MoneyDoos @MoneyDoos
Sharing fun market thoughts, wild predictions & my journey. 미국 주식 금융아재 since 2008 California, USA Joined March 2013-
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Updating the view: Dropped the daily fibs from the prev chart (that sharp leg down to ~$63k tested the 38.2% zone nicely). Zooming out to weekly log — still mapping the bigger bear toward 2H 2026 bottom before recovery. Fractals holding up so far. Still bearish. $BTC
No one knows exactly where or when $BTC bottoms. Called the $60k bounce as an easy one and $72k as my local top — so far so good. Still watching the classic 4-year cycle post-peak pattern. If it plays out like past cycles, we could see a deeper low sometime in 2026 (maybe mid-40s to low-50s range?) But this cycle has new players — ETFs, institutions, sovereign interest — so the floor could be meaningfully different? (maybe higher?) I started adding at ~$61k and plan to keep DCAing through 2026. This is my DCA year for $BTC.
$TSLA Small bounce is expected, but can't predict perfectly. I haven't re-entered. Still eyeing around $300 level.
Updates $TSLA Short-term bearish on $TSLA. Exited all positions at Friday's close (~$417). Got lucky selling some earlier at $460. ST: Bearish – lower highs/lows from $500 peak, below moving averages, downtrend intact. No one knows exactly where it'll go, but if it drops all the way to $300... I think that's our generational buying opportunity. Long-term believer, but personally... I'm sitting out for now.
$TSLA break or no break tomorrow? High-conviction watch: +10% bounce off lows, testing descending trendline ~$427–430 with ~64M vol (solid pickup). Gap/hold above on stronger volume = $500 retest realistic in weeks/months on FSD momentum. Short-term - still bearish if it doesn't break tomorrow. Eyes open pre-market.📈📉
Not saying it's gospel (cycles aren't perfect), but this farmer's "sure thing" card has people watching closely in 2026. High prices + euphoria... time to take some chips off the table? #BennerCycle
Benner, a pig iron farmer burned by the 1873 panic, studied commodity cycles and spotted repeating patterns: A: Panic years (crises like 1929, 2008 setup) B: Boom/high prices → SELL (1999 dot-com, 2007 pre-GFC, now 2026?) C: Hard times/low prices → BUY & hold (1931 Depression bottom, post-2008, next ~2032?) His zigzag cycles nailed major turns for 150+ years.
This 150-year-old chart from Ohio farmer Samuel Benner (1875) predicted market crashes, booms, and busts with eerie accuracy. Look at 2026 circled: "Years of Good Times, High Prices... time to sell Stocks and values of all kinds." We're living in his predicted peak right now. 😳 #SPY #QQQ #STOCKMARKEY #CYCLE
Another morning commute on foot through the Chicago Loop in 2012 — tall buildings, busy crowds, that classic city energy. Still clocking in 8 to 6?, but damn... these walks are the real treasure now. 추억 💼🏙️ #2012 in #Chciago #ChicagoLoop
Anthropic just dropped a reality check on AI taking jobs 🚨 (not hype, real Claude usage data) - AI could automate tons... but in reality? Way behind ⏳ - Programmers hit hardest (~75% tasks already using AI) 💻 - Data entry & customer service next in line - No mass layoffs yet — unemployment steady 📊 BUT: Hiring for young workers (22-25) in these roles dropped ~14% since ChatGPT 👶📉 Your degree & white-collar gig? Might protect you now... but entry-level doors are quietly closing for the next gen 😬 Read the paper: cdn.sanity.io/files/4zrzovbb…
$PLTR rejected the 200MA today —classic shakeout. Gives me the perfect window to load back in soon on this pullback IF it allows my re-entey. Patience will pay 🚀 PLTR 믿는다규!
I am out of $PLTR for now. it was a good and sweet ride.
Bounce on $PLTR could come soon RSI oversold at ~38-39 weekly, testing key Fib support around $125-141 after ~35-40% drop from Nov '25 peak (~$207). But bearish momentum still in control: lower highs/lows, below moving averages, could push to $100 or below if sellers dominate. If it hits $100 or lower... generational buying opportunity for long-term AI/gov/commercial believers, like myself. $PLTR
This aged well. I've successfully accumulated enough shares in the zone. $HIMS let's go! 가즈아!
$HIMS Looks super washed out after the massive drop from highs. That huge volume spike on the weekly feels like the final flush — weak hands gone, bottom near? Accumulation zones: 🟩 ~$15.50 area (defending hard today with big volume) 🟩 Deeper ~$11.25 if it dips (old base + major support) Long-term setup intact + today's Eucalyptus acquisition news for global push. Scaling in slow.
North Korea calls the US-Israel killing of Iran's top leader a "barbaric crime" and now fears it's next 😱 #NorthKorea #whosNext n.news.naver.com/article/025/00…
Scenarios for Ending the Iran War ☢️ 🇮🇷 🔚: #IranWar #PossibleScenarios #1 - Iran surrenders 🏳️: 0% chance. Can't force it with assassinations alone—no ground occupation. #2 - Regime collapse & pro-US govt emerges 💥: Unlikely (no alternatives). Dictator's martyrdom blocks coups. Possible if war drags on & public exhaustion creates support for any new force. #3 - US/Israel halt strikes & restart talks 🎯 🗣: More realistic, but they've gone too far without a "win." Trump & Netanyahu need political trophies—nuclear & ballistic missile dismantlement. Can it satisfy both?
The Iran war looks headed for long-term stalemate: #IranWar 🇮🇷 1. Two tankers hit; Hormuz Strait blockade drags on for weeks/months. 2. Iran announces new leader in 2-3 days—unclear if US/Israel assassinates or negotiates; decision time buys delay. 3. Iran's President (relatively pro-US) confirmed as assassination target. 4. Iranian missiles now tactical ops, not mass barrages—hits reported post-impact, no advance warnings to watch. 5. Iran's FM: Targets limited to Mideast US/Israeli sites; no capability for US homeland strikes. Hypersonics stay regional. 6. Regime change needs ground invasion or prolonged attrition war—high chance of the latter. 7. Winners: Netanyahu—domestic woes, imminent indictment; now "war PM," locked in until prolonged conflict delivers wins. 8. Trump admin: Rallying flagging polls with unity event (effect TBD; anti-war backlash key, Dems call out unauthorized strikes).
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chad_ @chard_ventures
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