xcinvest @xctrading

Today the VIX high was 21.57 with a SPY low of $735.53 (cash session). Keep those numbers near your trading screen. A lower SPY print followed by a lower VIX often (not always) marks a tradable long entry after a selloff like today. Want proof? Dec 18, 2024 SPY’s low was $$585.89 after the 2.6% selloff that day. VIX print was 28.32. Dec 20, SPY low was $583, VIX print was 26.51. SPY then rallied 1.2% off that $583 low.

@FlowbyBobby massive chop…

Every billionaire fund manager I know told me not to post this. This is the only video online that gives every detail of my positions & trading system that has publicly generated 9 figures in returns this year And anyone can replicate it. The industry standard has always been to gatekeep alpha, but I believe in returning the same value that I've been given by mentors over the years The AI trade is too generational for me not to help as many as possible achieve insane wealth

@FlowbyBobby chop?

@FlowbyBobby OWLS

Like & RT then comment OWLS here to enter the memorial weekend giveaway. The winner will be picked from the comments this week to win 1 free month for our private group Owls Capital.

@iV_trader -_- exactly

instead of watching 2 hours of Netflix tonight, watch this Stanford lecture it's the clearest explanation I've seen of how ChatGPT and Claude actually work useful whether you've never touched AI in your life or have been using it every day for the past year I took the key ideas and turned them into a practical guide on how to actually get 100% out of Claude find it below

Anatoli Kopadze @AnatoliKopadze

4 weeks ago

x.com/i/article/2053…

167 1K 7K 20.3M 28K

@kpak82 😂😂😂 i was like O_O

Remember these kids? This is them now😆

@FlowbyBobby lower? hmm.. not sure

@TheMarketRaven i need to drill this in my head…. i still cannot curb the habit of overtrading

@TheMarketRaven grateful to have you raven🫡

@FlowbyBobby omg bobby….

1. Day 5 pivot ✅ 2. VIX premarket range currently 0.28 cents✅0.33-0.88 cents = ideal, VIX also in vicinity of daily 200sma = also ideal 3. Validation Level acts as magnet Regardless of outcomes, where we are today is an extremely exciting setup. It has the ingredients.

@

57 years ago

0 0 0 0 0

Stop trying to predict tops you'll burn yourself... When the market was below 6400, I called the bottom. I marked a certain pivot that tells us whether there will be another downside retest or not. I personally expected one, but I also said that if that level is solidly broken, the $SPX will go above 7k. Then two weeks ago, when the market was at 7086, I indicated that 7200-7300 would come before any kind of pullback. Not a trend change, but a pullback. I did this in a free post. Yes, there are many gaps below the price level; it is unstable, right-tailish, and very overvalued. But since April, this market hasn't been about valuation—nor even since 2016 for that matter. Rather, it is headline-driven. That is why they are lying that the war is over, to moderate sentiment and squeeze out downside long vol trades, reducing short-term tail risk, because a pullback might come next week that builds structure. But the inflow remains high. The distribution is bimodal, with a huge right-tail. This is key☝️ However, the economy is in an inflationary spiral. The Iranian war is not over, cyber warfare and local ops are still ongoing; they just dialed back the news coverage so it doesn't disturb risk sentiment. But even if it were over, it wouldn't solve the stagflationary shock it triggered, the effects of which haven't even hit the economy yet. Ships are bypassing Africa, shipping times are very long, insurance premiums are sky-high, there is a lack of proper real-time information, etc.—the market is not pricing these in. By autumn, in Q4 (as I have been writing for months), this will drive up energy prices, the biggest victim of which will be the overvalued AI/tech sector. In addition, core inflation is stuck around 4%, ISM prices are sky-high, and the passing of tariffs/costs onto consumers has drastically accelerated. Since inflation is rising but the central bank is not raising interest rates, real interest rates have collapsed—which practically means 'passive monetary easing.' The bond market is too complacent and is not pricing in the danger. If the Fed doesn't act now, it will later be forced into panicked, harsh (even 200 basis point) tightening. Under Warsh, the Fed might fall behind the curve if it underestimates the second-round effects of strong demand and the energy market shock. 🚩Market liquidity is currently provided by machine algorithms (HFT, Pod shops); true price discovery is missing. When the structural sell-off starts, or the AI narrative disappoints, liquidity will evaporate instantly. ☝️But as I usually write: not now. This is not an immediate thing; rather, it is gradually building into the economy. For now, it is not yet priced in. They are inflating the bubble as long as they can. Citadel doesn't want to sell right now either. As long as possible, they will squeeze everything they can out of this. But there will be a point when AI capex becomes obviously unsustainable, and reality catches up with fantasy. That is why this is a trader's market, not an investor's market. I don't understand this retail top-chasing mentality... one wants to short at all costs, the other is complacently BTD-ing. For a good while now, I have literally been propagating the latter, but only smartly. The market won't go up forever. Trade the structure, not your illusions. And don't try to predict, because in a rigged system, you can't.

Alma.Trk @alma271828

2 months ago

Okay, so I’ve scrutinized this event more in-depth lately, asked here and there etc. Here is the deal... Primarly, the ship will secure the gulf but will slow down energy transport even further, putting even more pressure on the supply side. This is a lurking, slow effect that

9 6 58 24K 27

Read Everything. $SPY

$SPY

Almost nobody looks at this chart… but it’s one of my favorite ways to spot when a move may be running on fumes. This is a simple 60‑minute line chart of high yield vs SPY. I use it to track divergences between “smart money” (bonds) and “dumb money” (equities). The last major signal was at the bottom, high yield quietly started putting in a higher low while stocks were still puking. That helped flag the turn. Fast‑forward to now: $JNK and $HYG are not confirming this latest push in SPY. Stocks are pressing higher, high yield is stalling out. That doesn’t guarantee a top, but when "Smart Money" refuses to play along, I take note.

@kpak82 if 78k can’t hold, down it goes.