countries @StephenJShaw
This has to be the worst take in Politico's history. The author is apparently oblivious to the fertility crash that is underway worldwide (with East Asia as ground zero) or else can't understand that population collapse is everyone's problem. This post will not age well.
The far right is so obsessed with making babies, they just held a whole conference about it. Behind the scenes at the first “NatalCon” ⬇️ politico.com/news/magazine/…
Very pleased to have been selected as the winner of the Best Student Manuscript Award from the @TheIASR Thanks to @DebbyHerbenick @LisaDiamondLab and all at the International Academy of Sex Research. Looking forward to now giving a talk at #IASR2024 in Berlin!
Good piece. Some of my friends have had babies recently and I was prepared for them to complain about the sleepless nights/difficulties, but what they share (and radiate) is pure joy & love. One said there's not enough talk about the positives. telegraph.co.uk/health-fitness…
@Rainmaker1973 The math isn’t correct. A lot of the ancestors will be cross bred so you will have less ancestors than what this simple model indicates. Obviously it is very rare that your parents and grandparents parents are closely related but the further down the pyramid you go the more…
Here are 10 remarkable times when people admitted they had been wrong. Examples like these help promote the healthy norm of admitting when we've made a mistake (since mistakes are just a part of being human) so that we can all learn and grow: admitting being wrong megathread 🧵
Thoroughly enjoyed debating populism with Congresswoman Nancy Pelosi tonight @OxfordUnion All smiles. Beforehand at least.
Probably nothing to worry about cnn.com/2024/04/24/hea…
The biggest waste of time, brain cells, and energy over the last decade has been the entire 'transgenderism' debacle. It's a completely fabricated issue and first world problem. Purely designed to cause chaos, confusion, division, destruction, and distraction.
Room, cleaned 🦞 @jordanbpeterson in Austin, Texas
‘Civilisation is actually quite fragile ... It requires confidence, confidence in the society in which one lives, belief in its philosophy, belief in its laws ... If one asks why the civilisation of Greece and Rome collapsed, the real answer is that it was exhausted.’
telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/04/2… “In a new age of great power competition and civilisational decline, it is increasingly important that we move beyond the indulgence of London-centric ‘groundhog day’ narratives of Western self-loathing, to rediscover a sense of purpose and belonging."
Frank was the kindest,most loyal and principled person I have known in politics. Underlying everything he did was his deep Christian faith.I will miss him so much but know he is now in a better place.
A lot of people online are just really angry with their lives and vomiting it upon everybody else.
Great discussion last night at our event in Parliament on what the state’s role should be in childcare. Thanks very much to our wonderful panellists @miriam_cates @David_Goodhart @alysdenby @stephmurrayyyy and @ckfarquharson, and to all who attended!
A pleasure to meet @StephenJShaw today and be interviewed for his documentary. The award winning "Birthgap" series is being filmed and released in parts. It explores the causes, consequences and cures of growing childlessness. Part 1 is on YouTube. youtu.be/A6s8QlIGanA?si…
The socialist model of the state taking care of children does not raise birth rates. This is clear today and has been clear for a very long time. Link to the history of this model in the comment below.
Some say offering cheap - or free - childcare is the key to increasing the birthrate. But this chart shows why that is very unlikely to be true. People don’t have children to put them in institutional care; they have children for a lifelong relationship that begins at birth. 1/5
Some say offering cheap - or free - childcare is the key to increasing the birthrate. But this chart shows why that is very unlikely to be true. People don’t have children to put them in institutional care; they have children for a lifelong relationship that begins at birth. 1/5
The British Social Attitudes Survey finds a clear consensus that "both the mother and father work full time" is the *worst* way to organise things in a family with young children. And parents regularly say in surveys that they want to spend more, not less, time with their kids.
A buoyant and breezy afternoon spent with the all-powerful @StandUptoWoke and the inimitable @Harry_pitt for the @NewCultureForum. We discussed the Cass Review from the perspective of patient and practitioner - and why Descartes has a lot to answer for! Out later this week...
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