BaselineAce @BaselineAce
Contrarian investor and macro trader. Reflexivist. Tweets are not investment advice. #stocks #bonds #investments #trading lancerinvest.com New York, NY Joined January 2011-
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Here is what that looks like.
Friday's put/call ratio was .64. Lowest since early 2021
This would be an AOL/Time Warner moment — #SpaceX-#Tesla merger chatter reignites as Musk pushes rocket company towards Nasdaq cnbc.com/2026/05/26/spa…
Maybe one should look at S&P/Gold instead
The better point of this comparison is to ask yourself: What happens to stock prices in the months after a very low UMich sentiment reading like this one?
Good news is bad news on.mktw.net/4bAGGUV
The Trump administration has other tariff authorities it could pivot to … Sec. 122 of 1974 Trade Act. A maximum tariff of 15% for up to 150 days to address deficits. No investigation required. This authority has never been invoked before. Sec. 338 of the 1930 Tariff Act. A maximum tariff of 50% to address "unreasonable" trade practices. No investigation required. This authority has never been invoked before. Sec. 301 of the 1974 Trade Act. No limit on tariffs to address “unfair” trade practices. Investigation required. The Trump administration has used this authority before. Sec. 232 of the 1962 Trade Expansion Act. No limit on tariffs to address threats to “national security.” Investigation required. The Trump administration has used this authority before.
I’ve been thrown off by the persistence of low oil prices in the face of exorbitant precious metal prices. This is one area where President Trump deserves a lot of credit. Historically gold and oil have tended to trade in the same direction, albeit on somewhat of a lag.
Couldn’t have been more right!
The next catalyst for precious metals volatility - forbes.com/sites/simonmoo… #gold #fed
Arise, shadow Fed chair Stan Druckenmiller ft.com/content/c215ea…
Markets usually fall faster than they rise
I wouldn’t be surprised if it’s Waller since he’s already on the Fed
Trump says he’ll announce his Fed pick next week. Here’s who’s in the lead, according to prediction markets. on.mktw.net/4tcFkXy
Trump is trying to force deals through before IEEPA ruling cnbc.com/2026/01/26/tru…
The next catalyst for precious metals volatility - forbes.com/sites/simonmoo… #gold #fed
Michael Burry appears to be shutting down Scion Asset Management.
Analogs are just for fun. They won’t help you make money.
…or “once I buy in, the fund manager retires.”
What they say: "I want a top decile fund with a 10+ plus track record, and once it goes through a pullback I'll load up and buy more". What they do: "I want a top decile fund with a 10+ plus track record, and once it goes through a pullback I'll sell everything I own".
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