Christoph Trebesch @Ch_Trebesch
Professor of Economics @kielinstitute. Fascinated by international finance and macro, political economy, geoeconomics sites.google.com/site/christoph… Joined October 2021-
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I agree with this take👇(likely overvaluation). But: no matter how you value French mil. aid (€1, 2 or 4 bn), the big picture doesn't change. The good news is that France is now more transparent. For consistency with other countries, we will use the French figures as reported
I agree with this take👇(likely overvaluation). But: no matter how you value French mil. aid (€1, 2 or 4 bn), the big picture doesn't change. The good news is that France is now more transparent. For consistency with other countries, we will use the French figures as reported
Great opportunity for students
With rising geopolitical tensions and a surge in trade restrictive policies, global linkages are changing. @GitaGopinath, @a_presbitero, @PetiaTopalova and I show that trade between blocs declined vs trade within blocs or with non-aligned countries. imf.org/en/Publication…
Happy birthday to Albert Hirschman, who would be 109 today. Hirschman—anti-fascist, resistance hero, later a development economist—may be the most interesting person to ever take up the profession. 🧵 and blog post on his remarkable life and work.
#CallforPapers for @kielinstitute @kiel_china, @uniGoettingen & CEPR joint conference focusing on China's evolving role in the global economy. Deadline: 7 April cepr.org/events/china-g…
CALL FOR PAPERS: Submit your paper now to our "#China in the Global Economy" conference in June in Berlin (joint with @uniGoettingen and @cepr_org). Deadline: April 7! Keynote: Nancy Qian (@NorthwesternU). @MSchularick @Ch_Trebesch @WanHsinLiu @fuchs_andreas @CeMEAS_unigoe
CALL FOR PAPERS: Submit your paper now to our "#China in the Global Economy" conference in June in Berlin (joint with @uniGoettingen and @cepr_org). Deadline: April 7! Keynote: Nancy Qian (@NorthwesternU). @MSchularick @Ch_Trebesch @WanHsinLiu @fuchs_andreas @CeMEAS_unigoe
📢Join us in Berlin for our conference on China in the Global Economy on June 27-28. Submit below until April 7 👇👇👇 @WanHsinLiu @fuchs_andreas @MSchularick and I look forward to your papers
📢Join us in Berlin for our conference on China in the Global Economy on June 27-28. Submit below until April 7 👇👇👇 @WanHsinLiu @fuchs_andreas @MSchularick and I look forward to your papers
📢#CallforPapers - Dive deep into China's global economic role at our Berlin conference this June w/ @CeMEAS_unigoe & @cepr_org! Leading experts, incl. keynote speaker Nancy Qian @KelloggSchool, will dissect China's role in the global economy. Submit your research…
In immer mehr Ländern dominieren Populisten die Politik. Eine Studie beziffert die wirtschaftlichen Schäden. faz.net/aktuell/wirtsc…
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37K Followers 1K Following Senior advisor for Europe, IISS, conseiller spécial/special adviser FRS@Lars_Feld @HrReisen @fdp Ja, das ist gut. Aber ich fürchte, unsere Verfassung wird der Front bei Charkiw in den nächsten Wochen und Monaten wenig nützen. Ich hoffe, dass die Subjekte, die diese objektivierbare Grundlage zu deuten und deren Prinzipien abzuwägen haben, das verstehen.
@Ch_Trebesch Thank you @Ch_Trebesch you and Kiel team do such essential work!
Many of us have been calling on Europe to step up its #Ukraine aid as the #US support dwindles. Looks like that calls have remained unheard. Now, fortunately US is back, at least for another 6 month. Great update of #Kiel tracker
Western support to UKR has collapsed since mid-2023, with US aid falling to zero and Europe providing "aid as usual." Our data show that total aid flows to UKR have fallen by 50% compared to last year. Europe has clearly not made up for the decline in US aid👇 2/8
It is not a beauty contest but hey, time for all of #Europe to step up. #Ukraine security is a #European public good.
In Europe, the Nordics & GER are the main military donors. We updated the French data (using their new official estimates). The picture changes little. The 4 Nordics (population of 27 million) sent 3x more weapons than FRA & IT combined and about as much as GER (pop>80 mill.) 5/8
Gerade einen Link zu diesem Papier zur Effektivitaet der Sanktionen vor 2022 gegen Russland bekommen. Antwort: It's complicated. Zwar profitieren sanktionierte Firmen, weil sie vom russischen Staat überkompensiert werden, aber Russland insgesamt verliert. dropbox.com/s/cwxb6qularku…
@EiflerUlrike @rosaluxstiftung Wie machen das denn die nicht-kapitalistischen Autokratien dieser Welt, die die freiheitlichen Demokratien bedrohen? Was für Panzer haben die? Haben die CO2-arme Kriegsgeräte? Und planen die nach dem Sieg weltweit Klimaschutz durchzusetzen?
Großartig: Der bisherige "Common Room" im @kielinstitute heißt jetzt "Colm Room" – zu Ehren von Gerhard #Colm, der von 1930 bis 1933 die legendäre Astwik leitete (Abteilung für Statistische Weltwirtschaftskunde und Internationale Konjunkturforschung), bevor ihn im April 1933 die…
Evidence based on joint work with @KlodianaIstrefi and @LukasHack_ Details in the paper: matthias-meier-econ.github.io/files/HIM_SysM… @MSchularick @Ch_Trebesch @nfergus @shashj #EconTwitter
So happy and honored to be among this year's @SloanFoundation Research Fellows! Thank you to my wonderful collaborators, colleagues, and mentors!
We have today announced the names of the 2024 Sloan Research Fellows! Congratulations to these 126 outstanding early-career researchers: sloan.org/fellowships/20…
@FHeisbourg Fair points, Francois. The military value is what matters most, but that is hard to measure and may change. € gives an idea of the magnitude of support and what countries are willing to spend. It’s instructive, IMHO. But then I am an economist.
@Ch_Trebesch @MunSecConf Fantastic work, congratulations! I have a concrete question: in last year’s research it appeared that the delivered military aid between May/Oct 2023 was 90% less than the aid for the same period in 2022. Is there an update for this particular finding? Best regards, Velina
@Ch_Trebesch @kuhnmo @schieritz Sehe ich natuerlich auch so, aber denke, dass das die Mentalitaet bei vielen ist.
It is a great honour to be appointed the 10th Dean of London Business School @LBS. I am looking forward to working together with LBS’s outstanding team and alumni to make an impact on the way the world does business and the way business impacts the world london.edu/news/renowned-…
Es ist wichtig zu vermeiden, dass nach dem BVerG Entscheidungen fallen, die zu Lasten privater und öffentlicher Investitionen in D gehen👇
Investitionen schützen - @FuestClemens, @michael_huether und ich deklinieren @faznet die Finanzpolitik nach dem Verfassungsgerichtsurteil durch. Ein Sondervermögen im GG ist unsere bevorzugte Option. Und es läge auch im Interesse der Union, diesen konstruktiven Weg mitzugehen.
Leider keine Geschichte aus dem Paulanergarten, sondern schon länger bittere Realität. Just vor zwei Tagen musste ich meinem Sitznachbarn mit leichten anger-management issues im ICE dabei zuhören,wie er seinem Gesprächspartner am Telefon versprach, die AfD werde es schon richten.
Der #Faschismus ist aktuell überall und wird von Tag zu Tag gefährlicher: Nachtdienst #Notaufnahme: ich kümmere mich um eine #Patientin nach Radiusfraktur. Aus dem Wartebereich erreichte uns eine hintzige Auseinandersetzung des Angehörigen und unseres Security /1
The Advanced Studies Program @kielinstitute has been upgraded into a structural PhD program in International Economics. Application deadline: Jan 15. Can highly recommend. I am particularly happy about the cooperation with the Quantitative Economics PhD program at @kieluni.
@D_Langenmayr Ich habe 4 Tage vor Weihnachten keinen Bock einen Thread zu schreiben 🤪🤣😎😇
Philippe was the first director of the department of economics in Sciences Po. For many of us he was also a fantastic mentor, an inspiring co-author and a good friend. A revolting loss
The department of economics is immensely sad to announce the death of Philippe Martin. Our tribute: sciencespo.fr/department-eco…
I am so sad: Philippe Martin is gone (1966 - 2023). Philippe was the first person to suggest me to move to France. He changed my life. Thank you, Philippe, dear friend.