Alan Duggan @ADuggan

Research Fellow @NottsPolitics / @OpenElectionsUK. Views are personal. He/Him Cis 🖖 🇮🇪 Account not in use, moved to @aduggan.bsky.social Maigh Eo Joined March 2009

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@politicalquarterly.bsky.social @po_qu

2 years ago

Local Leaflets: Constituency Issue Messaging at the 2024 General Election @CaitlinMilazzo @SiimTrumm @ADuggan Part of the forthcoming general election SI edited by @po_qu SI eds @pjsloman and @colm_m onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.11… #campaigning #candidates #communication #leaflets

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2 years ago

Philip Dwyer was told he wasn't wanted in Ballaghaderreen this evening. He was at a vigil held by local people in support of an alleged assault victim. The locals have genuine concerns over incidents in the town. But they don't want Dwyer anywhere near their town. Well done folks

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RTÉ Brainstorm @RTEBrainstorm

2 years ago

Does negative election campaigning work in Ireland? Analysis by @michelecrepaz @HAPPatQUB @QUBelfast @ADuggan @SocSciStir @NottsPolitics & Liam Kneafsey @TCDPoliticalSci @tcddublin @IrishResearch rte.ie/brainstorm/202…

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PRXJournal @PRXjournal

2 years ago

🍊 Fresh out! 🪃@ADuggan @michelecrepaz & Liam Kneafsey examine if negative campaign messaging is effective for attackers in multiparty systems? 🇮🇪 👉 bit.ly/4fS8tRd #OA #politicaladvertising #election #surveyexperiment #Ireland #facebook

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Michele Crepaz @michelecrepaz

2 years ago

🚨 Publication Alert (1/4): @PRXjournal tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10… #OpenAccess Liam Kneafsey, @ADuggan and I conduct a survey experiment to test the effects of negative campaigning on voting intentions in Ireland. #STV is 🤯 but great to observe complex mechanisms behind NC!

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Open Elections UK @OpenElectionsUK

2 years ago

Happy Election Day from the OpenElections team! It has been a fabulous 6 wks of leaflets. As of today, we have +10k coded leaflets from 5 GEs, including +1.2k from #GE24 - and plenty more still to be coded. Watch this space for our post-election analysis! @SiimTrumm @ADuggan

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Open Elections UK @OpenElectionsUK

2 years ago

We've just added our 1,000th content-coded leaflet for #GE2024! We now have leaflets from 270 constituencies in England, Scotland and Wales. @SiimTrumm @ADuggan

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Caitlin Milazzo @CaitlinMilazzo

2 years ago

Great to see our @OpenElectionsUK research featured in @thetimes! @SiimTrumm @ADuggan

Tom Calver @TomHCalver

2 years ago

We all love* election leaflet bar charts, but what about a bar chart about election leaflet bar charts? A brilliant survey of election leaflets by @CaitlinMilazzo shows that nearly half of all election leaflets contain a tactical voting message this time - rising to 78% of LD

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Open Elections UK @OpenElectionsUK

2 years ago

As of today, @OpenElectionsUK archive includes 600+ coded leaflets, covering 221 constituencies in England, Scotland and Wales! @CaitlinMilazzo @SiimTrumm @ADuggan

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Open Elections UK @OpenElectionsUK

2 years ago

We have had lots of interest in the use of tactical messages (e.g., "X can't win here", bar charts) in leaflets. What does our latest data say about the use of these messages in #GE24 vs. previous elections?

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Alan Duggan @ADuggan

2 years ago

@ste_mueller @ElectoralStdies @michaelj505 I had forgotten about this analysis Stefan, such a great paper!

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Shrill by Mouth @Iskesullas

2 years ago

How it started... How it's going...

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Caitlin Milazzo @CaitlinMilazzo

2 years ago

Nothing says election spirit like leaflets! Over the next 5 weeks, the @OpenElectionsUK team will be analysing the content of your leaflets. How can you help? Upload your #GE2024 leaflets to @thesc or openelections.co.uk/upload-a-leafl…. You upload them, we'll code them!

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Open Elections UK @OpenElectionsUK

2 years ago

Issue prevalence in our #GE24 leaflets so far: 🩺Health: 81% 💰 Economy: 75% 🍃 Environment: 68% 👩‍🎓 Education: 32% 🏛️ Governance: 31% 👩‍👩‍👧Social Welfare: 24% 🛬Immigration: 5% 🇪🇺 Brexit/Europe: 3% @CaitlinMilazzo @SiimTrumm @ADuggan

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Open Elections UK @OpenElectionsUK

2 years ago

🚨Countdown to General Election 2024! 🚨 We now have 59 #GE24 leaflets posted on our site! Check them out - openelections.co.uk Thank you to everyone who has uploaded their #GE2024 leaflets so far! Please keep uploading them at openelections.co.uk/upload-a-leafl…

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Hansard Society @HansardSociety

2 years ago

Who votes by post? Research by @CaitlinMilazzo et al shows it's those with time/mobility constraints, esp the elderly. Older people tend to vote Cons so this is an 'interesting' approach to take. Read the research in our Parliamentary Affairs journal. buff.ly/3QAoznl

Brendan Clarke-Smith @Bren4Bassetlaw

2 years ago

📮🗳️ Postal voting - it’s time to scrap it.

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Open Elections UK @OpenElectionsUK

2 years ago

🚨Countdown to General Election 2024!🚨 Check out the #GE2024 leaflets already posted at openelections.co.uk. So far, we have leaflets from four parties across 13 constituencies. Please upload your #GE24 #GE2024 leaflets directly to our site (openelections.co.uk/upload-a-leafl……).

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Alan Duggan @ADuggan

2 years ago

Looking at the underlying numbers, the 'public' backing Kate Forbes over Swinney is driven almost solely by Tory voters. Not much of an electoral asset to appeal to a section of voters that will steadfastly never endorse the SNP or independence.

The National @ScotNational

2 years ago

NEW: John Swinney is the preferred choice to replace Humza Yousaf as first minister among SNP voters, but the public back Kate Forbes in the role, according to new polling from Ipsos. Both are seen as better picks than Anas Sarwar or Douglas Ross.

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DilinODose @MimiVonPeach

2 years ago

Killing a man for not speaking English in Ireland, while not one of these murderers has a word of Irish. Them and their kind call themselves 'patriots'. Never see them do a tap for us, our language, our culture, unification. Aye, they're patriots alright, English patriots.