propgrades @propgrades

algo honing 🔊

@Markiofrmflex2 come find me for nfl and keep banking in the interim 🤑

cash it

+2500 might hit at half and we dont even bet cfb. going to absolutely feast this NFL season. thanks Sam Leavitt whoever you are keep pounding that rock.

*testing* Cam Ward Year 2 2026 projection: ~3,750 passing yards · 26 TD · 12 INT · 63% · a top-15 quarterback season. The rookie tape was a sack-rate problem, not a talent problem — and the Titans just spent the offseason fixing the exact thing. --- ## The thesis Cam Ward's rookie year gets filed under "raw, turnover-prone No. 1 pick who struggled." Half of that is true and none of it is predictive. The number that actually explains 2025 is **a 9.2% sack rate** — bottom-of-the-league, one of the worst by any starter in a decade. You cannot evaluate a quarterback who is on the ground on one of every eleven dropbacks. Tennessee couldn't either, so they rebuilt the wall in front of him. And even *inside* the disaster, Ward figured something out — the last seven games were a different player. The Year-2 leap here isn't a hope. It's the base case. --- ## 1. The rookie year, honestly The full-season line: **17 starts, ~186 passing yards a game, ~1.0 TD, 0.4 INT, 54.3% completions, −0.183 EPA per dropback.** Bad. But look at how it was built: | Problem | The number | Whose fault | | --- | ---: | --- | | Getting sacked | **9.2% sack rate** | The offensive line | | Completion % | 54.3% | Pressure + the receivers | | His top target | **a tight end (Chig Okonkwo)** | The roster | | Turnovers | 7 INT — six of them before Week 9 | Rookie, plus the above | His leading receiver was a rotational tight end. His second option was a rookie who'd go on to be a WR4. He was throwing off his back foot because the pocket was gone by his second hitch. This was not a fair test. --- ## 2. The last seven games were the tell Ward's rookie season split at Week 11: | | Weeks 1–9 | **Weeks 11–17** | | --- | ---: | ---: | | Passing TD | 5 | **11** | | Interceptions | 6 | **1** (zero in 6 of 7 games) | | EPA per dropback | ~−0.25 | **−0.10** | | Passing yards/game | ~185 | ~184 | Same modest volume — Tennessee was a run-first team going nowhere — but he stopped bleeding the ball and started finishing drives. Eleven touchdowns and one interception across the closing stretch, with the efficiency curve bending toward respectable. That is *exactly* the trajectory you want a rookie No. 1 to be on when the season ends: not "put up numbers," but "protect the ball and score." --- ## 3. The cohort says the leap is mechanical Every recent high-pick quarterback, rookie year → Year 2, with the lever that mattered: | QB | Rookie EPA/db | Year-2 EPA/db | Sack rate (rk → Y2) | What changed | | --- | ---: | ---: | --- | --- | | **Caleb Williams** | −0.074 | **+0.071** | 10.6% → **4.0%** | Ben Johnson + a rebuilt line | | **Drake Maye** | −0.071 | **+0.308** | 9.1% → 8.7% | Vrabel/McDaniels + a real WR1 (A.J. Brown) | | **Bryce Young** | −0.270 | −0.062 → −0.043 | 10.5% → 7.0% → 5.3% | line investment, shortened aDOT | | Bo Nix | +0.058 | +0.099 | 4.1% → 3.4% | already stable | | **C.J. Stroud** | **+0.113** | **−0.022** | 7.0% → **8.9%** | line *collapsed*, WRs hurt | | Jayden Daniels | +0.115 | −0.023 (7 g) | 8.9% → 8.7% | injury | The pattern is not subtle. **Every quarterback in this group whose situation improved in Year 2 leapt** — Caleb from −0.07 to +0.07 as his sack rate was cut in half, Maye from −0.07 to an elite +0.31 once he had A.J. Brown and a scheme. The only ones who *didn't* leap had their offensive line collapse (Stroud) or got hurt (Daniels). Nobody with a fixed line and a healthy body stayed stuck. Ward is the fixed-line, healthy-body case: - **The line:** Tennessee signed **Dan Moore Jr.** to play left tackle and moved **JC Latham** back to his natural right side, plus interior reinforcement. The exact repair Chicago made before Caleb's jump. - **The weapons:** from the worst room in football to a functional one — **Wan'Dale Robinson** (a 100-target slot volume machine from the Giants), rookie **Carnell Tate** (a legitimate WR1 projection out of Ohio State), **Calvin Ridley** sliding to a lower-usage WR3 role that suits him better now, and **Gunnar Helm**, who flashed as a rookie tight end. - **The coach:** Brian Callahan, Year 2, the man who ran Joe Burrow's offense in Cincinnati. Continuity plus pedigree. --- ## 4. The schedule Tennessee's 2026 opponents by 2025 QB passing yards allowed per game: | Tier | Weeks | Opponents | | --- | --- | --- | | **Soft (255+)** | 11, 13, 17, 6, 15 | DAL (268), WAS (257), PIT (271), IND x2 (256) | | Neutral (220–245) | 1, 3, 4, 8, 14 | NYJ, NYG, BAL, CIN, DET | | Tough (under 210) | 2, 5, 7, 10, 12, 16, 18 | PHI, HOU x2, CLE, JAX x2, LV | The AFC South is a genuinely hard division for a passer in 2026 — Houston's front is elite, Jacksonville added pieces, Indianapolis rebuilt its secondary — so six division games are neutral-to-tough. But the NFC East crossover (Dallas, Washington, Giants) and a Week 17 date with Pittsburgh's aging secondary give him real breathing room. Middle-of-the-pack overall; five true smash spots. --- ## 5. The projection **Base case (≈50%): 3,750 yards, 26 TD, 12 INT, 63% completions, ~230 rushing yards, 2 rushing TD.** The line holds up to "average," the sack rate falls into the 6% range, and Ward carries his late-2025 form (ball security, drive-finishing) across a full season with better targets. ~220 passing yards and 1.5 touchdowns a game. This is a *franchise-quarterback stamp* — QB15-ish, the season where the "was he worth No. 1" question quietly goes away. **Bull case (≈30%): 4,150 yards, 31 TD, 10 INT, EPA ~+0.15.** The Caleb Williams / Drake Maye path — the line fix takes fully, Tate and Wan'Dale click early, Callahan unlocks the middle-of-field and the play-action game. A back-half-of-the-top-10 season and a Pro Bowl conversation. **Bear case (≈20%): 3,200 yards, 19 TD, 14 INT.** The Stroud Year-2 path. The line additions don't gel, the rookie WR1 needs a year, and defenses sit on the run and dare him. Still a step forward from the rookie tape — just the "wait for Year 3" version. **Weighted expectation: ~3,750 yards, 26 TD, 12 INT** — and the single widest range of any projectable young quarterback, because the whole thing hinges on five new offensive linemen learning to play together. --- ## 6. How to bet him, week to week - **QB passing yards has no ladder** — from the reconciliation data, the outcome standard deviation is ~73 yards, so buying his alt line down 15 barely moves the probability (50% → 58%) while the bust rate stays ~42%. Bet his standard number or skip it. Don't ladder a quarterback. - **Passing yards is a spot bet, not a season lean.** His line opens ~205–215. Over it against DAL (Wk 11), PIT (Wk 17), WAS (Wk 13), IND (Wk 6 & 15). Under it against HOU (Wk 5 & 18), PHI (Wk 2), CLE (Wk 7). - **Passing TD Over 1.5 is the better plus-matchup play than yardage** — his late-2025 rate was 1.6 a game, and in a soft spot with a lead-script, the touchdown number is where the value sits. - **Interception Unders in the back half of the year.** He posted zero picks in six of his final seven rookie games. The market will price him as a turnover risk into September; that reputation lags the tape. - **Rushing props (~15–20 yard line):** small but live — he has genuine escapability, and if Callahan folds in designed keepers the way his Week 15–16 usage hinted, the rush-yards Over is a sneaky lean in scripted spots. - **Season-long, if posted:** lean **Over 3,500 passing yards**, lean **Over 24.5 passing TD**, and take a hard look at any **Most Improved / Comeback-flavored** future — the narrative (raw rookie, ugly line) will keep the number soft while the underlying arrow points up. --- Built from propgrades.plays (17-game 2025 charting, EPA, sack rate, air yards), the recent high-pick QB cohort (Williams, Maye, Young, Stroud, Nix, Daniels — rookie vs Year 2), and the 2026 schedule. Full board on propgrades.com/propgrades. *Projection, not a promise. Bet responsibly.*

# Tetairoa McMillan — The Sophomore Season 2026 projection: ~1,080 yards · 84 catches · 7 touchdowns. And the case for why the box score is finally about to catch up to the usage. --- ## The thesis Tetairoa McMillan's rookie year was a lie told by a bad quarterback. Strip out the completions Bryce Young missed and the possessions Carolina never had, and what's left is one of the most heavily-featured young receivers in football. The usage was already elite. In 2026, three things move at once — Young's arc, the target competition, and the schedule — and the production finally rhymes with the role. --- ## 1. The rookie year, decoded The surface line: **59.6 receiving yards a game, 4.1 catches, 8 touchdowns** across 17 starts. Fine. WR2-shaped. The usage underneath it, from the charting: | Metric | McMillan, rookie year | What it means | | --- | ---: | --- | | Target share | **~24%** | A genuine No. 1 — Carolina's offense ran through him from Week 1 | | Air-yards share | **~45%** | Dominator territory. Nearly *half* of everything Carolina threw downfield went his way | | First-read rate | **81%** | He wasn't a checkdown or a progression — he was the design | | aDOT | **11.6** | A real X receiver, not a manufactured-touch slot | | Red-zone targets / TD | **15 / 4** | Already a scoring option inside the 20 | | Catch rate | **57%** | The one number that hurts — and it isn't his | That 57% is the whole story. A 24%-target-share, 45%-air-yards-share, first-read X receiver who catches 57% of what's thrown at him is a player whose ceiling is being held down by the delivery, not the design. Contested-target rate: 15%. YAC per catch: 3.8. He's winning the route and then waiting on the throw. --- ## 2. Bryce Young is not the quarterback you remember The single most-quoted knock on McMillan is "who's throwing him the ball." Here's the answer, year by year: | Season | Comp % | Pass TD/g | aDOT | **QB EPA/play** | | --- | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | | 2023 (rookie) | 53.4% | 0.69 | 7.6 | **−0.270** | | 2024 | 56.5% | 1.07 | 8.7 | **−0.062** | | 2025 | **59.8%** | **1.44** | 6.5 | **−0.043** | That is not a flat line. That is a quarterback who went from **historically, franchise-alteringly bad** (−0.27 EPA per play is bottom-of-the-league-in-a-decade territory) to **merely below average** in two years — while his touchdown rate more than doubled and his completion percentage climbed seven points. He is still not good. −0.04 EPA is roughly a bottom-eight starter. But the *direction* is the point. Carolina spent 2025 building him a floor: an elite, expensive offensive line (Ekwonu, Lewis, Hunt, Moton), a shortened aDOT (8.7 → 6.5 — Dave Canales took the deep-ball risk off his plate), and a run-first identity. If Year 4 delivers even half the improvement of Years 2 and 3 — call it −0.04 to somewhere near zero — Young crosses the line from "reason his WR1 underperforms" to "competent enough to let his WR1 be a WR1." --- ## 3. The sophomore-leap reality check Everyone assumes the Year-2 jump. The data is a cold shower. Every Round 1–2 receiver from the 2023 and 2024 classes, rookie year → Year 2 receiving yards per game: | Direction | Players | Δ yds/game | | --- | --- | --- | | **Leapt (+15 or more)** | Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+30), Quentin Johnston (+22), Ricky Pearsall (+19) | — | | Modest gain (+5 to +12) | Zay Flowers (+9), Jordan Addison (+5), Rome Odunze (+12) | — | | **Flat** | Marvin Harrison Jr. (−1), Xavier Worthy (−2), Jayden Reed (+1) | — | | **Regressed** | Brian Thomas Jr. (−25), Ladd McConkey (−23), Keon Coleman (−9), **Xavier Legette (−9)**, Jonathan Mingo (−16) | — | The average outcome for a highly-drafted receiver's second year is **flat to slightly down.** The "leap" is the exception, not the rule — and it happened *twice* to McMillan's own teammate Legette in the wrong direction. So which bucket is McMillan in? The tell is in *why* the leaps and the collapses happened: - **The leaps** (JSN, Pearsall, and outside this window, Drake London: **+18**, TDs 2→9) all shared one thing — **the quarterback and/or the offense got materially better around them.** JSN inherited a target vacuum when DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett left and Sam Darnold arrived. London's numbers exploded when Atlanta stabilized under center after two years of Ridder and Heinicke. - **The collapses** (Brian Thomas −25, McConkey −23) shared the opposite — **the quarterback got worse or the room got more crowded.** Thomas ran a four-man QB relay in Jacksonville. McConkey's Chargers leaned harder into the run. McMillan is on the leap side of that split. His quarterback is *improving*, not declining. His target competition is *thinning* — Legette regressed himself out of the WR2 job, Adam Thielen is gone, and the additions (Jalen Coker as a solid WR2, Darren Waller and Tommy Tremble at tight end) are complementary pieces, not target thieves. And his rookie usage was already at the level the leap cases *reached* in Year 2 — he doesn't need a bigger role, he needs the same role to convert. --- ## 4. The schedule Carolina's 2026 opponents, by 2025 receiving yards allowed to wide receivers per game: | Tier | Weeks | Opponents | | --- | --- | --- | | **Smash (145+)** | 1, 11, 16 | CHI (148), BAL (159), PIT (154) | | Favorable (125–140) | 2, 4, 9, 18 | ATL x2 (132), DET (138), DEN (125) | | Neutral (110–125) | 6, 7, 8, 12, 13 | PHI, TB x2, GB, MIN | | Tough (under 110) | 3, 10, 14, 15, 17 | CLE (99), NO x2 (106), CIN (104), SEA (93) | Six games against the NFC South (New Orleans, Tampa, Atlanta twice) — all mediocre-to-soft pass defenses, all with the coverage familiarity that a division rival's No. 1 can scheme against. The genuinely hard individual corner matchups are limited: Jaylon Johnson (Wk 1), Denzel Ward (Wk 3), Pat Surtain (Wk 9), Devon Witherspoon (Wk 17). That's four weeks of real resistance and roughly a dozen of daylight. Average opponent: ~124 WR yards allowed. That is a **top-12 schedule for a No. 1 receiver.** --- ## 5. The projection **Base case (≈50%): 1,080 yards, 84 catches, 7 TD, ~145 targets.** Young holds his 2025 form with a small step forward. McMillan's target share nudges to ~26–28%, his catch rate climbs into the low 60s on a shorter, more catchable aDOT, and the schedule gives him five or six genuine ceiling games. ~64 yards and ~5 catches a game. **Bull case (≈30%): 1,320 yards, 95 catches, 9 TD.** Young's arc continues to league-average, Carolina's pass volume rises with a competitive roster, and McMillan becomes the every-week alpha his rookie usage projected. This is the Drake London / JSN Year-2 path — and McMillan has the two ingredients those players had: an ascending quarterback and a thinning room. **Bear case (≈20%): 870 yards, 68 catches, 5 TD.** Young flatlines or gets hurt and Kenny Pickett starts a stretch; or McMillan hits the Brian Thomas / McConkey sophomore wall where the defense's game plan is simply "don't let 3 beat us." His floor is protected by the volume — a 24% target share doesn't evaporate — but the efficiency stays stuck. **Weighted expectation: ~1,080 yards, 84 catches, 7 touchdowns.** A top-15 receiver season, with a real path to top-8. --- ## 6. How to bet him, week to week His profile — downfield aDOT, low YAC, 57–62% catch rate, boom-or-bust — has specific prop implications: - **Don't blanket-Over his receiving yards.** From the reconciliation data, yardage Overs are the ~48% side of the coin *before* juice, and it's worse for high-aDOT contested receivers whose median sits below their mean. His weekly line will hang around 58.5–64.5; treat each week as a matchup call, not a season-long lean. - **Over in the ceiling weeks:** BAL (Wk 11), PIT (Wk 16), CHI (Wk 1, if the line stays low), ATL (Wk 2 & 18), DET (Wk 4). These are the games the number is too low for his usage. - **Under against the CB1s:** SEA/Witherspoon (Wk 17), CLE/Ward (Wk 3), DEN/Surtain (Wk 9). Elite man coverage plus a 57% catch rate is a fade. - **Ladder the alts, don't chase the number.** A low-YAC contested receiver's outcome distribution is wide — buying his line down 10–15 yards (the ~44.5 / 49.5 rungs) is unusually powerful, roughly +10 points of win probability per 5 yards. Those are the parlay legs; the standard number is the coin flip. - **Receptions Over is the steadier bet than yards** in the neutral matchups — a 9-target floor gets him to 5 catches even on a quiet yardage night, and the receptions market barely moves on the ladder so there's nothing to shop. - **Anytime TD (+200 to +240 most weeks):** a small edge in the red-zone-positive spots. ~7 TDs over ~16 games is a ~43% weekly rate — right around the break-even for that price, and above it when Carolina is favored or in a projected shootout. - **Season-long "1,000+ receiving yards" (if posted):** lean Over. The base case clears it by 80, and even the bear case is only a Young injury away from resetting. --- Built from propgrades.plays (charting, air yards, EPA), propgrades.props (17-game reconciled 2025 log), propgrades.players (draft cohort), and the 2026 schedule. Cohort = every Round 1–2 WR, 2023–2024 classes, rookie year vs Year 2. Full board on propgrades.com/propgrades. *Projection, not a promise. Bet responsibly.*

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@elonmusk pipped out version makes him look like he went jammin at phantom at opera

@jus10chi @DannyEcker outside the school bus on the water consider that image rendered

*testing* Patriots at Seahawks. Wednesday, 8:20 ET. Opening night. This is the Super Bowl rematch. Seattle beat New England 29-13 in February. Now the champs raise a banner against a Patriots team that spent all offseason rebuilding around Drake Maye. We ran every 2025 snap. Full sim + props + DFS. [1/15] —— THE NUMBER SEA -3.5, total 44.5. Moneyline NE +150 / SEA -180. That prices it at roughly Seattle 24, New England 20. Outdoors, 71 degrees, 5 mph wind — mild. The real environmental factor is Lumen Field noise on banner night against a Patriots offensive line still learning to communicate. Full graded board: propgrades.com [2/15] —— SEATTLE DEFENSE — the yards Per game allowed in 2025: • QB passing: ~212 • WR receiving: ~93 ← suffocating • TE receiving: ~58 • RB rushing: ~65 • QB rushing: ~19 Devon Witherspoon and Nick Emmanwori on the back end. DeMarcus Lawrence, Uchenna Nwosu, Leonard Williams up front. Mike Macdonald manufactures pressure without blitzing. The only leak is the tight end. [3/15] —— NEW ENGLAND DEFENSE — the yards Per game allowed in 2025: • QB passing: ~195 ← elite • WR receiving: ~110 • TE receiving: ~57 • RB rushing: ~72 • QB rushing: ~13 This unit carried New England to the Super Bowl allowing 10, 7 and 16 points across the playoff run. Christian Gonzalez is a true shutdown corner. Two top-4 defenses. This is a rock fight. [4/15] —— JAXON SMITH-NJIGBA — WR, SEA 2025: 105.5 rec yds/game. Median 103. 7.0 catches a game. Over 69.5 in 16 of 17. Over 84.5 in 13 of 17. Anytime TD in 8 of 17. Gonzalez and a Patriots defense that allowed ~195 passing yards is a real ceiling check. But JSN wins from the slot on separation, not boundary jump balls — harder to travel a corner onto. His floor is the point here, not his 160-yard games. Projection: 78-95 yards, 6-8 catches. [5/15] —— DRAKE MAYE — QB, NE 2025: 258.5 pass yds/game. Median 268. Two sub-200 games ALL YEAR. 380 ceiling. Two-plus passing TDs in 10 of 17. 26.5 rush yds/game — genuinely mobile. The posted line is 229.5 — thirty yards under his average. The market is pricing Macdonald's pressure and the crowd against a line breaking in a second-year left tackle. Projection: 235-260 yards, 1-2 TD, 25-35 rushing, one turnover-worthy play. [6/15] —— SAM DARNOLD — QB, SEA 2025: 238.1 pass yds/game. Median 244. But wildly variant: 341, 330, 295 on the high end; 128, 147, 150 on the low end. Zero rushing touchdowns all season. New England's ~195 allowed plus Gonzalez erasing his No. 1 is the toughest Week 1 draw on the board. If the play-action shots are covered, the sub-160 floor games are live. Projection: 195-225 yards, wide range. [7/15] —— THE SEATTLE BACKFIELD — a live question Zach Charbonnet is the listed starter. The market has posted NO props for him — a signal he's banged up or a game-time call. As the 2025 backup he still ran for 45.6 a game and scored an anytime TD in 10 of 16. A red-zone hammer. If he's out, rookie Jadarian Price leads: 49.5 rushing line, +125 to score. Kenneth Walker III is gone. No established bell cow here. [8/15] —— NOBODY'S PRICING THIS: THE PATRIOTS BACKFIELD SPLIT TreVeyon Henderson, rookie 2025: 53.6 rush yds/game, but his last five: 71.5, with 147 and 148-yard spike games. The explosive element New England never had. Rhamondre Stevenson is still RB1 on early downs — last five: 69.8, with a 131-yard finale. Two backs, a small pie (Seattle allows ~65 on the ground), and Henderson trending up. TD dart +195. [9/15] —— HUNTER HENRY — TE, NE 2025: 45.2 rec yds/game. Median 45. Over 32.5 in 12 of 17. Anytime TD in 7 of 17. He is Maye's security blanket against pressure, and the tight end is the one place Seattle's defense gives (~58 a game). The 32.5 line is well under his average. To score is +300. Projection: 36-50 yards, 3-4 catches. [10/15] —— A.J. BROWN — WR, NE 2025 with Philadelphia: 66.9 rec yds/game, 5.2 catches. Boom or bust — 8, 7, 13 in the duds; 132, 121, 110 in the spikes. Scored in 5 of 15. Now the unquestioned alpha with a 258-yard passer feeding him. But Seattle allowed ~93 to the receiver room and Witherspoon travels. The 60.5 line is his median. A projection, not a mismatch. Projection: 55-70 yards, 4-5 catches. [11/15] —— THE SIMULATION Opening: SEA play-action, JSN early, red-zone stall, FG. 3-0. Q1: NE tempo to keep Macdonald vanilla — Maye to Brown for 22, Henry TD. 7-3. Q2: Disguised pressure, Maye strip, Seattle recovers midfield, short rushing TD. Trade FGs. Half: SEA 13, NE 10. Q3: Field-position half. Lone score: SEA FG off a 31-yard JSN catch-and-run. 16-10. Q4: Maye scrambles twice, Brown converts 3rd-and-8, NE FG. 16-13. Seattle grinds clock, a Darnold-to-JSN dagger sets up the icing FG. NE's last drive dies on a Witherspoon 4th-down breakup. FINAL: Seahawks 22, Patriots 16. Under 44.5. SEA -3.5 cashes. 🏆 [12/15] —— BEST PROPS TIER A → Jaxon Smith-Njigba OVER 6.5 receptions (-105) line 6.5 · 2025 avg 7.0 · 7-plus catches in 11 of 17 → Drake Maye OVER 219.5 pass (alt, -154) line 219.5 · avg 258.5 · a 39-yard edge → Sam Darnold UNDER 233.5 pass (-115) line 233.5 · NE allows ~195 · Gonzalez on JSN TIER B → Hunter Henry OVER 32.5 rec (-115) — 12 of 17, Seattle's TE leak → Drake Maye OVER 1.5 pass TD (+133) — 2-plus in 10 of 17 → Game UNDER 44.5 — two top-4 defenses, banner-night grind DARTS → AJ Barner Anytime TD (+310) — 7 of 17, Seattle's goal-line TE → Hunter Henry Anytime TD (+300) — 7 of 17 → Jadarian Price Anytime TD (+125) — ONLY if Charbonnet is ruled out [13/15] —— THE STACK SAFE — Seattle wins a low-scoring home game: • Jaxon Smith-Njigba OVER 6.5 receptions • Game UNDER 44.5 • Seattle moneyline In a grind, JSN eats targets regardless of efficiency, the total stays down, the better roster closes it. LOTTO — the champs pull away at home: • JSN OVER 99.5 rec • JSN Anytime TD • AJ Barner Anytime TD • Darnold UNDER 199.5 pass [14/15] —— MORE ANGLES → Drake Maye OVER 24.5 rush yds — Seattle pressure forces scrambles, L5 was 32.8 → Jaxon Smith-Njigba OVER 69.5 rec (alt) — floor hit 16 of 17, safest number on the board → Hunter Henry OVER 3.5 receptions — Maye's outlet against the blitz → Fade: A.J. Brown OVER 60.5 rec — Witherspoon travels, boom-or-bust profile → Fade: Sam Darnold OVER 1.5 pass TD — toughest draw on the slate Recap: Seahawks 22-16, JSN is MVP, Under cashes, the Patriots backfield split is the sleeper. Better roster or better story — who wins the rematch? Repost post 1 if this helped. Full board: propgrades.com/propgrades [15/15]

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