A B Stoddard @theabstoddard
Joined February 2016-
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MAGA declared a state of emergency for the GOP as soon as Ukraine aid passed the House on Saturday. Johnson and Republicans who support aid were excoriated for working with Democrats, who helped pass the GOP rule and then the package of aid bills. thebulwark.com/p/johnson-will…
Let’s take quick tour of some favorable tidings & reasons for optimism March brought. 1 Third-party threat weakened considerably 2 Mike Pence makes history, snubs Trump 3 March was month Biden found some mojo 4 The Human Crime Spree was given court date thebulwark.com/p/reasons-for-…
Layered over volatile scenario is threat of violence, whether Trump explicitly encourages it or not. His torrent of lies & cowardice of elected GOPs created permanent threat to election workers. Trump supporters are primed for battle—metaphoric & physical. plus.thebulwark.com/p/start-the-st…
At massive-dollar events, most of money will go to RNC, but at smaller fundraising events, much of it will go to Trump. The arrangement allows Trump to tap funds from larger donors for his legal matters without money ever passing through RNC per @nytimes . plus.thebulwark.com/p/trump-legal-…
Schumer’s break with Menendez is long overdue. It would be awkward & painful. It could rile donors & power brokers. He would be abandoning most successful & highest-ranking Latino in Congress. Menendez said he won't forget those digging my political grave. plus.thebulwark.com/p/chuck-schume…
In Dec Hunter demanded public hearing, Republicans refused. He defied subpoena & busted into Oversight Committee on Jan 10, asking why they wouldn't depose him in public. His Trumpian spectacle embarrassed Republicans, causing Rep. Mace to become unhinged. plus.thebulwark.com/p/hunter-biden…
This followed Trump and Republicans killing off a package of bipartisan border fixes, paired with Ukraine aid, because it would have helped Ukraine, the border, and President Joe Biden’s political standing. plus.thebulwark.com/p/bright-spots…
Polling shows Sinema never pulls even, her candidacy risks Lake pulling out a win. Without Sinema, Gallego can move to become choice of the independents & Republicans who are repelled by extremism & have delivered victories to AZ Dems since 2018. plus.thebulwark.com/p/why-the-sine…
All of these are signs of Trump’s strength, not weakness. Which makes it a curious time—in a dark week of lies, distortion, and submission—for some Republicans to suddenly try telling the truth now that the hour has come to toe the line for good. plus.thebulwark.com/p/an-outbreak-…
Daily Beast reported, Mace is facing staff exodus because she fostered “toxic” & demoralizing workplace. She fired CoS, who is considering challenging her in primary, & many other aides have walked. Several of them said she’s “abusive” & “delusional.” plus.thebulwark.com/p/nancy-mace-i…
Speaker Announcement🎙️ From The Hill to RealClearPolitics to now @BulwarkOnline, AB Stoddard’s writing surfaces all of the most important themes in our politics with clarity and depth. She’ll be at the Summit to discuss what’s at stake in 2024. Join us: principlesfirst.us/summit/2024/
Indeed, Swift doesn’t tweet about Trump, talk about Trump, hit fundraisers or hang out at White House. Besides her endorsement of a Democratic challenger to Sen. Marsha Blackburn in 2018, & of Biden in 2020, she has largely kept politics on the down-low. plus.thebulwark.com/p/maga-has-tds…
Biden remains underwater, with higher disapproval than approval. Most concluded Biden is too old. As commentators have noted Biden has never been popular; his honeymoon in the presidency was temporary as the country basked in the relief of dumping Trump. plus.thebulwark.com/p/bidens-low-a…
ENDORSING TRUMP WILL BE PAINFUL for many Republicans because, as Chris Christie said last week, “they know better.” Those who have waited until now to kiss the ring have not forgotten what Trump demands. plus.thebulwark.com/p/its-white-fl…
As Biden said in Valley Forge, by abandoning truth, Republicans are abandoning democracy. Without objective truth in a rules-based system, we will have anarchy and tyranny. plus.thebulwark.com/p/most-urgent-…
Despite polling in last place, & being eclipsed by Haley in the Live Free or Die State where he has placed all his hopes for a win, Christie explained the reason he remains a candidate is not actually to win but to expose the danger & corruption of Trump. plus.thebulwark.com/p/christie-can…
Effort to impeach president will divide GOP conference & could backfire: If GOP don’t locate actual Biden crime —with evidence to back claim up—they may not be able to convince colleagues in swing seats to take a vote that could cost them their jobs. plus.thebulwark.com/p/speaker-hake…
Trump’s plans to destroy checks & balances & rule as king hadn’t penetrated much beyond political insiders & DC think tanks until the last few weeks—when a story in @nytimes , articles in @TheAtlantic , & essay by Robert Kagan in @washingtonpost warned... plus.thebulwark.com/p/trump-said-t…
Yet amid bad polls & Trump’s threats, we saw developments last week that illustrated Americans all around country who are not numb, & are scrambling to secure our vote & protect democracy from onslaught of attacks & lies coming from Trump... @theabstoddard plus.thebulwark.com/p/dark-week-fo…
Those Dems who do not concede Trump’s policies are winning over some of their own are clinging to real data too—data that shows abortion is a huge political liability for the GOP—and they tout a record of sustained electoral successes 2017-2023. plus.thebulwark.com/p/can-the-anti…
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"Johnson was bathed in bipartisan, international praise for his defection." Nonetheless, he won't get away with it. thebulwark.com/p/johnson-will…
"We know exactly where this is going. If Trump is re-elected and Russia invades a NATO country Trump will not send American forces in to protect our allies and defeat Putin. Not a chance." thebulwark.com/p/johnson-will…
In Trump's GOP, no good deed goes unpunished. thebulwark.com/p/johnson-will…
"It’s remarkable that all Republican senatorial candidates are currently trailing Democrats in the most competitive contests. Even Sherrod Brown and Jon Tester are hanging tough in their dark red states." plus.thebulwark.com/p/reasons-for-…
No Labels folded, and Pence declined to endorse the president under which he served. It's not all bad news lately. A.B. Stoddard helps you hold on to a little optimism: plus.thebulwark.com/p/reasons-for-…
"Those universally bad polls began to budge. Biden is now moving ahead of Trump in numerous general election polls and some swing state polling as well. And both Nates have confirmed this is officially real: Silver and Cohn." plus.thebulwark.com/p/reasons-for-…
"Trump was named an unindicted co-conspirator in this case six years ago. He has to be a defendant sometime. Maybe there will be some surprises. Maybe he will become a convicted felon. The trial is set to start next Monday." plus.thebulwark.com/p/reasons-for-…
“Trump won’t be president this time, and lacks the power of the federal government, so his best path to stealing an election is through the states, before the question comes to Congress on January 6, 2025.” plus.thebulwark.com/p/start-the-st…
Steal early and steal often; it's never too early to start planning the next constitutional crisis and fake stolen-election narrative. But there's also a movement to get ahead of it this time. New from A.B. Stoddard: plus.thebulwark.com/p/start-the-st…
"Under the Electoral Count Reform Act, no errors in the electoral vote can be corrected after electors vote on December 17. If corrupt electors vote for someone other than their states’ popular vote winner, Congress will certify that result on January 6." plus.thebulwark.com/p/start-the-st…
"Delay is critical to every part of the Trump strategy if Biden wins in November—delay verifying ballots, delay with recounts, delay with audits. Delay sows doubt. Piling up lawsuits does too, even if they are later thrown out." Like 2020, but worse. plus.thebulwark.com/p/start-the-st…
"What Trump has planned for November and December, if he doesn’t win, is not a 'pressure campaign.' It’s another coup." plus.thebulwark.com/p/start-the-st…
Trump's torrent of lies and the cowardice of elected Republicans who knowingly echo his lies have created a permanent threat to election workers. And it's only going to get worse as we close in on November. plus.thebulwark.com/p/start-the-st…
"Trump’s plan to potentially steal a free and fair election should itself be a central issue of the 2024 campaign. It’s far more consequential than polls, fundraising tallies, or the electoral salience of student loan payments or a TikTok ban." plus.thebulwark.com/p/start-the-st…
*Of course* Republican party money is going to Trump's legal bills. New from A.B. Stoddard: plus.thebulwark.com/p/trump-legal-…
"Naturally donors, candidates, and elected Republicans working hard to stem the tide of losses the party has suffered in the age of Trump—in 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, and already in 2024 (in NY-3)—objected in outrage. Right?" Ha! plus.thebulwark.com/p/trump-legal-…
Schumer has no trouble standing up and making a little controversy if he thinks it's the right thing to do. So do Menendez now. A.B. Stoddard on what Chuck Schumer must do: plus.thebulwark.com/p/chuck-schume…
"Their apparent strategy has been to arrange an interview behind closed doors with a sheepish and ashamed Hunter. Hunter’s response? Come at me, bro." Not bad, first son. Not bad. A.B. Stoddard on Hunter Biden: plus.thebulwark.com/p/hunter-biden…