For everyone trying to understand what’s happening in Mexico: first of all, let’s understand who was reportedly killed:
Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes, known as El Mencho is the alleged founder and top leader of the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG), As a teenager, he migrated illegally to the United States, where he was later arrested in the early 1990s for drug-related offenses and eventually deported back to Mexico.
After returning, he became involved with the Milenio Cartel, which was aligned with the Sinaloa Cartel. Following the death of Ignacio Nacho Coronel in 2010 and the fragmentation of the Milenio Cartel, Oseguera helped form what became the CJNG. Over the next decade, he transformed it into one of the most powerful and violent criminal organizations in Mexico.
CJNG’s stronghold has been the state of Jalisco, but it expanded aggressively into Michoacán, Colima, Guanajuato, Veracruz, Guerrero, Nayarit, Baja California and beyond. The cartel developed international trafficking routes to the United States, Europe and Asia. At its height, CJNG operated in more than 10 states and became known for its militarized structure, use of armored vehicles, heavy-caliber weapons and coordinated large-scale blockades.
Its main rivals have included the Sinaloa Cartel, local criminal groups in Guanajuato such as the Santa Rosa de Lima Cartel, remnants of Los Zetas, and self-defense militias in Michoacán. CJNG gained a reputation for brutal retaliation and direct confrontations with Mexican security forces.
Now, following reports that El Mencho was killed, widespread violence has been reported across multiple states. Road blockades, burning vehicles, attacks on businesses, and highway closures are occurring in Jalisco, Michoacán, Guanajuato and other regions. Authorities are reinforcing state borders and urging civilians to avoid major roads.
BREAKING: The acting head of ICE says that two of its officers appear to have made "untruthful statements" about shooting a migrant in Minnesota and may face federal charges for their actions. abcnews.link/VFCx9jQ
$100 on North Korea missile launches on @Polymarket
Kim didn’t give all the lovers a gift on february 14, but historically there were rarely missile launches (drills) at the beginning of the month
2022 - launch on february 26-27
2023 - series of launches february 18-24
2025 - launch on february 26
and all of this against the backdrop of us–south korea drills
let’s see how it goes this time, statistically over recent years the probability of a launch in february isn’t small
please remember the risks
I'm really in shocked
Polymarket legend "gmpm" just dropped over 300k on the Patriots to win the @SuperBowl.
> In total on the final he’s already put in close to 1.3 million
> Lifetime profit is over 2 million
> More than 700+ winning predictions
> He registered since September 2025
@Patriots sitting at 32¢ and "gmpm" believes in them harder than anyone else.
His profile: polymarket.com/@gmpm?via=empo…
BUT WHY?
How Penguin Nihilist meme connects with life itself
Even on @Polymarket
Going against the crowd gives the biggest wins
Trader bet 23k$ on 5% chance and now he's sitting on 200.000$ PNL
He can sell rn OR wait and try to win ~450.000$
Trader: polymarket.com/@macrotrading?…
> Going against the crowd is the very essence of this meme
It's the ultimate risk but the biggest risks carry the greatest rewards
Those who've been on Polymarket have seen traders win on 0.1% odds sometimes it's insiders sometimes gamblers but sometimes it's just traders
////
Sometimes, going against the crowd is your best shot at getting ahead of the everyone
who said @polymarket can’t deliver memecoin-level returns?
in reality, the upside can be even bigger
user erb80 placed a $30 bet on a weather market
and cashed out $15k within a few days
that’s a 500x return
Bublik will become a future Australian Open star
In this market, odds are being fought over between Sinner and Alcaraz. Undoubtedly, they are the main contenders for the title
bet on Bublik:
1.5¢ → 6567% ROI
///
factors:
> seeded in the top 10
> winner of the Hong Kong Open at the start of the year
> strong form heading into the tournament
people should remember that Alexander Bublik reached the quarterfinals of Roland Garros and the 4th round of the US Open in 2025. These were the two most recent Grand Slam tournaments.
the key point here is not a bet on a guaranteed win, but the opportunity to enter the market while it still considers him an outsider.
If Bublik goes beyond the 4th round, the market will significantly reprice him.
cheap position = big upside
by the time he goes all the way, you’ll be choosing whether to hold the position or sell for a high return.
NFA & market👇
"Dad strike Iran in January and I will make $300,000 profit".
An unknown Polymarket trader bet $100,000 that the US will strike Iran this month.
The only other market he ever traded was the U.S. election, where he made $317,000 betting $400,000 on a Trump winning.
Trump LEAKED the future Fed Chair in Davos?
He said: "We should be paying the lowest interest rate of everybody. I hope Scott's listening to this"
It was a direct address to Scott Bessent, but Polymarket ignored it:
Scott's chances to be nominated as Fed Chair are still trading near 4%
Is it a good opportunity to buy YES?
We know for sure that:
> Trump wants to see the interest rate down
> To accomplish that he needs a "right" person in Fed
> Trump often praised Scott and said that he is "good at math"
But don’t jump to conclusions
Earlier it was stated that Bessent doesn't want to leave his current position in the government
Being the U.S. Treasury Secretary attracts him more than being a Fed Chair
It leaves us with two options:
> Trump influenced Bessent and convinced him to go to the Fed
unlikely, but YES will pump from 4¢ to 100¢
> The mention of Scott was only related to his current (already big) role in finance
more likely, and NO will soar from 96¢ to 100¢
Which one are you choosing?↓
126 Followers 154 FollowingStarting 2026 at -$4K Goal : Hit $1M by Dec 31 with the most degenerate plays trading, deving, Polymarket, NFTs, RWA🔥
NFA / Current arc : AI Weather Quant 💻
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