hakam @referee_jam

Humans have always been drawn to betting, from casinos to online sports. In Web3, prediction markets evolved into something more transparent, where users trade Yes/No contracts instead of betting against a house. By 2025, total volume passed $44b, and in 2026 the growth is accelerating fast. Imo, the demand never disappeared, it just became more efficient, with prices directly reflecting crowd expectations. A. The rising competition Competition is getting much tighter. What used to be a two-player market between Kalshi and Polymarket is now a three-way race with HIP-4 entering the space. Each platform is pushing different advantages to win users. There are some main reasons why these platforms are constantly compared: + Around 14% of top Polymarket traders are also active on Hyperliquid. + Pro traders dislike locked capital and prefer flexible margin with leverage. + Different models create price gaps, which can be traded for profit. Personally, I think this overlap is what makes the competition more interesting, it's more than just about users, but also about how capital moves between platforms. B. Platforms breakdown 1. @Kalshi: + A fully regulated US platform with CFTC approval, supporting easy USD deposits and withdrawals via banks. + Dominates sports betting (60-80% of volume), along with politics and macro events like Fed or CPI. This is the safest option, more like a legal betting platform than a crypto product. 2. @Polymarket: + A crypto-native platform on Polygon using USDC, offering a wide range of markets from crypto to global events. + Strong community and low fees, but limited access for US users and occasional settlement issues. Still the most user-friendly and engaging platform, especially for casual trading or farming opportunities. 3. HIP-4 on @HyperliquidX: + Launched in May 2026, allowing prediction trading within the same account as spot and derivatives. + Key strength is unified margin, no locked capital, zero open fees, and support for high leverage. Tbh, this changes the game, turning prediction markets into a capital-efficient trading tool.

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hakam @referee_jam

a month ago

@0xAmberCT @yearnfi How long have you been running capital on Aave across L2s

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hakam @referee_jam

a month ago

@defikadic Kind of useful to compare cards this way honestly

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hakam @referee_jam

a month ago

@0xAmberCT @BNBCHAIN Lowkey feels like agents about to get their mainnet moment

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hakam @referee_jam

a month ago

@defikadic This is pretty insightful

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hakam @referee_jam

a month ago

@defikadic @FlareNetworks This highlights how Flare is simplifying access to DeFi yields

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hakam @referee_jam

a month ago

@0xgilllee @Lombard_Finance @Firelightfi This makes the collaboration feel strategic

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hakam @referee_jam

2 months ago

@0xAmberCT @KelpDAO You explaining the shift this clearly makes it easier for the community to process

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hakam @referee_jam

2 months ago

@0xAmberCT Do you see this slowing down once compliance frameworks get clearer

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hakam @referee_jam

2 months ago

@0xAmberCT Clean and engaging overview

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Amber _ D @0xAmberCT

2 months ago

This is what SMEs (also creators) in crypto should be watching for the next step. I think the main idea for creators is to maintain connections with elite customers to see what they need - the first pillar. What are 'elite customers'? Those who are leaders in their field, have been building for at least five years, and have a solid customer base. Having one or two lead customers is better than having ten customers for a single service.