Julius Subovic @JuliusSubovic
A passion in meteorology,cycling and nature https://t.co/GRgGZlQCoL Rožňava Joined December 2019-
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T850hPa some 13°C above normal today evening which might be repeated again next weekend. Post SSW west based -NAO a lot to thank for + crazy SST in Atlantic(poor Ireland).
Back in June 2023 when Scandinavian high vanished and so the hopes of summer 40°C whishcasters. Now reality of endless rain.
Sahara calling 😄
Easter 2024 vs 2023. 🔥❄️
Next two weeks. West based -NAO and central Europe is continuing to be mild. For once a warm Easter and April on the cards. First tíme since 2018 🍾
So far coldest morning in March at our dolines in Slovakia. Still not got below -10°C in March and not below -12°C since January,which means we are experiencing highest minimas ever recorded for this period February - March,not good period to be investing in cold pool stations😠
Another stratospheric warming is behind us this season and yet the same outcome as prior two, even milder outlook, and again impossible for zonal winds to downwell to troposphere. I hope this season is a lesson for all the clowns who every year get excited about stratosphere=cold
A man and a sinkhole. There are over 1000 sinkholes at the Karst plateau of Plešivec in southern Slovakia. Its unique unspoiled tourist free wilderness.
Whats wrong with these products showing low pressure towards the end of first March decade in Euope if it looks like it will be blocking high dominating there until forseable future. I ve been monitoring it for a while but sadly they became quite obsolete when using for Europe.
Models coming along nicely,magic :)
The breaking point in the European cold winters happened after 2012 record sea ice melt and emergence of the cold blob south of Greenland. Its hard to argue against if we compare 2000-2012 vs 2012-2024 outcome.
Onset of final warming in 2024 looks like precursor of 2020/21 SSW. It took another 3 weeks then until blocking arrived after it was 6 weeks of blocking. Are we looking at another f.cked Up spring? Cold starting on 20.3 until end of apríl? Would be typical of last 5 springs.
Tmin at 2m vs T850hPa difference is 14°C this morning at my station 💪
This wont age very well. Who would have thought🤔 a winter with 2 SSW yet no winter after January, interesting.
Its tíme again to be pulling out this classic chart of Badwin,Dunkerton(2001) and to try and predict when will our fruit trees freeze again this spring. And once again early February crazy warm weather doing all the damage with speeding Up the vegetation. Dejavu past 4 springs.
January analogs performed very well.
There was much talk about "back loaded winter" in the seasonals threads in UK mainly. As soon as we hit second half of winter the anomalies speak for themselves. Fact here in Central Europe is that the best of winter came between 25.11 - 14.12.cant be more front loaded :)
Would much rather have European blocking in place rather then Greenland high during onset of next SSW attempt. We can see Greenland high regime at onset generaly lead to less -NAM the further we go. This winter is quickly turning in to a blend of 2006/07 and 2014/15 in my view.
West based -NAO slowly creeping in the models, why not. What can go wrong will as we know in central Europe ever since 2016/17 winter. Anyway days are getting longer and spring is knocking on the door slowly.
Judah Cohen @judah47
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The @decentlab DL-TBRG is a #LoRaWAN enabled #WeatherMonitoring solution. It is suitable for precipitation and weather monitoring, flood monitoring, and #SmartAgriculture. Find the right device for your #IoT use case: thethingsnetwork.org/device-reposit…
Nuclear risk in an increasingly unstable world.
IAEA Director General Issues Statement on Ukraine Situation 5 April / Ukraine's Zaporizhzhya Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) lost the connection to its only remaining back-up power line today amid renewed indications of miragenews.com/iaea-director-…
For me, this is personal. One of my kids, 15, took geometry in 8th grade. The other, 13, is currently taking 8th grade algebra 1. If @joboaler had her way, they’d be set back two and one year(s) respectively. And for what? One of their grandparents grew up in segregation, one…
💥The heavy caliber of the M1A1 Abrams tank is in operation☠️#UkraineWar #UkraineRussiaWar #UkraineWarNews
@JuliusSubovic @SimonLeeWx 🤣 Damn it should have been @SnowbieWx
@JuliusSubovic Yes it is. The UK lowest figure.
@dbenner83 @TuckerCarlson #Freedom
For the kingdom of God is not in word, but in power. (1st Corinthians 4:20 - KJV Bible) And my speech and my preaching was not with enticing words of man's wisdom, but in demonstration of the Spirit and of power: (1st Corinthians 2:4 - KJV Bible)
Watch the warm water volume decline. cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analy…
@JuliusSubovic @kuzmina That is what flying like a bird feels like! 😁
@nexta_tv A grenade dropped from a drone destroyed a russian T-72 tank.
Yes, wave-2 is coming (according to the GFS OP). 🤞 Merry Christmas to all Wx and winter fans! 🎄🎁 #christmas#polarvortex @PvForecast @HarrySpoelstra @ogriff79 @judah47 @skomimaster @JuliusSubovic @JanegaTomas @RouslanT @MetRyan96 @jfd118 @Superchri90 and many others.
According to the long-term forecast, here is the breakdown (split) of VPS! In any case, the split is unlikely to happen by January 10th! In fact, the peak of this maneuver according to the deterministic model is expected right around January 10th
@SnowbieWx Amazing! It's snowing in Budapest. But the warmer air is coming... Merry Christmas!🎄
Must Read column from #COP28 by @CAugustenborg - which is an upbeat and fascinating view of Ireland’s progress in an international context irishtimes.com/opinion/2023/1…
Because you guys seem to enjoy this: Simon Nemec (7:55) and Luke Hughes (6:59) led #NJDevils skaters in ice time in the opening frame.
Peter Sinks, UT only needed about 3 hours of clearing before sunrise to make a quick plunge to -26F/-32C this morning. #utwx @NWSSaltLakeCity
@DrAlfonsoTorres Here is a coarse nighttime ASTER thermal overlay. It is showing colder inside, but warmer again at the deepest areas. So, warmer on top, colder in the middle, and in between at the bottom. I agree, hi-res thermal from a UAV and instruments all over would be a nice experiment.
@JuliusSubovic @GavinPartridge @highlandweather @Kryophil @MeteoprognozaPL @PaulRoundy1 @peacockreports @tim_dunkerton 45cm of snow in Munich! Picture from yesterday:
First measurable snow in the northern part of Budapest this season. But the milder air is coming so the current precipitation type is freezing rain. Snow depth data from: met.hu/metesz/terkep/ @PvForecast @HarrySpoelstra @skomimaster @JuliusSubovic