Nathan Batchelor @NathanBiyond

One of the questions we are asked most frequently is whether Biyond is bullish or bearish on Bitcoin. We understand why people ask it, but never found it particularly useful. In our experience, some of the worst investment decisions begin with the correct long-term view. Investors identify where an asset is ultimately headed, but they enter too early, take too much risk or allow conviction to replace evidence. They arrive at the right conclusion and still produce poor returns. That's because investing isn't simply about knowing where an asset eventually trades. It's about understanding the sequence of events most likely to unfold before it gets there. Bitcoin's recent rally is a good example. Optimism surrounding the CLARITY Act, continued institutional adoption and improving sentiment have encouraged many investors to conclude that the next leg of the bull market has already begun. Looking beneath the surface, we were not seeing enough evidence to justify becoming more aggressive. Oil prices were pushing higher, US two-year Treasury yields had begun to rise and financial conditions were becoming less accommodative. None of those factors individually would have caused the team to materially change their outlook. Together, however, they suggested that the easy part of the rally was probably behind us and that patience was likely to be rewarded. One thing I've noticed over the years is that exceptional opportunities rarely feel comfortable. When fear is widespread, adding risk feels reckless. When optimism is everywhere, reducing exposure feels foolish. By the time a decision feels obvious, the market has usually already adjusted to reflect it. The best opportunities tend to exist in the uncomfortable space between uncertainty and consensus. Our long-term outlook remains unchanged, and we continue to believe materially higher prices lie ahead, as this cycle unfolds broadly in line with the four-year rhythm that has characterised Bitcoin since inception. The question is not whether Bitcoin would eventually trade higher. It was whether the current price represented an attractive opportunity to commit fresh capital. One of the biggest lessons observed and learned over the years is that markets reward investors who consistently make decisions where the balance between potential reward and downside risk is genuinely skewed in their favour. That principle has shaped almost every meaningful investment decision at Biyond. That's the standard we hold myself to every day, and it's the approach I share with PRIME Mentor members.

@kingfisher_btc Turning More Green/Teal: This shows that the stabilizing, dampening effect of dealer hedging is intensifying or expanding at those price levels.

Big movement of Whales going back into Stables. Looks to me that they are expecting a leg lower. And a long lasting one.

Happy 250th America🇺🇸

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The Gex+ is becoming a regular daily feature in my newsletter Biyond Daily and very helpful intraday directional guidance (even though it can obviously change quickly). Happy I spent the time to research it this year, and also the Pivot zones where algos flip to short or long. With that said, today market makers are still overwhelmingly long gamma environment across all relevant near-the-money and out-of-the-money strike prices. Simply meaning, and a line taken from you guys at the Kingfisher........ a structural "straitjacket" on the price of Bitcoin until this environment changes, and any organic retail or whale buying/selling pressure is completely absorbed and neutralized.

Postive Gamma environment since Friday, also. Market makers are overwhelmingly long gamma across all relevant near-the-money and out-of-the-money strike prices. Simply meaning, a structural "straitjacket" on the price of Bitcoin until this environment changes, and any organic retail or whale buying/selling pressure is completely absorbed and neutralized.

The Gex+ is becoming a regular daily feature in my newsletter Biyond Daily and very helpful intraday directional guidance (even though it can obviously change quickly. Happy I spent the time to understand it, and also the Pivot areas where algos flip to short or long. With that said, today market makers are stilloverwhelmingly long gamma across all relevant near-the-money and out-of-the-money strike prices. Simply meaning, and a line taken from you guys at the Kingfiosher........ a structural "straitjacket" on the price of Bitcoin until this environment changes, and any organic retail or whale buying/selling pressure is completely absorbed and neutralized.

@kingfisher_btc Volume Profile + Liquidations point to 40 USD HYPE at best. I think the low 30's more likely.

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@kingfisher_btc High leverage near 65-66k. The Ratio is flipping in favor of more Longs than Shorts to be cleared out though.

Large spike in USDT whale holding over recent days. Keeping a close watch. Either the end of the recent ST correction or a pending re-deployment back into crypto for an attack on BTC 91,000 USD.

Bitcoin bulls aim for $80,000 but trading data reveals they’re not ready to go all-in dlnews.com/articles/marke…

@cryptorover Agreed. High probability reaction zone.

Would like to see a close under 66,000USD this week to turbo charge the downside. Bitcoin is getting close to decision time.

Bitcoin analysts call the top on $74,000 rally as ‘short squeeze’ fizzles out dlnews.com/articles/marke…

Today we launched a new quant indicator Biyond Storm, which is a volatility regime indicator that aggregates on-chain and derivatives metrics. Biyond Storm is forward-looking — it blends on-chain activity, derivatives positioning, and implied volatility to flag conditions that historically precede large moves. Check out Biyond.co to see it Live.

Macro to dictate Bitcoin’s next $10,000 move as traders watch for price breakout dlnews.com/articles/marke…