Election Enjoyer @ElxMapping
@votehub contributor, creator of the Election Simulator. opinions are my own. electionenjoyer.com Washington, DC Joined October 2014-
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This is the best drop yet for Tom Steyer, as he hits his benchmark to win for the first time in a late-mail drop. Today’s data has been encouraging for Steyer and less favorable for Hilton. As on now, the race is tracking toward a very close finish.
Sonoma County 6/4 Drop Candidate – Votes (Percent, Difference from 6/2 Votes) 🔵 Xavier Becerra – 5,209 (39.5%, +8.5%) 🔵 Tom Steyer – 4,236 (32.1%, +9.0%) 🔴 Steve Hilton – 1,577 (12.0%, -7.4%) 🔴 Chad Bianco – 629 (4.8%, -3.6%)
Big gain for Steyer in this drop. It's not quite enough to catch up, but even if this held it would put him very close Hilton. He needs later mail to keep moving his way. At any rate, we have a race on our hands and a call today or tomorrow is pretty much impossible.
Los Angeles County Late Mail Candidate – Votes (Percent, Difference from 6/2 Votes) 🔵 Xavier Becerra – 26,434 (35.4%, +6.5%) 🔵 Tom Steyer – 22,025 (29.5%, +7.2%) 🔴 Steve Hilton – 12,759 (17.1%, -6.1%) 🔴 Chad Bianco – 3,449 (4.6%, -2.9%)
The second late-mail drop of the day is very strong for Steyer (the type of thing he needs to see to come back), though it is still a small batch. The key test will come tonight, when we expect larger updates from larger urban areas.
Siskiyou County 6/3 Drop Candidate – Votes (Percent, Difference from 6/2 Votes) 🔴 Steve Hilton – 273 (27.9%, -6.2%) 🔴 Chad Bianco – 203 (20.7%, -3.7%) 🔵 Tom Steyer – 196 (20.0%, +7.2%) 🔵 Xavier Becerra – 174 (17.8%, +3.2%)
WinCast still sees a path for Steyer, as expected. Our vote share estimates have barely moved from before Election Day, but the added certainty from reported results has narrowed the range of outcomes and reduced Steyer’s odds.
The North/South divide in California is essentially nonexistent. Steyer’s solid performance in Los Angeles is being offset by Becerra’s strong margins in the San Jose region. It remains to be seen if this deadlock holds into late mail, which Steyer needs to win to advance.
Stanford University is emerging as one of Steyer’s strongest precincts in California based on the results reported so far.
Steyer needs a large shift in the late mail, but that remains very possible. His vote share confidence interval still clearly overlaps with Hilton’s, meaning there is still meaningful uncertainty in the race.
Stronger-than-expected results for Steyer in Los Angeles. This is a key city for Becerra, but early mail suggests Democratic consolidation is already underway and could intensify with Election Day and late mail.
California Governor Nonpartisan Primary Los Angeles - Early Mail: 🔵 Xavier Becerra – 238,205 (29.9%) 🔵 Tom Steyer – 181,333 (22.8%) 🔴 Steve Hilton – 165,888 (20.8%) 🔴 Chad Bianco – 56,824 (7.1%) 🔵 Katie Porter – 41,697 (5.2%) 🔵 Matt Mahan – 37,164 (4.7%)
Do not expect VoteHub calls tonight in the Los Angeles mayoral race or California governor’s race. Both contests likely need more of the late-mail ballot trail, and we should learn more tomorrow night when the first late mail drops arrive.
And with that, Randy Feenstra becomes the first Trump-endorsed candidate to lose a statewide race this election cycle. He's been defeated by TPUSA-backed businessman and farmer Zach Lahn.
Polls are now closed in California. Follow live results and precinct-level reporting for many key counties on our site. @CBSNews Data Desk will also be using VoteHub’s maps for live coverage. Tune in to CBS News 24/7 on the CBS News site or on Paramount+. votehub.com/2026_ca_gov_pr…
@XOXO68 Yeah and it’s actually one of his stronger counties. Woodbury County - 87% Reporting: 🔴 Randy Feenstra – 2,806 (51%) 🔴 Zach Lahn – 1,960 (36%)
In the fully reported counties of Randy Feenstra's own district, there's bad news for the congressman — in fact, he's outright losing counties to challenger Zach Lahn. Per AP: Plymouth (95%) - Lahn+3 Buena Vista (95%) – Lahn +6 Clay (94%) – Feenstra +0.4 Osceola (94%) – Feenstra +5 Still a lot left to count, but Feenstra is running out of places to find votes.
Iowa Governor Republican Primary 52% Reporting per AP: 🔴 Zach Lahn – 44,053 (37.4%) 🔴 Randy Feenstra – 42,584 (36.1%)
@Charlie4UVA increasingly looking bleak for him
Things are looking spicy in Iowa's Republican gubernatorial primary, where Representative Randy Feenstra and businessman Zach Lahn are locked in a tight battle for the nomination. In Iowa, a candidate must win at least 35% of the vote, or the nominee gets chosen at a state convention.
Iowa Governor Republican Primary 26% Reporting per AP: 🔴 Zach Lahn – 21,251 (36.0%) 🔴 Randy Feenstra – 20,863 (35.7%) 🔴 Adam Steen – 10,531 (18.0%) The winner must get at least 35% of the final vote, or the race goes to a nominating convention instead of a runoff
Three more fully reported counties in Feenstra's district: Cherokee - Lahn +1 Pocahantas - Lahn +2 Ida - Lahn +15 Yikes for Feenstra.
President Trump endorsed Randy Feenstra for Iowa Governor. If he goes down, this will be the first Trump endorsement this cycle to lose a statewide Republican primary. To be clear, he still has a chance, but the numbers in his district are not what he wants to be seeing right now.
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