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⚽ WORLD CUP 2026 — ROAD TO THE KNOCKOUTS 📅 DAY 3 All the hosts had their matches now, some with more success than others. Here are the probabilities to reach the knockout stages on the day 3 of World Cup 2026. Daily updates to these probabilities throughout the group stages, follow so you don't miss it!

⚽ WORLD CUP 2026 — ROAD TO THE KNOCKOUTS ⭐ GROUP D PROBABILITIES 📅 MATCHES PLAYED: 1 🇺🇸 USA · 🇹🇷 Türkiye · 🇵🇾 Paraguay · 🇦🇺 Australia USA starts their World Cup journey with a bang! We'll be updating these probabilities after every round, follow so you don't miss it!

⚽ WORLD CUP 2026 — ROAD TO THE KNOCKOUTS ⭐ GROUP D PROBABILITIES 📅 MATCHES PLAYED: 0 🇺🇸 USA · 🇹🇷 Türkiye · 🇵🇾 Paraguay · 🇦🇺 Australia The final host nation enters the stage! We'll be updating these probabilities after every round, follow so you don't miss it!

⚽ WORLD CUP 2026 — ROAD TO THE KNOCKOUTS ⭐ GROUP B PROBABILITIES 📅 MATCHES PLAYED: 1 🇨🇦 Canada · 🇧🇦 Bosnia & Herzegovina · 🇶🇦 Qatar · 🇨🇭 Switzerland Bosnia & Herzegovina almost shocked the Canadian hosts, but Canada managed to secure a draw near the end. We'll be updating these probabilities after every round, follow so you don't miss it!

⚽ WORLD CUP 2026 — ROAD TO THE KNOCKOUTS ⭐ GROUP B PROBABILITIES 📅 MATCHES PLAYED: 0 🇨🇦 Canada · 🇧🇦 Bosnia & Herzegovina · 🇶🇦 Qatar · 🇨🇭 Switzerland Co-hosts Canada begin their campaign on home soil today against Bosnia & Herzegovina! We'll be updating these probabilities after every round, follow so you don't miss it!

Mourinho is back, can he do for Mbappé what he did for Ronaldo? It's official: José Mourinho has returned to Real Madrid, 13 years after his first spell, with the club activating the €15 million release clause in his Benfica contract. He arrives on a two-year deal to bring order to a dressing room shaken by two seasons without a trophy. It's a familiar script: the last time Madrid went two straight seasons empty-handed, in 2008-09 and 2009-10, Florentino Pérez's answer was to bring in Mourinho. First time around, his system turned Ronaldo into a goal machine: direct, vertical, built to feed a forward running into space. Mbappé fits that mould perfectly, and he's already shown he can carry a La Liga scoring race. If Mourinho rebuilds Madrid the way he did in 2010, Mbappé could be the player who benefits most. Here are our predictions for how he might fare next season.

South Africa most likely Round of 32 opponents (if they reach it 25.9%) 🏆 🇧🇪 Belgium — 28.8% 🇨🇭 Switzerland — 13.1% 🇨🇦 Canada — 12.7% 🇮🇷 Iran — 12.4% 🇪🇬 Egypt — 10.2% 🇧🇦 Bosnia & Herzegovina — 8.7% 🇳🇿 New Zealand — 4.5% 🇶🇦 Qatar — 3.6% 🇩🇪 Germany — 1.4% 🇪🇨 Ecuador — 1.3% 🇨🇮 Ivory Coast — 0.7% 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia — 0.6% 🇨🇻 Cabo Verde — 0.5% 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland — 0.3% 🇺🇾 Uruguay — 0.3% 🇪🇸 Spain — 0.2% 🇲🇦 Morocco — 0.2% 🇨🇼 Curaçao — 0.1% 🇧🇷 Brazil — 0.1% 🔗 You can check these continuously updated probabilities for all 48 World Cup teams and all knockout stages in the free simulator in our bio.

Czechia most likely Round of 32 opponents (if they reach it 50.6%) 🏆 🇧🇪 Belgium — 33.1% 🇮🇷 Iran — 13.2% 🇪🇬 Egypt — 12.7% 🇨🇦 Canada — 8.7% 🇨🇭 Switzerland — 8.6% 🇳🇿 New Zealand — 5.5% 🇧🇦 Bosnia & Herzegovina — 4.9% 🇶🇦 Qatar — 1.9% 🇩🇪 Germany — 1.9% 🇪🇨 Ecuador — 1.8% 🇨🇮 Ivory Coast — 1.6% 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia — 1.2% 🇨🇻 Cabo Verde — 1.1% 🇺🇾 Uruguay — 0.9% 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland — 0.6% 🇭🇹 Haiti — 0.5% 🇨🇼 Curaçao — 0.5% 🇪🇸 Spain — 0.3% 🇲🇦 Morocco — 0.3% 🇧🇷 Brazil — 0.2% 🇸🇳 Senegal — 0.1% 🇳🇴 Norway — 0.1% 🔗 You can check these continuously updated probabilities for all 48 World Cup teams and all knockout stages in the free simulator in our bio.

Mexico most likely Round of 32 opponents (if they reach it 98.7%) 🏆 🇨🇮 Ivory Coast — 10.7% 🇨🇭 Switzerland — 8.8% 🇨🇦 Canada — 8.3% 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia — 7.3% 🇪🇨 Ecuador — 7.3% 🇨🇻 Cabo Verde — 6.9% 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland — 5.7% 🇺🇾 Uruguay — 5.5% 🇩🇪 Germany — 5.4% 🇧🇦 Bosnia & Herzegovina — 5.4% 🇲🇦 Morocco — 4.8% 🇨🇼 Curaçao — 3.8% 🇧🇪 Belgium — 3.6% 🇭🇹 Haiti — 3.1% 🇧🇷 Brazil — 2.7% 🇪🇸 Spain — 2.1% 🇶🇦 Qatar — 2.1% 🇮🇷 Iran — 1.5% 🇪🇬 Egypt — 1.4% 🇸🇳 Senegal — 0.9% 🇳🇴 Norway — 0.8% 🇳🇿 New Zealand — 0.5% 🇮🇶 Iraq — 0.5% 🇫🇷 France — 0.5% 🇸🇪 Sweden — 0.2% 🇹🇳 Tunisia — 0.2% 🇯🇵 Japan — 0.1% 🇳🇱 Netherlands — 0.1% 🔗 You can check these continuously updated probabilities for all 48 World Cup teams and all knockout stages in the free simulator in our bio.

South Korea most likely Round of 32 opponents (if they reach it 91.8%) 🏆 🇨🇭 Switzerland — 20.7% 🇨🇦 Canada — 19.5% 🇧🇦 Bosnia & Herzegovina — 12.8% 🇧🇪 Belgium — 5.8% 🇶🇦 Qatar — 5.6% 🇨🇮 Ivory Coast — 4.8% 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia — 3.6% 🇨🇻 Cabo Verde — 3.3% 🇪🇨 Ecuador — 3.0% 🇺🇾 Uruguay — 2.5% 🇩🇪 Germany — 2.5% 🇮🇷 Iran — 2.3% 🇪🇬 Egypt — 2.3% 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland — 2.2% 🇲🇦 Morocco — 2.0% 🇨🇼 Curaçao — 1.6% 🇭🇹 Haiti — 1.4% 🇧🇷 Brazil — 1.3% 🇳🇿 New Zealand — 0.9% 🇪🇸 Spain — 0.8% 🇳🇴 Norway — 0.3% 🇸🇳 Senegal — 0.2% 🇮🇶 Iraq — 0.2% 🇫🇷 France — 0.1% 🔗 You can check these continuously updated probabilities for all 48 World Cup teams and all knockout stages in the free simulator in our bio.

Top 5 Leagues Points Leaders (2010–2026) Points per match via goals & assists (2010 - 2026): 1️⃣ Lionel Messi = 0.73 2️⃣ Cristiano Ronaldo = 0.62 3️⃣ Harry Kane = 0.54 4️⃣ Mohamed Salah = 0.54 5️⃣ Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang = 0.45 6️⃣ Robert Lewandowski = 0.43 7️⃣ Antoine Griezmann = 0.38 After breaking down all five major leagues one by one, here's the big one: every league pooled into a single table of who contributed most through goals and assists over the last 16 seasons. At the summit, inevitably, is Lionel Messi, clear of the entire continent with 408 goals and 190 assists, a points total no one else comes close to, and the only player here built as much on creation as finishing. Behind him is Cristiano Ronaldo, his great rival to the very end, the relentless goal machine whose 385 strikes define an era of their own. Harry Kane comes next, the highest-placed player still adding to his tally, with Robert Lewandowski just behind, the most ruthless No. 9 of his generation across two leagues. Mohamed Salah follows, the lone Premier League creator-scorer in the mix, ahead of Antoine Griezmann and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, two more who lit up the continent for over a decade. How are Points calculated per Player: for each match, remove the player's goals and assists, recalculate the result, and compare the team's actual points to what they'd have earned without him. Add up the difference across every game to get his true points value. If you want to see another league breakdown, let us know in the comments.

⚽ WORLD CUP 2026 — ROAD TO THE KNOCKOUTS GROUP A PROBABILITIES 📅 MATCHES PLAYED: 2 🇲🇽 Mexico · 🇿🇦 South Africa · 🇰🇷 South Korea · 🇨🇿 Czechia First round of Group A is done with Mexico and South Korea coming out of it with 3 points and one step closer to the knockouts.

⚽ WORLD CUP 2026 — ROAD TO THE KNOCKOUTS 📅 DAY 2 The first round of Group A is finished and here are the biggest winners on their journey to the knockout stages. Daily updates to these probabilities throughout the group stages, follow so you don't miss it!

⚽ WORLD CUP 2026 — ROAD TO THE KNOCKOUTS GROUP A PROBABILITIES 📅 MATCHES PLAYED: 1 🇲🇽 Mexico · 🇿🇦 South Africa · 🇰🇷 South Korea · 🇨🇿 Czechia The World Cup 2026 kicked off with a hat-trick of red cards and a not-so-convincing win for Mexico in front of their home fans. Still, the hosts are one step closer to the knockouts, now at 98.7% to qualify.