Softs_Trader @Dave_the_trade
Joined January 2024-
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#Sugar, just to clarify - I’m looking for commodities that move rapidly, I look here for two things: favorable positioning in COT (we have it) and trend reversal (not yet there). No trade if conditions are not met.
#Sugar - next one to go parabolic. Planting for the next year is severely diminished, especially in Europe.
@Dave_the_trade Nope* 1. I find they don't work with my style of trading (mostly trend following). 2. Costs of a spread trade are much higher (two sides and then you have to lever up), so even if they worked, costs would probably kill you. * I do trade the currency crosses if they have a future
@Dave_the_trade I am long Robusta Coffee, but no position in Arabica.
The journey has begun, connecting with 1k kind people who like to check out what I share from time to time. Thank you!
@Dave_the_trade @CoffeeNinjaRyan Although most of the times it happens when the obvious lack of shipments start to appear, mid may, june Growers start giving the truth in their low productions which is by then after several in favour financial movements by big 4, the market explodes
@Dave_the_trade @CoffeeNinjaRyan When big 4 decide Its not in our mortal hands
As strange as it sounds, I am about to recover all I lost on shorts stopouts in #cocoa, by scalping the long side. This market has beaten #lumber and #palladium (recent history parabolic runs)
I was probably too conservative. With this pace, #Cocoa can hit 10,000 level not by July but within a couple of days.
@Dave_the_trade Robusta harvest around the corner, and KC has bearish fundamentals. I can't be on the long side.
This is why I can't really encourage anyone to quit if you are truly giving your all to this game If you are remaining in the loop of the same destructive mistakes making no effort and just bleeding money then yes you need to quit But if you are truly making an effort to…
I'm up over 170k on the year already💰 I'm no one special I'm no sales man No marketer No ivy league grad Had no connections in finance I'm just a guy who figured it out And now im here to show the light It's possible for you Keep fuckin grinding
@voltino_cro @IllimarM @BerezaMm If you really want to learn more about how I do this, I'd recommend Systematic Trading by @investingidiocy with the addition of his Dynamic Optimization (my tracking-error minimization) as explained at qoppac.blogspot.com/2021/10/mr-gre… and qoppac.blogspot.com/2021/11/mr-gre…
#Cocoa has staged one of the biggest moves in any futures instrument in the last 40+ years. Wow!
@MichaelENewton1 Indeed! London Cocoa has made it to 200 ATRs now and NY Cocoa to nearly 100 ATR. Again, this is just stats from 1 system that uses a 100d breakout variation so med-long term. Here is the data if anyone wants to check it out. 🍫👀1drv.ms/x/s!AuHGaS4pkG…
@Dave_the_trade @IllimarM The good thing is, once we top, plenty of $$$ to be made downhill, just need to burn some on attempts
@IllimarM going to 8000 for sure, if you can't beat it, then joing, scalping the long side now
If you think the outright #Cocoa contract is moving something incredible, check out the May 2024 - May 2025 spread.
@Dave_the_trade Yes some. But still hold deferred shorts
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