RookieInvestor @RookieInvestoor
Long term investor focused on concentrated bets. I talk about investing from a mindset/psychology lens. Current interests: $TSLA, $LMND, $BTC, $BARK, $FOUR Australia Joined September 2022-
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Free call options getting priced in a touch. Note, nothing has changed, only sentiment, narrative, pricing in of optionality.
Free call options getting priced in a touch. Note, nothing has changed, only sentiment, narrative, pricing in of optionality.
5 days from bottom
I wouldn't recommend trading options, but studying options can be handy in understanding stocks like $TSLA. At these prices you are buying a bunch of free call options with high volatility and extremely long expiry dates. These are worth a lot. Ask chatGPT.
When people start calling sub $100 $TSLA we are near the bottom. That's a 300B market cap, laughable for the optionality embedded in the stock. Remember what happened last time we fell to a $100? Will be bought up quickly.
I'll bet that Wall Street starts pricing in FSD 12 months from now. And every quarter after that, both growth rates and multiples go higher. As for when the stock reacts, good luck timing that. $TSLA.
When will it end?
Not sure how $mstr shorts sleep given 24/7 $btc trading where btc could be up 40% over a weekend. Peak anxiety.
The time it took $BTC to double after previous breaks of ATHs: Dec 2020: 18 days March 2017: 84 days Nov 2013: 10 days March 2013: 18 days
0.6%?? 😲
Haven't done a $LMND post in a while as the amount of analysis has ramped up from many others, which is great. I only do napkin math and stay out of the weeds and my estimates from 12 months ago for customers and IFP was within 3% of estimates. Not flexing, very random and rough…
Bit disappointing that the $lmnd bulls turned into crypto style token shillers this quarter. Riding every pump and dump. We can't be talking about a 20x and then also getting hyper emotional about 10% moves. Also let's stop pretending we know what's happening quarter to quarter.…
This is an AI-generated video from OpenAI's new Sora text-to-video model. Simply amazing. OpenAI trying to build a foundation model for real world AI. "Sora serves as a foundation for models that can understand and simulate the real world, a capability we believe will be an…
Seems like $TSLA sentiment is worse than I've seen in a while, really showing that those who talk about 5+ year time frames, dont have 5+ year time frames Feed is way too emotional and short term driven last 12 months, and feels like people discussing irrelevant issues that are…
The public has no idea of what's happening. #Bitcoin
New year, new adventure! We've officially parked our car insurance in Washington state 🏔️🚗
@nick_vladkis @PaperBagInvest @daschreiber No way!
$btc unit bias ending about to absolutely send this post ETF next 12 months
$btc unit bias ending about to absolutely send this post ETF next 12 months
People talking about “dilution” when BTC holdings per share of MSTR look like this: h/t @jimmyvs24
People talking about “dilution” when BTC holdings per share of MSTR look like this: h/t @jimmyvs24 https://t.co/FdoSbcMiKl
The average sale price of a new pickup truck in October 2023 in the US was $66k. Why in the F of all Fs are people upset that CT is priced at $72.5k after IRA? I mean fuel savings alone will close that gap in like 1-2 yrs. Nevermind the fact that CT is infinitely better.
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@RookieInvestoor @TSLAFanMtl The problem is the business has a $500b valuation because growth was anticipated which doesn't seem to be happening
@RookieInvestoor @TSLAFanMtl All of the above may be true for Tesla None of it justifies the current stock price. Tesla can be a good company, have a bright future, etc., but there’s a reason share price has collapsed recently, and there’s likely more downside from here.
@RookieInvestoor @TSLAFanMtl Business will survive. But the P/E will go down.
you have no idea how silly this is going to get
$boden has less than 30,000 holders It hasn’t been said by: All-in Pod, Tucker, Rogan, Elon, Trump It’s barely election/campaign szn. Dumbest yet most important election year ever. Study political memes. $100.
@RookieInvestoor Tad upset with so many missteps and clearly behind the competition
CleanSpark $CLSK is nearing it's bottom. Worst case, we see another 15-25% drop from here. Getting us towards the $13-$11.50 range. But I do NOT see us going much lower. IMO, this is a time to buy, NOT sell. This company is also, around the 3rd to 4th place for total Bitcoin…
@RookieInvestoor @amitisinvesting The extra beta, both up and down, relative to $BTC is the part I was referring to.
for the next few months you will be under attack every day. everyone will want your money and attention on their coin, their NFT, their whatever. the battle for your mind will be intense. i over-traded 2017 and 2021. not making same mistake again. pick your winners let them ride
@RookieInvestoor @ryQuant We got short interest from 2/15 on 2/27. So that's what you're seeing in the graph. Also a lot of short interest is convertible notes (they were shorting to ensure certain price). We'll get updated numbers mid March... I would expect a lot of shorts to be closed.
@RookieInvestoor @ryQuant Maybe a little. I’m seeing about 45% premium on their stock (corn value - debt)/mkt cap I haven’t updated for the new debt yet
Same price, but about $1B of leverage wiped out. 📈 ✈️
Thursday 7th of March: very similar situation to 24 hours ago. With one update: a lot of the selling pressure in the ATH range has been liquidated in the past 48 hours We are ready for a second attack to the ATH. It may happen as early as TODAY. #Bitcoin
@RookieInvestoor @Leinad7331 I approve of the last paragraph, but may I add in that they will pay dividends?
the more I learn about $btc bitcoin the more I want to buy it and own it and never sell it even if it’s just 1% of the portfolio forever
@RookieInvestoor We did in fact go degen, but other than gross loss ratio being a bit higher than I would want I say it was a pretty quarter. The progress in Europe peaked my interest, I know they are more forgiving when it comes to rates so that should be pretty big in the future
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