void azzuro @voidazzuro
early or dead farmed dumped vanished eth sol op repeater Joined November 2010-
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@MaxCrypto when shorts get this crowded the market usually does the most painful thing possible to both sides
HYPE flipping SOL in price is no big deal. Stop making it look like SOL lost its birthright overnight. Token price is one of the weakest ways to compare two assets. Even HYPE flipping SOL in FDV is not that much of a big deal. The real upset is when HYPE starts challenging SOL in actual market cap. Right now, HYPE is around $16.5B mcap, while SOL is around $41.5B mcap. That’s still a big gap. So yes, HYPE is impressive. The product is real. The revenue is real. The attention is real. But “HYPE flipped SOL in price” is just CT being caught in the moment. Wake me up when HYPE starts challenging SOL in actual market cap.
<@Backpack 이제 시작인 이유>
BP가 4일 만에 100% 넘게 올랐다.
보통 이 정도 오르면 “이미 늦었다”는 말이 먼저 나오는데, 나는 오히려 이제 시장이 Backpack Securities의 의미를 다시 보기 시작한 구간이라고 생각한다.
오늘 오전 CEX transparency 기준 Backpack 24h inflow는 $62.42M.
단순히 차트만 오른 게 아니라 실제 유입도 붙고 있다.여기에 오늘은 전 CFTC acting chair Mark Wetjen이 참여하는 중국 AMA도 열린다.
TGE 이후 중국 쪽 BP 수요는 거의 죽어 있었다고 봐도 무방했다. 하지만 중국은 여전히 큰 크립토 수요가 나올 수 있는 시장이다. AMA 하나로 모두가 돌아오지는 않겠지만, 죽어 있던 관심을 다시 여는 계기는 될 수 있다.
핵심은 단순히 “Backpack에서 주식 거래 가능”이 아니다. Backpack Securities가 말하는 구조는 다음 세 가지다.
1.실제 주식 소유권,
2.온체인 토큰화,
3.크립토와 주식을 하나의 자본 구조로 연결하는 unified margin
크립토 유저들이 단순 주식 CFD나 가짜 주식 노출이 아니라, 실제 소유권이 연결된 온체인 주식의 가치를 이해하기 시작하면 수급은 완전히 달라질 수 있다. 지금은 아직 stock베타 사용감과 기대감만으로 4일간 100% 이상 움직였다.
그런데 실제로 주식이 Backpack 안에서 크립토와 함께 담보로 쓰이고, 거래되고, 온체인으로 이동할 수 있게 된다면?
이건 단순 거래소 내러티브가 아니라, 주식과 크립토가 한 계좌 안에서 만나는 새로운 시장 구조에 가깝다.
BP는 그동안 BTC 하락장에 같이 눌리면서 심하게 저평가되어 있었다고 본다.
그런데 지금은 다르다.
BTC가 흔들려도 BP는 버티고, inflow가 들어오고, Securities 내러티브가 실제 제품으로 이어지고 있다.4일간 100% 올랐다고 끝난 그림이라기보다, 시장이 이제야 Backpack을 다시 평가하기 시작한 구간일 수 있다.
진짜 상승은 새로운 유저들이 진짜주식사서 크립토와함께 마진플레이를 하려고 BP사러 달려올때, 그리고 그런 핫한 BP를 상장하기위해 거래소들이 들어와 물량을 긁어 갈때 시작한다.65프로 이상 staking돼있고 fdv가 이제 겨우 314m이다. 단기 급등신경쓸게 아니고 진짜 말도 안되는 저평가다.
나중에 HYPE 때보다 더 큰 FOMO를 느끼고 싶지 않다면, BP는 지금 다시 진지하게 봐야 한다고 생각한다.
This is a massive sign of strength for the markets. $HYPE is running up massively. It's made a new all-time high and a strong 48% rally. The upside of this move is that it usually signals greater strength across the board, with more altcoins to come. Hyperliquid is often the first runner, providing the momentum and signal for the rest of the markets to follow through. Some warning signals are also there on this chart: - Significant sigma overextension vs. the 21-Daily MA. - The RSI is hitting 75+ for the first time since May 2025, indicating that there's some overextension taking place. Doesn't mean that it can't continue moving upwards; clearly, the trend is strong. Funny enough, it took the price falling below the $33 low before it started surging upwards, and it never closed below that level. Strong signal for a reversal upwards and continuation to the upside, which then happened. However, there's a stronger appetite for this one to be waiting for a standard correction. Most optimal is an area at $39. Don't think we'll be getting that, so the lower $40s area is a phenomenal entry point for this one. We're back in the markets where altcoins are doing great, and given that Hyperliquid is the first-mover in that regard, I would assume we're going to see a lot more momentum from here on out with altcoins in May and June.
$BULL is holding the 5.1M floor like a total unit. This clinical reaccumulation is officially over and the chart is curling for a violent send toward 14M in full price discovery. Fading the mascot of the supercycle is peak midcurve behavior. Bid the base now or stay broke. Enjoy the poverty, fader.
1) $SOL: You now have 24/7/365 trading of every asset, instant low costs Keeps driving most users, with 98% market share in all on-chain equities 2) $JUP: All-in-one app perfect for normies and onboarding Jupiter offers memes, stocks, predictions, DeFi, neobank, perps (home of Solana) 3) $PUMP: Insanely good business, $425M ARR, 3.7X FDV/revenue (vs HYPE at 67x) With 50% buybacks, it removes all upcoming unlocks If you're a SOL bull, you can't be bearish on PUMP 4) $JTO: Raised $50M for their new trading platform JRX Spot, perps, prediction markets, and more (very important for Solana) 80% of revenue from this new platform goes to JTO buyback Anything I missed? (nfa/dyor)
@CryptoMichNL breakouts only matter if buyers defend the retest otherwise that 1.41 level becomes a bull trap fast
Good ideas deserve more than 1x Regulated spot margin. Now in the US on Kraken.
$BTC is breaking to the upside and $USDT.D is breaking to the downside. This exact thing happened in Jan 2023, which started a multi-year bull market. Do you understand?
THIS WEEK MIGHT BE THE TOP FOR BITCOIN. And the history backs this. Since inception, $BTC has always repeated one thing. A dump, 749 days after having. In 2014, this led to a 65% crash. In 2018, this led to a 64% crash. In 2022, this led to a 52% crash. And there are reasons to believe it could happen again. 1) Open Interest spike Recently, Bitcoin recorded the largest monthly OI spike of 2026. This is the same with alts, as people are now trying to chase the pump. Usually, when OI goes up this fast, a liquidation cascade often follows. 2) New Fed Chair A new Fed chair will most likely be confirmed this week. Every time a new Fed Chair has been confirmed, BTC has dropped. Given that Kevin Warsh can't do easing soon due to rising inflation, markets could start pricing in the hawkish Fed. 3) Stock euphoria The stock market has been going absolutely parabolic right now. It's almost a certainty that they'll cool off soon. When stocks hit a new ATH, BTC and alts remained way below their highs. What'll happen when stocks go through a correction? IMO, the timing of BTC's peak could be off by a week or two, but the likelihood of a local top is going up with each passing day now.
picked this up on the dip around 300k mc… looks like one of those quiet entries before attention rotates been watching it for hours waiting for this kind of pullback no rush here… feels more like a slow cook than instant send holding and letting it develop $ARQ
BITCOIN CYCLE, MEASURED BY BIZ CYCLE, MAY ONLY BE IN THE EARLY BULL PHASE. -> Stocks at pushing all time highs -> AI supercharging investment & biz outputs -> Run away debt signaling likely $ printing soon Super bull phase play still going to go pay out? It’s looking likely Chart @sminston_with
SanDisk $SNDK is up 51x over the past year. This is one of the biggest reasons retail is no more interested in alts.
A lot of protocols are ready to do a 'mean reversion' trade. This means that they'll follow $BTC in its footsteps and have a relatively strong run. Stronger than Bitcoin percentage-wise, as the higher Bitcoin goes, the more confidence there is. One of them is $SUI. It's building up for a strong breakout after multiple months of accumulation and that could even mean that, in a prolonged period, it can run to $1.75.
I just opened a $40k short position on $LAB. I’ve been monitoring $LAB since morning, and it’s the best time to open a short position. High funding and most longs in profit usually signal a crowded trade, leading to a flush. I am preferring the short side over chasing the top.
$SOL has taken a lot of beating over the past 6-7 months. A relief rally could happen in SOL here, given there's a decent cluster of liquidity sitting above the $90 level. After that, Solana will most likely drop to new lows.
What people don’t understand is that the S&P 500 will keep going up until the entire system breaks
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