Rob Sinclair @RobSinclairQual

Westminster Voting Intention: Reform UK: 29% (+2) Labour: 20% (=) Conservative: 17% (-1) Greens: 14% (-1) Liberal Democrats: 11% (-1) Others: 5% (+1) SNP: 3% (=) Plaid Cymru: 1% (=) Via: Opinium MOE: ±2.2% Field Work: 3-5 June changes w/ 20-22 May

Makerfield By-Election Update: survation.com/makerfield-by-… Survation conducted a new poll of the Makerfield constituency. Fieldwork was conducted by telephone among 518 adults in the constituency between 26th May and 1st June 2026. A combination of landline and mobile data were used. Methodology Statement Population Sampled: All residents aged 18+ living in the Makerfield parliamentary constituency. Total Sample Size: 518 Data Collection Method: Telephone interview. A combination of landline and mobile data were used. Fieldwork Dates: 26th May – 1st June 2026 Data Weighting: Data were weighted to the profile of all adults in Makerfield constituency aged 18+. Data were weighted by age, sex, ward and 2024 General Election vote. Targets for the weighted data were derived from Office for National Statistics data and the results of the 2024 UK General Election. Margin of Error: Because only a sample of the full population was interviewed, all results are subject to a margin of error. For example, in a question where 50% gave a particular answer, with a sample of 518 it is 95% certain that the “true” value would fall within 4.8 percentage points of the sample result. Headline by-election voting intention - Table V2 (likelihood-weighted, undecided/refused removed, no squeeze): Candidate / Party / Vote share Andy Burnham - Labour 49% Robert Kenyon - Reform UK 39% Rebecca Shepherd - Restore Britain 8% Sarah Wakefield - Green Party 2% Jake Austin - Liberal Democrat 1% Michael Winstanley - Conservative 1% Another party <1% Base: likely voters, factored by likelihood to vote, with undecided and refused voters removed Data tables are available here: cdn.survation.com/wp-content/upl…

Badenoch moves to her highest approval of her time as LOTO on -4 with the biggest gap between her and other leaders. Davey is at -12, Farage -13, Polanski -25 and Keir Starmer is up this week though still far at the bottom of the pack on -44.

NEW: Polling of GB adults in @thesun Who would you rather have as Prime Minister? Keir Starmer 35% (Starmer win by 17) Shabana Mahmood 18% Keir Starmer 35% (Starmer win by 14) Ed Miliband 21% Keir Starmer 34% (Starmer win by 13) Angela Rayner 21% Keir Starmer 32% (Starmer win by 8) Wes Streeting 24% Andy Burnham 36% (Burnham win by 10) Keir Starmer 26% 14th-21st May, 3,000 GB adults

Sunderland’s starting XI in their joyous, season-ending 2-1 victory over listless Chelsea cost the same as £106m Enzo Fernandez. This is no slight on a world champion, an elite attacking midfielder, full of craft and craftiness, if moody at times. This is simply a celebration of Sunderland’s exceptional recruitment, finding gems who can see - and seize - the opportunity at the Stadium of Light. This is also a celebration of Regis Le Bris’ remarkable team-building, blending and bonding qualities which have guided a side promoted via the play-offs into seventh and Europe. For those of us who thought Sunderland would go straight back down, apologies and enjoy Europe. You deserve it. A well-run football operation deserves it. That backing from stands to boardroom deserves it. Football also deserves it: a reminder that the status quo can be challenged with shrewd planning and investment and hard work. Of Le Bris’ starting XI against Chelsea, eight joined on the eve of the season and one in the winter window: Roefs a reported £9m from Nijmegen; Mukiele £9.5m from PS-G; Reinaldo free from Atletico Madrid; Geertruida loan from RB Leipzig; Le Fee £19.3m, loan made permanent from Roma; Xhaka £13m from Bayer Leverkusen; Sadiki £15m from Union St-Gilloise; Angulo £17.5m from Anderlecht (in February); and seven-goal Brobbey £21.6m from Ajax. Two 2025 arrivals came off the bench: Diarra £30m from Strasbourg; and Isidor £5m loan made permanent from Zenit St-Petersburg (in February 2025). Three of the 14 involved were already at the club. The starting pair of: Hume £200,000 from Linfield in 2022; and O’Nien undisclosed but reported as £200,000 to £300,000 from Wycombe Wanderers in 2018. And the sub: Rigg from Sunderland’s academy. (The £105.5m total does not include the undisclosed loan fees). When Sunderland won 2-1 at the Bridge in October, Le Bris’ starting XI cost only £75m (and also had the important Ballard, £2m from Arsenal in 2022). Chelsea’s starting XI was £433m. Four miles from the Bridge, on Park Lane this evening, the League Managers Association celebrates its members’ many achievements this season. Le Bris certainly deserves a mention. Mixing old and many new players, and getting new signings to settle quickly, requires real people skills. Le Bris and his staff clearly have them. It’s also a reflection on Sunderland’s family club reputation that so many newcomers are welcomed and assimilated so quickly. Some will move on, some will be moved on but what a journey this is across England - and soon Europe. #SAFC

🚨 🇮🇹 Juventus will play in the 2026/27 Europa League! 🚨 🇮🇹 AC Milan will play in the 2026/27 Europa League!

EUROPA LEAGUE FOOTBALL IS COMING TO SUNDERLAND!

Special ❤️

Labour still has it's 'Red Brick' wall as Graduates kept it afloat in the locals🎓

I'm really proud to have helped lead this one! The survey and focus groups gave a voice to the parents themselves. We heard clearly what's actually going wrong, and what they want politicians to do about it. The report is definitely worth a read!

JL Partners @JLPartnersPolls

3 weeks ago

@IPPR and @actnforchildren have published important new research on in-work child poverty, research we conducted at @JLPartnersPolls. The findings are stark👇

2 3 5 3K 0

This is potentially huge. As always details need to be seen. There is more to add to these potential plans, but this is a big signal that the government might actually be taking the crisis we're in much more seriously.

Faisal Islam @faisalislam

3 weeks ago

NEW Chancellor announces new restriction on use of judicial review for “critical infrastructure” clean energy projects - ie wind and nuclear - and time limitation for other projects, roads, rail and reservoirs - this is in addition to the streamlining of the process in the

43 174 1K 160K 85

Westminster Voting Intention: RFM: 29% (-1) LAB: 23% (+2) CON: 18% (-1) LDM: 13% (-1) GRN: 10% (-1) SNP: 3% (=) Via @Moreincommon_, 15-19 May. Changes w/ 9-12 May.

🚨 NEW: The IMF has upgraded the UK’s growth forecast from 0.8% to 1% in 2026

Remembering Bradley Lowery on what would have been his 15th birthday. Forever in our hearts ❤️

Running to London because it’s £235 for a peak train ticket

Politics UK @PolitlcsUK

4 weeks ago

🚨 WATCH: Andy Burnham goes for a run after announcing his plans to return to Parliament

1K 180 5K 7.5M 528

NEW from @Ipsos_in_the_UK: % of adults in the north west of England favourable towards parties & leaders. - 48% favourable towards Andy Burnham. - 22% favourable towards the Labour Party Feels significant. Reform / Greens top but for Burnham. analysis by @Ben_Roff17

All of you need to stop looking at past vote/ MRPs to tell yourself that it's Makerfield will be a massive battle. Any focus group with people in Greater Manchester show that Burnham has a massive personal vote that you can't account for in those numbers

Hahahaha what a fact. We're a proper weird country like

It will be no consolation at all to Rachel Reeves/Keir Starmer that the ONS has again confirmed that the growth figures pre-Iran were actually starting to look moderately respectable.

NEW from @Ipsos_in_the_UK / @itvpeston Who do the public prefer in a head to head vs Farage and Reform UK? - A Burnham led Labour govt +16 - A Starmer led Labour govt +11 - A Streeting led Labour govt +7 - A Rayner led Labour govt +6