Tom Hayes @BEERG
Irish. Lives in France. European labour relations consultant. Writes weekly notes on the world of work, Brexit, and politics - Sunday Scribblings. beerg.com France Joined April 2009-
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Here is a very simple prediction. Labour will win the next UK GE with a very large majority because the Tories have burnt all their bridges and Sunak is a useless politician. And it will be a very good government, other than for a European blindspot.
In this week’s Scribblings I write about why it is not a good idea to bring your “whole self” to work, the growing power of the European Parliament, and the UK local elections. You can read the Scribblings at this link: hayest.substack.com/p/sunday-scrib…
Looking across the Sunday papers I see the latest Tory spin is to say that Labour will win the GE but not with a landslide. These people can't count, and counting is the first rule of politics. The only reason the Tories are now hanging on is for a few more moths of salary.
I hear that an urgent meeting has been called of the London Tory Commentariat to discuss the problem of the people again voting for the wrong candidates. A spokesperson said: "We are disappointed that people did not vote as we wanted. We do not understand how they got it wrong."
I see all sorts of nonsense here about the UK local election results and what they mean for the GE. Reminds me of those ancients who believed they could foretell the future from a few chicken bones. Labour will win the GE with a significant majority. The rest is noise.
Labour is 20% of the Tories in the polls. That is all there is to it. All the rest is noise. Sounds off. And there is no Wizard from Oz who will make the 20% go away.
Are there no empty buildings in Dublin that could be pressed into service? CPOs, if necessary. rte.ie/news/ireland/2…
You don't need to speak French to get the message. The Rwanda plan is working! lavoixdunord.fr/1458028/articl…
It is all just old UK Labourism/French Communism - "British/French jobs for British/French workers", no immigrants because they undercut native workers, our own industries/manufacturing, and stable family structures. A world of Hobbit shires.
No surprise. Sanchez was not going to allow himself to be driven from office by a right-wing coup. ft.com/content/dc0894…
In this week’s Sunday Scribblings, I ask if the EU’s Due Diligence Directive will make much of a difference. Probably not. I also wonder if I am now a “thought leader”. And some other stuff. hayest.substack.com/p/sunday-scrib…
When is a border not a border? When it is 22 miles from where people and vehicles actually enter the country. But then, the current UK gov is good at creating its own realities, see Rwanda. ft.com/content/b0b1c3…
If the proposed football regulator does as good a job as the water industry regulator you can kiss English football goodbye. theguardian.com/football/2024/…
“We can’t go back to old arguments,” said a Labour source. Not to recent "old arguments". Labour is going back to the "old anti-Europe" arguments of the late 1940s and 50s. Welcome to isolationist Britain. ft.com/content/fbb7d4…
Apart from making the "Brexit Elite" feel good about themselves, can anyone point to any tangible benefit from the UK putting up borders where none previously existed with its biggest import/export market? ft.com/content/6d0865…
Billionaire to cut benefits for disabled people. theguardian.com/society/2024/a…
My latest Sunday Scribblings has just been posted. This week, I look at: Employee voice in the workplace No free movement please, we're British Truss may be mad, but watch the message Who cares about the judgement of history? Read my scribblings here: hayest.substack.com/p/sunday-scrib…
Do I detect the first shoots of Tory support for PR in this article? thetimes.co.uk/article/once-t…
I will withhold judgment until such time as I have read the book, but the attempt to belittle Barnier in the article makes me suspicious. Barnier was not negotiating on behalf of the Commission. It was the Council he reported to. But we shall see. thetimes.co.uk/article/my-bre…
Chris Grey 🇺🇦 @chrisgreybrexit
83K Followers 1K Following Emeritus Prof of Organization Studies @RoyalHolloway, ex-Prof @Cambridge_Uni & @Warwickuni. Mainly analysis of Brexit (& related). @chrisgrey on BSky
Michael M. 🇨🇭�.. @vivamjm
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ALL WE HAVE TO DO IS .. @UKBreturn
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Michael M. 🇨🇭�.. @vivamjm
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Marina Purkiss @MarinaPurkiss
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Anurag Deb @anuragdeb.. @governmentalite
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Donal MacNamee @DonalMacNamee97
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Niall Ó Conghaile �.. @nialloconghaile
4K Followers 2K Following Views my own; RT = interest, not endorsement.
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29 Followers 136 Following
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Harold Wilson reflects on going up against Harold Macmillan in the House of Commons. The elder Harold, looking on, seems glad his Labour successor has understood his tactics so well.
I have informed the BBC that I won’t be appearing on MOTD tomorrow night.
From @StefaanDeRynck’s “Inside the Deal” Barnier kept pushing Arlene Foster to propose her solution to impasse in 2029 “but there was never a plan from DUP” who told Brussels reporters OTR “EU solidarity w Ireland would collapse.” Astonishingly delusional but Ulster is Ulster
It's such a tiny thing and it would make a huge difference.
New song: AIN’T NO PARTY LIKE A TORY PARTY! patreon.com/mitchbenn
Every fair minded and unbiased person across these islands must call out and condemn the sustained online and political attacks on the academic standing and integrity of @cjhumanrights
Professor Colin Harvey is a leading researcher on human rights and constitutional law @qubschooloflaw and a former Director @QUBHRC. Colin's colleagues in the HRC condemn these attacks on his academic standing and express their solidarity with him.
Rudlin Consulting newsletter: Japanese companies in Europe - mailchi.mp/755b7f3246e2/r…
We are absolutely heartbroken at the loss of our much-loved dad Manus O'Riordan. Thanks to everyone for their kind messages. He meant the world to us as a father and grandfather, and to so many others as a friend and comrade.
Quote from my column: 2008 IMG report noted that the number of bullying/harassment complaints dropped from 27% in 2001 to under 0.5%. It was progress... but was it as great as we hoped? Had the problem decreased or was it an indication that many cases were going reported?
The best thing Andrew Neil could do right now is to come out and say... "the Centre Right has been overrun by populism and nonsense, and it has been a mistake to believe moderate Rightists can cohabit with it and 'ride it out'. I now see that it needs to be defeated."
Excellent summary
I've written a paper examining the practical lessons in conducting negotiations, based on @MichelBarnier's excellent book #LaGrandeIllusion. I strongly urge anyone interested in #negotiating #techniques to buy and study it (English edition due in Sept) beerg.com/wp-content/upl…
An antidote to Cummings parading his strategic genius, accusing everybody who opposes him of being the London metropolitan elite. An Irish expert in industrial relations reviews Barnier's book and distills a masterclass in negotiating strategy from it.
I've written a paper examining the practical lessons in conducting negotiations, based on @MichelBarnier's excellent book #LaGrandeIllusion. I strongly urge anyone interested in #negotiating #techniques to buy and study it (English edition due in Sept) beerg.com/wp-content/upl…
This is terrific and should be read by all of those interested in UK-EU negotiations, and why the UK got it so wrong. From a veteran (if I may say) negotiator. Perhaps we could add something on size, but broadly it is all here.
I've written a paper examining the practical lessons in conducting negotiations, based on @MichelBarnier's excellent book #LaGrandeIllusion. I strongly urge anyone interested in #negotiating #techniques to buy and study it (English edition due in Sept) beerg.com/wp-content/upl…
@BEERG @MichelBarnier Excellent piece. Re your final sentence I was surprised by @MichelBarnier ’s affinity with Ireland (which he showed i.a. with the PEACE programme). One reason seems to be his hero De Gaulle’s retreat there for a while after the war - one thing among many that the book taught me
Gosh, first review of my Brexit Unfolded book that came out this week (not sure if I have mentioned this before), from @skiduffer, the respected journalist and ex-Chief Economist of the Bank of Ireland: "the definitive account of the last five years", he reckons. I'll take that.
Following my podcast yesterday with @chrisgreybrexit , here is a short review of his new book. Spoiler alert: I think it’s great. cjpeconomics.substack.com/p/brexit-unfol…
A secret Catholic wedding on your third marriage...👀 I presume it was a blessing because he surely can’t have annulled his second marriage. 🤷♀️
I thought this was an excellent letter to the @IrishTimes today
Poland's ruling coalition, led by the Law and Justice Party, has collapsed following a late night vote in Parliament. The 'United Right 'political alliance had been in power since 2015. bit.ly/33EtsCr
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