☀ WilhiteWx ❄ @SouthernINWx
I no longer use this account. It's here as an archive of sort for my benefit. Follow me at @WilhiteWx and my website at https://t.co/rFRldWHKpX WilhiteWx.com Indiana, USA Joined February 2010-
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Large spread in ensemble guidance in the longer range. EPS here at Day 15 kills the high latitude blocking, returns zonal flow and gives the toasty wx again. GEFS keeps it around and continues cooler wx for Eastern USA. #AgWx
A warm or cold Dec? Last 25 runs of CFS show lots of volatility in the data. Extremes on both sides. #AgWx
GFS vs EURO for pre-Thanksgiving storm. Very similar ideas today. Timing a day earlier on EURO. #AgWx
That said, extend of cold and who gets what type of precip is still very much in question and unknown this far out. Just an idea for now. Will be monitoring close.
Sometimes GFS likes to throw a random storm in there for fun in the long range. And often they don't show up in subsequent runs. This time, GFS has hinted at a storm right before Thanksgiving for a few days. 2 separate runs on 2 different days have shown a similar position. #AgWx
Could be a bumpy back half of Nov for Eastern US. Significant storm likely coming around Nov 20-22 timeframe. Placement of cold & precip types are still unknown, but GFS & Euro both keep hinting at it. Worth monitoring. #AgWx
Temp anomalies late next week with this upcoming cold blast. Euro is being very bullish with the cold. GFS not far behind. Will see what upcoming runs say. #AgWx
Could be a very cold and storm time coming right around Thanksgiving. Major models on board with a lobe of the polar vortex coming to visit Eastern USA. Winter storm? Possible, but extend of cold and exactly where storm goes is still to be determined. #AgWx
What a difference a year makes! Current snow depth vs 1 year ago. Nov already turning out much different this year. #AgWx
Highs Fri show an arctic blast digging further south. Large portion of the Midwest & Plains won't rise above freezing tomorrow. Bundle up! #AgWx
Tornado Watch likely coming out soon for portions of #KYwx.
Severe wx threatens the area tonight. Here's a quick blog update. #Agwx #INwx #KYwx #ILwx southernindianaweather.com/index.php/2017…
SPC has increased the tornado, wind and hail probabilities for #KYwx. Expect storms to fire this afternoon in KY then explode after dark.
Latest update from SPC expands the ENHANCED RISK more into #kywx
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3 Followers 136 Following look around and take note of Absolutely everything, because one day ur keen ability to scan and take in the smallest of details will b your saving grace.@WilhiteWx I’m liking all these posts to twitter. It’s good for people like me that aren’t on Facebook.
@SouthernINWx @PredictableWx Glad to see you expanding your forecast area. I'm from N. Central Indiana and I use your forecast intelligence every day. Thanks! #INwx
@EdValleeWx @capitalweather @washingtonpost The hypocrisy is so thick with this article. Par for course considering Washington DC
Here is my 2016-2017 winter forecast! Check out the full discussion and analog at midwestweather.org/2016/10/offici…
@KOPNFMRADIOWX @jnelsonweather @OSNW3 @TriStatesWx nobody that uses them names you in every post. No space, no time, unnecessary every post
AER's preliminary #winter forecast is posted on the NSF website. Will discuss my thoughts in tomorrow's blog aer.com/science-resear… x.com/nsf_geo/status…
@WilhiteWx a Like for you bringing the news, even when it's hard to accept.
@WilhiteWx I've ceased to be surprised when it recovers anymore
@WilhiteWx Ok...keep updating on here then! I like knowing what all the models and indexes are showing :)
Remember the creepy #Matthew skull? Well, it's back.
130 mph winds on radar around the eye. Wow! Nassau gusting to 85 mph.
@RioistheGOAT It's not the 12Z ecmwf ensembles. It's uses the 0Z ecwmf ensembles that best match the 12Z Observation!
@WilhiteWx by no means an exact replication of the pattern, but yes, the #BSR provided a nice signal for this time frame. @KOPNFMRADIOWX
The Weatherman shoes are on and that can only mean one thing... @HSGTLouisville !! Spencer Co. at Collins @WHAS11
Me when I look at model guidance for next week...
@WilhiteWx Thanks!! I'm ready for cold and snow!! Looking forward to your preliminary winter forecast!!
@WilhiteWx I'm pretty sure -AMO will return. Mixed layer shallows in summer - cold anomalies at depth tend to get reentrained in winter.
@EricHolthaus As shown... 2013-14 and 2014-15 winters would laugh at that assessment. So would 09-10 and 10-11.
NOAA removes La Niña watch. ENSO-neutral conditions favored this winter. cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analy…