Mike Alfred @mikealfred
Engaged value investor and board director. Recovering tech entrepreneur. Ultramarathon runner with four 100 mile finishes. Joined December 2009-
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Every fear spike down is getting shallower and shallower. The downward impulses are being absorbed easily by inbound capital flows. RSI has reset. All engines are set to ‘go’. Watch what happens in May. We are set up for a face ripper and almost nobody is expecting it. Got BTC?
The US Government and its bank allies aren’t attacking Bitcoin and the broader crypto ecosystem from a position of strength. They are doing it out of fear. Their cost of capital is only going up long term as people adopt alternatives. Don’t fall for their cynical tricks. Opt out.
Bitcoin To Hit $90K Soon | Mike Alfred x.com/i/broadcasts/1…
QQQ year to date: +4% BTC year to date: +43% So glad that everyone agrees that QQQ is the best and safest investment.
Meta, one of the biggest consensus longs for the last 15 months or so, hit HARD after hours, down 12%. Too many "investors" hiding out in groups in these seemingly safe names but when they become infested hedge fund hotels, they can be dangerous. Be safe out there. Own Bitcoin.
Looks like we might get one mini shakeout. If you still need to deploy, keep a close eye out for potential discounts. This is primetime. The people who get shaken out just before the rip won’t get any sympathy from me.
Coindesk cites my weaker dollar call as a catalyst for higher Bitcoin prices in the coming weeks and months coindesk.com/markets/2024/0…
Over the last month: MSTR: -28% WGMI: -6% Reminder to fade loud consensus sentiment especially when it comes from kid analysts with little actual investing experience Looking forward, miners will continue to outperform as predicted at $1700+ MSTR Disclosure: I am long both.
Fees coming in at 250-350 sats/vB all day. Most blocks above 6 BTC and some coming in over 7 BTC. We are still holding at levels well above pre-halving expectations. Unsurprisingly, the miners have been strongly bid this week. Watch what happens as BTC breaks out above $73,500.
DXY dollar index hit resistance at 106 as expected and has started to turn over. A move back towards 102-103 will turbocharge this rally. The timing makes sense because Bitcoin is primed to move to $90,000 in the short term. Longer term, I expect DXY at 92, perhaps by late 2025.
Vix getting smashed again today. Market is smart and knows the odds of a significant drawdown between now and July is very small atm. This is primetime. Stay long high value, high conviction stuff and you will be in a better spot come mid-summer. Godspeed.
Watching this market super closely. The trading in the Bitcoin miners has experienced a complete 180 phase shift post-halving. Small dips getting bid relentlessly. The aggressive quant shorts are mostly gone with the exception of MARA yesterday morning. Life comes at you fast.
The halving is complete. GBTC outflows at a trickle. Hong Kong ETFs live end of April. US wirehouses live in May. M2 liquidity boost imminent. Tax selling over. Nations secretly buying. And most traditional investors still hate the asset class. This is the best setup of all time.
I’ve spent time with some of the world’s most successful and wealthy people. Every single one, without fail, has an ego. The only difference between them is the degree to which each one works to mask their ego and convince the world of their “humility”. Don’t be so easily fooled.
If you're feeling down this week, perhaps because you didn't buy enough Bitcoin, pause and reflect on the fact that your consciousness wasn't programmed in to an ape, ant, or rat. You are a homo sapiens. In the cosmic sense, you have already won the lottery. Keep your head up.
Gold is down 2% pre-market, wiping out most of its 10 year return. It is far too volatile to be a store of value and has not lived up to God’s original vision from the white stone tablet which said “Thou shall hath gold and thou shall use it as a medium of exchange in commerce”
Peter McCormack🏴�.. @PeterMcCormack
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28K Followers 4K Following 𝙏𝙊𝙓𝙄𝘾 𝙃𝘼𝙋𝙋𝙔 𝙃𝙊𝙐𝙍!! #Spaceshost || #Bitcoin || occasional memes@mikealfred @leadlagreport Who are you replying to? Blank tweet
@mikealfred @leadlagreport Mike, who are you talking to?
@cryptomanran Yup, and what happened then??? (While it could certainly do the same thing, I tend to agree with @mikealfred that traders will try to get ahead of the inevitable. Most likely with several failed attempts, so volatility is the only certainty…)
the FBI calls crypto money so they can arrest you for money laundering the IRS calls it property so they can tax you on capital gains the SEC calls it a security so they can sue every exchange the CFTC calls it a commodity so you can’t use it as a currency
@Freedom_By_40 Minor wave 3 of major wave 3 is complete, next stop 120k and back test of 100k at the megaphone before blow off into 160-200k - time will tell.
#BTC Video Update: Bitcoin/MARA/RIOT Most bullish I've been since 9/23...steepest and fastest portion of this rally is upon us IMO Enjoy!
You are now seeing why what Samourai did was so reckless and irresponsible. They made themselves an easy target. They committed obvious crimes and publicly baited the law. Now, other companies who have not violated any laws are spooked and withdrawing from US markets…
@mikealfred We always have fear right before we rip higher. This is the same every #bitcoin bull run. Great point.
@RetirementRight Please stay sidelined - it’s safer for you there…
Every fear spike down is getting shallower and shallower. The downward impulses are being absorbed easily by inbound capital flows. RSI has reset. All engines are set to ‘go’. Watch what happens in May. We are set up for a face ripper and almost nobody is expecting it. Got BTC?
@OptionsMir @mikealfred This doesn’t seem like such a bad thing. The last thing #bitcoin needs is to be in a position to be fingered for margin calls during a liquidity crisis.
@mikealfred lol nice seats TNT just got a close up on you after that MPJ offensive foul.
@theBTCMiningGuy Provide weather forecasts for @mikealfred ‘s mountain runs and hikes.
@mikealfred Declining $BTC price heading into Hong Kong ETF launch and miners earnings showing big gains… feels programmed!
@SamanthaLaDuc Your clients will understand that you don’t do any Due Diligence and read through the true implications of that DTC FUD, if you did you wouldn’t be making Stupid posts like these. Perhaps you should start listening to guys like @mikealfred more and you may learn a thing or two…
@741trey this is in regards to acceptable collateral for using a line of credit to settle trades with the DTCC. many other securities have 100% haircut for this particular LOC facility (including any stock priced below $5), and the vast majority of trades settle DvP not with an LOC.…
Japan's bonds and currency are crashing again. Right on track towards hyperinflation. These are eye-watering and historic moves.
#Bitcoin's 2M candle is right on the candle body high, soon after max compression. As RSI is about to break 70. These have been the conditions which led to the last 3 parabolic accelerations. I suspect this next 2 month candle will be as tall as Nov 2020's.
@mikealfred It’s a tale as old as time. Giant sees change coming. Instead of embracing it and leveraging it, they try to fight it and lose out. If the govt began mining and created a BTC security stockpile, they’d do really well.
@FurnaceOfEarth @mikealfred He is on the board of Iren, and have a large stack at that company I believe so