ME M @MEM64530898
Joined September 2021-
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Look for certified stocks to disappear soon. Expecting ATH in ICE futures.
brazil conillon robustas into Vietnam so to keep their instant coffee factories going. London rob. futures r soaring. This is tantamount to Saudi Arabia (#2 world energy producer) importing crude oil. This will force the roasters to switch back to arabica to the max.
kcn now has the adx low risk buy setup in place. rule is. buy tomorrow open with today's low as the sell stop CLOSE ONLY. that this is the 1st setup since the BO helps it prob of success, BUT the very high absolute level of the adx suggests giving it some room to work, fyi
The reasoning that the upcoming Brasil crop is bearish doesn't square with the price action of September (post harvest) Bolsa Coffee contract. FYI
Compare July 1997 futures hitting 318 during a larger stock/usage ratio than exists today. It is reasonable to expect new ATH in coffee.
the momo, swing, algo and chart pattern mobs all have KC on their watchlist.barchart.com/futures/quotes…
KCK adding to gains. Coffee trade starting to buy back short hedges due to bank credit line pressures; feeds on itself. Producer offers drying up. may/july fut prem stiffening. On the way to ATH.
Past is prologue. July 1997 futures is most analogous to the current Coffee futures except that back then the stock/usage ratio was NOT as tight as today's. Certo isso.
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Just arrived in Ho Chi Minh City where it is 86F and feels like 101F at 11 pm. But that is precisely why I am here, to see the impact of the extreme heat on the coffee crop. Will be touring farm areas starting later in the week.
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MARKET WATCH #KC: Astonishing, #cocoa prices continue to trade close to HISTORIC highs at £8,954/Mt, equivalent to aprox Us$11,157 or nearly THREE TIMES the price of robusta also trading at close to historic highs of $3,942/Mt - What crop do you think farmers will renovate with??
Late night IRS Fed tax filing may have caused some to have an extra cup of Joe, but the main reason for coffee markets on both sides of the Atlantic to be jolted today is from continued unfavorable weather in Vietnam plus worries that processing yields for the soon-to-be picked…
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Based on past differences between CONAB and USDA coffee reports, a CONAB estimate of 54.743 million should put USDA easily over 60 million bags in their 1st 23/4 estimate pending release of attache data that could be out as early as next week (usually 4th week of May & Nov).
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