Thomas Chadefaux @thomaschadefaux
Professor in Political Science @tcddublin | PI of ERC project PaCE @LabConflict @ERC_research. Conflict forecasting, machine learning, game theory. Dublin City, Ireland Joined November 2023-
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📊 Check out the last @philippines's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a stable conflict risk in history. Explore more: 🗺️ Webapp thomasschinca.github.io/Pace-map-risk/ 📄 Monthly Report forecastlab.org/predictionmap 💻 Github repo github.com/ThomasSchinca/…
📊 Check out the last @Ethiopia's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a stable conflict risk in history. Explore more: 🗺️ Webapp thomasschinca.github.io/Pace-map-risk/ 📄 Monthly Report forecastlab.org/predictionmap 💻 Github repo github.com/ThomasSchinca/…
A reminder: The Department of Political Science at Trinity College Dublin now welcomes applications for fully funded PhD positions. Deadline April 1st (I know...) tcd.ie/Political_Scie……
The trajectory of conflict fatalities in Mexico today closely mirrors those in Israel in 1990. For more insights, check out PaCE's February Conflict Risk Report forecastlab.org/predictionmap pic.x.com/i44hwd1qdi
The trajectory of conflict fatalities in Brazil today closely mirrors those in the Philippines in 2010. For more insights, check out PaCE's February Conflict Risk Report forecastlab.org/predictionmap
The trajectory of conflict fatalities in Afghanistan today closely mirrors those in Myanmar in 2020. For more insights, check out PaCE's February Conflict Risk Report forecastlab.org/predictionmap
The trajectory of conflict fatalities in Mozambique today closely mirrors those in Somalia in 1999. For more insights, check out PaCE's February Conflict Risk Report forecastlab.org/predictionmap
The trajectory of conflict fatalities in Venezuela today closely mirrors those in India in 2012. For more insights, check out PaCE's February Conflict Risk Report forecastlab.org/predictionmap
The trajectory of conflict fatalities in Yemen today closely mirrors those in the Philippines in 2012. For more insights, check out PaCE's February Conflict Risk Report forecastlab.org/predictionmap
We are hiring an Assistant Professor in Political Science and Asian Politics, to start on 1st September 2024. This is a tenure-track position at Trinity College Dublin. Salary: €39,469 –€95,441 Deadline: April 5 my.corehr.com/pls/trrecruit/…
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On Tuesday evening, we had our annual postgraduate Applied Social Data Science Commons Dinner!🎉What a fantastic evening hosting our talented students and staff. Great conversations, networking, and delicious food! Already looking forward to next year's event. #DataScience
Wrapping up a highly stimulating lecture with Prof @thomaschadefaux Lectures full of ARIMA & Neural Networks. Feedback from the class: We are officially in love! Forecasting’s never been this fun 🤩Thank you Prof, for turning complex algorithms into a playground. We’ll miss you
@thomaschadefaux I'm just going to pretend I didn't read this tweet
Excess mortality is an extremely powerful way of looking at the impact of covid. It cuts through all the bullshit. Whatever your politics, the data is the data.
Fun fact: when given extra testosterone (T), college men get the wrong answer (ball=$.10 in the original version) 15% more often Theory: T creates overconfidence, disables “system 2“ proofreader journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/09…
Professor Thomas Chadefaux of @TCDPoliticalSci speaking today at the @ERC_Research funded PaCE Project Conflict Forecasting Workshop, where he was joined by 20 colleagues from across Europe and the US to discuss opportunities and challenges in forecasting international conflicts.
Bro please come to the conference. Registration fee $1000 ($950 early bird), flights & accommodation $3000. You'll present for 6 minutes and get roasted. You can't present virtually because...look you just can't ok. There's a yoga session. You'll get a point on your CV bro please
@thomaschadefaux In my opinion, this map should show land held by the Lakota, the Navajo, the Apache, the Pueblo, and so on, rather than only the settler claims.
Many thanks to @thomaschadefaux @LabConflict and Jemimah Bailey for an awesome conflict forecasting workshop
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At 2100+ (not a typo) pages 🤯, this is almost all the Math you need for Machine Learning without dumbing it down! PDF link: cis.upenn.edu/~jean/math-dee…
@thomaschadefaux Thanks for the follow. Now following back. Great to connect. I can't wait to read your tweets.
Professor giving talk in front of researchers that actually did the research
@thomaschadefaux @tcddublin I am glad the deadline is for after St. Patrick's Day!
this would be a fascinating job for you Ireland and Irish politics experts out there......
Our Department (Political Science at Trinity College Dublin) is looking for an Assistant Prof. in Irish Politics (tenure track). Deadline for applications 19 March. @tcddublin jobs.ac.uk/job/DGB515/ass….
@thomaschadefaux Enjoy your Friday morning ahead
Russia's invasion of Ukraine began two years ago. In October 2022, Russia failed to take Kyiv and withdrew from the north. Since then, little has changed on the ground.
“Realistic Qualities” we look for in an early career researcher