Martijn Rasser @MartijnRasser
CRO and Managing Director @datenna | Former Tech Program Director @cnasdc, chief of staff @muddywatersre, analyst @CIA | Personal views datenna.com Washington, DC Joined December 2018-
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“Mr. Biden can either enforce his red line through sanctions or other means, or he can signal a collapse of American resolve by applying merely symbolic penalties.” wsj.com/articles/china…
I disagree with this approach. It says Chinese wages in current USD should be multiplied by 4.3 instead of 1.7 (normal PPP). This assumes there's no difference in US vs China labor productivity. But then it uses current USD for all others in this global comparison below. 1/
I disagree with this approach. It says Chinese wages in current USD should be multiplied by 4.3 instead of 1.7 (normal PPP). This assumes there's no difference in US vs China labor productivity. But then it uses current USD for all others in this global comparison below. 1/
How the right U.S. chip strategy can keep Taiwan free wapo.st/3wfbJ6W @DAlperovitch: "export controls must be expanded to cover all semiconductor manufacturing equipment to enjoin China from building, operating and maintaining fabs at any scale" #US #Japan #Netherlands
VDL hinted that banning TikTok in the European Union is an option. She immediately added that the Commission was "the very first institution worldwide to ban TikTok on our corporate phones. We know exactly the danger of TikTok." politico.eu/article/tiktok…
Inside a Navy Submarine Navigating the Arctic nytimes.com/2024/04/30/us/…
"Security cooperation between Japan, the Philippines and the U.S. will help deter China's military expansionism in the region, Taiwan's top diplomat said in an exclusive interview." asia.nikkei.com/Editor-s-Picks… via @NikkeiAsia
"[T]he focus on regulation “is driving Europe to last place [and] is driving Europe to irrelevance” which was why he believed it was “on the way to becoming a museum — great food, great architecture, great scenery [and] great wine but no industry left” ft.com/content/6d07fe…
"...the buying power of China’s 2022 military budget balloons to an estimated $711 billion—triple Beijing’s claimed topline and nearly equal with the United States’ military budget that same year." @MEaglen @AEI aei.org/research-produ…
“TikTok’s effort to wall off U.S. user data only focused on the ‘front door’ while leaving the back door wide open, former employees say.” fortune.com/2024/04/29/tik…
A U.S. charm offensive, a new leader in the Philippines and forceful Chinese actions have helped forge a new era of ties between Washington and Manila wsj.com/world/asia/the…
China's enablement of Russia's defence industry is stark: economist.com/graphic-detail…
5 🇧🇪 politicians — among them 2 MEPs, @hildevautmans & @guyverhofstadt — were targets of a Chinese hacking campaign. Some are known for their stance on China, like Vautmans, who's lead MEP on China relations. w/ @AntoanetaRoussi politico.eu/article/ex-bel…
‘Honeypots’ and influence operations: China’s spies turn to Europe via @FT on.ft.com/3JYLHbD
Western banks in Russia paid €800mn in taxes to Kremlin last year on.ft.com/3UBv6k3
“Work, effort, meaning - these ideas are all interconnected for users and consumers of analogue technology.” bbc.com/future/article…
China is already waging a cold war on the US, says former top Trump China aide Matt Pottinger—and the US should try to win it. Our conversation from today's GPS:
Is robotics about to have its own ChatGPT moment? | MIT Technology Review technologyreview.com/2024/04/11/109…
This viral post gets a lot wrong. 1) This post is false — MFA DG Yang Tao saw Blinken off. 2) The treatment was reciprocal — when FM Wang Yi visited in October 2023, DAS Mark Lambert saw him off. 3) The debate is silly — Blinken had a bilateral meeting with President Xi.
Incredible Art of the Brick @NathanSawaya @TheFranklin
“Germany is considering scaling back plans to step up government scrutiny of Chinese investments, the latest example of how a country deeply intertwined with—and increasingly conflicted about—China is pulling its punches as others get tougher on Beijing.” wsj.com/world/europe/g…
Paul Triolo @pstAsiatech
22K Followers 989 Following Unflinching look @ nexus: tech/politics. Digital Econ, Semis, AI, Greentech, Partner, SVP China/Tech Policy Lead @ASG DGA. CFR, @PaulsonInst @CSIS @ChatGPTBill Bishop @niubi
195K Followers 6K Following Sinocism https://t.co/4IciuAHywl Co-founded https://t.co/e9DjtXQ6tc. Sharp China Podcast https://t.co/qVWELS0lYqRyan Fedasiuk @RyanFedasiuk
11K Followers 7K Following U.S.-China bilateral affairs @StateDept. Adjunct fellow @CSETGeorgetown & @CNAStech. Personal account, views my own. 费瑞安.Jordan Schneider @jordanschnyc
48K Followers 4K Following Newsletter: https://t.co/j23uuLxE59 join 35k readers Podcast: https://t.co/4sx8iev5Az Business partnerships: https://t.co/a8hYrI8Qde Fellow: @cnasdcElbridge Colby @ElbridgeColby
62K Followers 4K Following Principal, Marathon Initiative. Former Pentagon, 2018 National Defense Strategy, inter alia. Author of Strategy of Denial. Views my own.Evan Feigenbaum @EvanFeigenbaum
35K Followers 8K Following Vice President @CarnegieEndow; twice US Deputy Assistant Secretary of State; former James R. Schlesinger Distinguished Professor @Miller_Center; Asia's future.Eric Sayers @DEricSayers
15K Followers 5K Following Nonresident Fellow at @AEIfdp and @PacificForum board member. Former @INDOPACOM, @SASCGOP. @RSIS_NTU and @WesternU.William Yang @WilliamYang120
82K Followers 7K Following Freelance correspondent covering the Greater China region for @voanews. Words in @DWNews, @Guardian and @thetimes. tips and assignments to [email protected]Sari Arho Havrén @SariArhoHavren
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28K Followers 1K Following Brookings scholar on China, Taiwan, Asia. Sr Advisor at The Scowcroft Group, McLarty Associates. Husband to Meredith and father of four. Author of “Stronger.”Demetri @Dimi
74K Followers 19K Following US-China correspondent at FT・CSIS podcast on covering US-China: https://t.co/MjUJDjtQ7I・Photography: https://t.co/j9TTXoRhYjPaul Scharre @paul_scharre
16K Followers 695 Following Executive Vice President and Director of Studies at CNAS. Author of "Four Battlegrounds: Power in the Age of Artificial Intelligence."Jon Bateman @JonKBateman
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18K Followers 2K Following Author of Chip War: The Fight for the World's Most Critical Technology. Professor @FletcherSchool, Kirkpatrick Fellow @AEIfdpVictor Shih @vshih2
58K Followers 4K Following Director of 21st Century China Center and Ho Miu Lam Chair at GPS of UCSD. Expert of Chinese elite politics, economy, and finance. RT does not mean endorsement.Jonathan Lord @JonathanLordDC
5K Followers 4K Following Senior Fellow and Director, Middle East Security Program @CNASdc. Former: @HASCDemocrats, @DeptofDefense. Views mine.Tony Stark @Iron_Man_Actual
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1 Followers 24 FollowingMuslim Bitcoiner ⚡�.. @MBitcoiner_
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93 Followers 2K FollowingDale Copeland @Copela1492
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76 Followers 2K FollowingSakari Ahvenainen @SAhvenainen
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43 Followers 768 FollowingHayley Wong @hayleywong354
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5 Followers 198 Following I'm Abby from Italy. Nice to make friends with you on TwitterLalla Kdija @KdijaLalla
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75 Followers 742 FollowingPaul Triolo @pstAsiatech
22K Followers 989 Following Unflinching look @ nexus: tech/politics. Digital Econ, Semis, AI, Greentech, Partner, SVP China/Tech Policy Lead @ASG DGA. CFR, @PaulsonInst @CSIS @ChatGPTBill Bishop @niubi
195K Followers 6K Following Sinocism https://t.co/4IciuAHywl Co-founded https://t.co/e9DjtXQ6tc. Sharp China Podcast https://t.co/qVWELS0lYqRyan Fedasiuk @RyanFedasiuk
11K Followers 7K Following U.S.-China bilateral affairs @StateDept. Adjunct fellow @CSETGeorgetown & @CNAStech. Personal account, views my own. 费瑞安.Jordan Schneider @jordanschnyc
48K Followers 4K Following Newsletter: https://t.co/j23uuLxE59 join 35k readers Podcast: https://t.co/4sx8iev5Az Business partnerships: https://t.co/a8hYrI8Qde Fellow: @cnasdcElbridge Colby @ElbridgeColby
62K Followers 4K Following Principal, Marathon Initiative. Former Pentagon, 2018 National Defense Strategy, inter alia. Author of Strategy of Denial. Views my own.Evan Feigenbaum @EvanFeigenbaum
35K Followers 8K Following Vice President @CarnegieEndow; twice US Deputy Assistant Secretary of State; former James R. Schlesinger Distinguished Professor @Miller_Center; Asia's future.Eric Sayers @DEricSayers
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51K Followers 4K Following Geopol., China analyst. Futurist. Passionate abt past&future&democracy. Cold War relations. History, int’l relations PhD. Opinions mine.Samuel Bendett @sambendett
43K Followers 3K Following Military robotics, drones/UAVs, Artificial Intelligence and Russian military weapons development. CNA, CNAS and CSIS. Opinions my own. @sambendett.bsky.socialRichard Fontaine @RHFontaine
20K Followers 865 Following CEO of the Center for a New American Security (@CNASdc). Former State Dept, NSC, SFRC, SASC, and advisor to Sen. John McCain. Tweets reflect personal views.Ryan Hass @ryanl_hass
28K Followers 1K Following Brookings scholar on China, Taiwan, Asia. Sr Advisor at The Scowcroft Group, McLarty Associates. Husband to Meredith and father of four. Author of “Stronger.”Demetri @Dimi
74K Followers 19K Following US-China correspondent at FT・CSIS podcast on covering US-China: https://t.co/MjUJDjtQ7I・Photography: https://t.co/j9TTXoRhYjPaul Scharre @paul_scharre
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58K Followers 4K Following Director of 21st Century China Center and Ho Miu Lam Chair at GPS of UCSD. Expert of Chinese elite politics, economy, and finance. RT does not mean endorsement.Jonathan Lord @JonathanLordDC
5K Followers 4K Following Senior Fellow and Director, Middle East Security Program @CNASdc. Former: @HASCDemocrats, @DeptofDefense. Views mine.Rita Konaev @RitaKonaev
27K Followers 4K Following Military AI, urban warfare, Russia, MENA, Patriots, bulldogs, and bourbon. Lapsed academic turned DC think-tanker. Views and hot takes are all *mine*.Zack Cooper @ZackCooper
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2K Followers 1K Following Senior Fellow at @CNASdc working on economic security, tech & geopolitics. Previously NSC, @StateDept, @BrookingsInst, @Politics_Oxford.The Intercooler @_theintercooler
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482K Followers 299 Following Scott McLaughlin wins the Children's of Alabama Indy Grand Prix! 🏆Brad Setser @Brad_Setser
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1K Followers 1K Following Deputy Chief of Mission at the Finnish Embassy #usa, #china, #russia, @Ulkoministerio MFA @FinlandinUSA, RTs not endorsementsMohammed Soliman @ThisIsSoliman
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49K Followers 3K Following Hitchin Lib Dem Cllr - mostly talking or writing about small bits of racing cars/tractors/Hertfordshire/Politics/Engineering.Helen @hjwakerley
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260K Followers 9 Following Vice President of Taiwan R.O.C., Chairperson of Democratic Progressive Party.Brian Hart @BrianTHart
8K Followers 3K Following 贺博然 | Fellow @CSIS @ChinaPowerCSIS @HiddenReachCSIS | China, PLA, foreign policy, tech | Husband and dog dad | Usual caveats apply | 🇺🇸🏳️🌈🇺🇦William "Balloon Guy".. @TheKimulation
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306K Followers 209 Following Senior Fellow @BrookingsInst, previously Chief Economist @IIF and Chief FX Strategist @GoldmanSachs. Opinions are my own. Email: [email protected].Nikkei Asia @NikkeiAsia
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542 Followers 1K Following Fellow at @mercatus AI and Progress Project I AI and cyber policy | Computer Scientist | Living in the east but forever a Minnesotan ❄️️.Noah Smith 🐇🇺�.. @Noahpinion
321K Followers 1K Following Writes about economics, posts about rabbits. For serious opinions/analysis, read my blog: https://t.co/KfUxUlCYPzSam Dunning @samdunningo
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11K Followers 176 Following Former Managing Director, Greater China, The Economist Group. Young Global Leader @WEF Views my own.Wing Kuang @wing_kuang
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4K Followers 3K Following Fellow @ Schmidt Futures; Former OversightBoard; I aspire to name my dog #Chewbacca; personal account, tweets are my own and rt is not endorsement.@gdp1985 As someone who prepared estimates of PLA spending for 30 years, and also contributed to Soviet defense $ estimates as a contractor.... If the customer (USG, Congress) wants the biggest possible number, you can apply sketchy PPP magic, or do cost replacement, which is what was…
@ElbridgeColby In terms of spending, something like the SIPRI estimate. People want to use USD values to make a capabilities point. You can inflate the estimates to make that point indirectly and muddle the economics. Or you can speak about the capabilities directly. x.com/johnculver689/…
@gdp1985 As someone who prepared estimates of PLA spending for 30 years, and also contributed to Soviet defense $ estimates as a contractor.... If the customer (USG, Congress) wants the biggest possible number, you can apply sketchy PPP magic, or do cost replacement, which is what was…
I disagree with this approach. It says Chinese wages in current USD should be multiplied by 4.3 instead of 1.7 (normal PPP). This assumes there's no difference in US vs China labor productivity. But then it uses current USD for all others in this global comparison below. 1/
JUST RELEASED: Research from AEI's @MEaglen estimates that China's true military spending is $710.6 billion. This calculation is 3x larger than Beijing's self-reported totals and several billion dollars higher than estimates from the US intelligence community.
A good piece on the state of the Russian economy, by Carnegie's @amenka: carnegieendowment.org/politika/92326. The big picture is that the Russian economy is not growing: the increase in war spending is via redistribution from peoples' consumption (via drop in import and social spending).
TSMC’s 2nm fabs will be in two Taiwan locations, Hsinchu (Baoshan) and Kaohsiung, with equipment installation in the first 2nm fab, in Baoshan, already underway in April, media report, noting it will be a GigaFab built in 4-phases, essentially 4-wafer-fabs-in-1. It has been…
One might think that, by now, people would realize that retrieving the solution to a common puzzle does not require any reasoning ability.
A mysterious chatbot has appeared on lmsys called "gpt2-chatbot". Many are speculating that this could be GPT-5. No one really knows, but its reasoning capabilities are absolutely stunning. We may be closer to ASI than ever before.
"TikTok’s high-profile push to wall off U.S. user data from its China-based parent, as critics had demanded, failed to cut ties between the two because of its complex computer network structure, says the company’s former lead technical program manager for security engineering.…
How long can Japan remain a haven from China? ft.com/content/7b2595… via @FT
China's enablement of Russia's defence industry is stark: economist.com/graphic-detail…
I really had a lot of fun talking to Mike at @MergeNewsletter about my @CNASdc report on drones in the Ukraine war. You can see our discussion below.
Check out our latest episode! We talk with Dr. @StaciePettyjohn from @CNASdc about her recent report on drones in Ukraine. Insights from experts. youtu.be/xGAjvSy201I?si…
Trade is a vital tool in the economic statecraft toolbox. Latin America seems full of opportunity.
“Concern over China’s economic clout has created “a hell of a chance” for the US to pass legislation paving the way for more free trade deals with Latin American countries, said President Joe Biden’s special adviser for the region.” on.ft.com/3xSeCuZ
Remember how European intelligence services (I won‘t name names) were claiming only a few years ago that there won‘t be any risks linked to the use of Chinese 5G or the military collaboration with PLA. And now „honeypots“ & Chinese influence? Nah, impossible! Ignorance is bliss!
‘Honeypots’ and influence operations: China’s spies turn to Europe via @FT on.ft.com/3JYLHbD
"The 8-person State Dept group, known informally as “the firm” & led by Melanie Hart, the China policy coordinator in Fernandez’s office, operates like a consultancy" bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
New in SpyWeek: The Speaker and the CIA - by Seth Hettena spytalk.co/p/new-in-spywe…
Wang Yi has laid down, what SCMP calls, appeals for Élysée ahead of Xi’s state visit to France: - asked the French side to push the EU to pursue a positive and pragmatic policy towards China - Common ground ahead of the visit, according to Wang Yi, is that both Beijing and…
"4 National People's Congress (NPC) delegates have been ousted from #China's top legislature for violations of law & discipline, according to a decision adopted by the NPC Standing Committee Friday" caixinglobal.com/2024-04-27/fou…
US @INDOPACOM head Admiral #Aquilino says #China pursuing #BoilingFrog strategy as becomes more aggressive around the #SouthChinaSea ft.com/content/f926f5…
Was completely predictable (and indeed predicted). China was only playing ball in attempts to forestall more derisking and attract foreign investments back into the country. That was never going to happen and they are finally realizing it
Increasing evidence that the post-San Francisco US-China "stabilization" of relations is approaching a decline + collapse, gradually or suddenly. Beijing's narrative seems clear: Frustration that US isn't behaving nicely when we'd all agreed to get along ft.com/content/246c9e…